OddsFilter

SC Covilha vs Oliveirense• Liga 3, Portugal

#80.8:1.216:30Today1.4:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.15DAFX3.20B36522.38WHMargin at best5.0%Books8Markets37Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:38 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.093.152.297.8%
Dafabet3.153.202.228.0%
Betano3.003.152.279.1%
1xBet2.973.082.2410.8%
Betfair2.903.002.3011.3%
Bet3652.803.202.2511.4%
Marathonbet2.893.082.2212.1%
William Hill3.002.902.2512.3%
Best of all books3.153.202.306.5%
Average2.983.092.2510.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SC CovilhaOliveirense
Last 10#8Table position#31.00Points per game1.603Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.436Attack rating6454Defence rating4638Form rating6280H2H rating2054Goals model4654Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 23:20 UTC

SC Covilha

2W 5D 3L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against

12 SepALusitano Évora 19112-2D
5 SepAMafra0-1L
30 AugHMortágua0-0D
22 AugHAtlético CP0-3L
16 AugAVitória de Sernache0-0D
8 AugHUnião Santarém2-0W
1 MayHAmora1-1D
25 AprACaldas1-1D
18 AprALusitano Évora 19110-1L
12 AprHAtlético CP2-1W

Oliveirense

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

19 SepHPenafiel1-2L
12 SepHMafra2-1W
6 SepAAtlético CP1-3L
29 AugHPenalva Castelo4-0W
23 AugHVitória de Sernache3-2W
14 AugAUnião Santarém1-1D
8 AugHLouletano0-0D
17 MayHFelgueiras 19321-5L
9 MayAFeirense2-1W
2 MayHLusitânia Lourosa0-0D

Head to head

7SC Covilha wins
2draws
1Oliveirense wins

10 meetings · goals 14:8 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for SC Covilha

6 May 2023Segunda LigaSegunda LigaSC Covilha2-1Oliveirense
30 Dec 2022Segunda LigaSegunda LigaOliveirense2-0SC Covilha
16 Mar 2021Segunda LigaSegunda LigaSC Covilha1-0Oliveirense
25 Oct 2020Segunda LigaSegunda LigaOliveirense1-2SC Covilha
3 Feb 2020Segunda LigaSegunda LigaSC Covilha1-0Oliveirense
17 Aug 2019Segunda LigaSegunda LigaOliveirense0-2SC Covilha
10 Mar 2019Segunda LigaSegunda LigaOliveirense1-2SC Covilha
4 Nov 2018Segunda LigaSegunda LigaSC Covilha1-0Oliveirense
4 Feb 2018Segunda LigaSegunda LigaSC Covilha1-1Oliveirense
3 Sep 2017Segunda LigaSegunda LigaOliveirense2-2SC Covilha

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, SC Covilha sit 8th with 5 points from 5 games, while Oliveirense are 3rd with 8 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Paredes54018:4+412
1CF Os Belenenses550013:2+1115
2AD Marco 0953116:3+310
2Atlético CP53118:3+510
3Varzim53028:5+39
3Oliveirense52217:708
4Fafe52218:4+48
4Mafra52129:5+47
5Vianense52216:5+18
5Louletano52127:707
6Leça52127:8-17
6Caldas52125:507
7Guimaraes B51224:5-15
7União Santarém62136:10-47
8Trofense51132:7-54
8SC Covilha51224:6-25
9São João Ver50323:6-33
9Lusitano Évora 191161234:8-45
10Pacos Ferreira50235:10-52
10Vitória de Sernache50143:13-101

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.96X29%3.11240%2.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 22:519 Oct 11:001 2.96X 3.112 2.27
12.70 → 2.96 +9.6%X3.10 → 3.11 +0.3%22.45 → 2.27 -7.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.201.656.1%
Pinnacle2.231.636.2%
1xBet2.171.599.0%
Marathonbet2.171.599.0%
Betano2.151.609.0%
Best of all books2.231.655.4%
Average2.181.617.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.851.858.1%
Betano1.881.808.7%
1xBet1.861.819.0%
Marathonbet1.861.789.9%
Best of all books1.881.857.2%
Average1.861.818.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

SC Covilha 35%Draw 35%Oliveirense 30%

The statistical model rates SC Covilha at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Oliveirense at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.96 | 3.11 | 2.27, which imply roughly 33.8% for a SC Covilha win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: SC Covilha are 8th (5 pts, 4-6 goals), Oliveirense 3rd (8 pts, 7-7).

Over their last five matches, SC Covilha averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Oliveirense averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : SC Covilha or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.973.102.26

Double chance

1XX212
1.541.331.30

Draw no bet

12
2.111.65

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.861.81

1st half

1X2
3.642.002.97

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.197.851.88

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.076.62
1.51.362.80
2.52.181.61
3.53.921.18
4.57.351.07
5.521.01.01
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.056.65
1.251.193.74
1.751.452.47
21.632.12
2.251.901.80
2.752.541.43
33.231.27
3.253.581.21
47.701.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.021.36
-0.252.521.45
02.071.71
+0.251.781.94
+0.51.622.28
+0.751.382.70
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.56.901.04
-1.254.751.12
-15.751.07
-0.753.631.23
+11.213.75
+1.251.144.30
+1.51.114.80
+2.51.0110.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
10.51.921.81