Trofense vs 
Leça• Liga 3, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 2.71 | 3.02 | 2.34. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 18:32 UTC
Trofense
1W 4D 5L · goals 5:17 · per match 0.5 for, 1.7 against
| 12 Sep | H | Leça | 1-4 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Guimaraes B | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Varzim | 1-5 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | São João Ver | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Vianense | 0-2 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | Varzim | 0-1 | L |
| 31 Jul | A | AVS | 1-1 | D |
| 16 May | A | Academica | 0-3 | L |
| 9 May | H | Guimaraes B | 1-1 | D |
| 1 May | H | Amarante | 0-0 | D |
Leça
4W 3D 3L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against
| 20 Sep | A | Mortágua | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Trofense | 4-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | Fafe | 0-3 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | Paredes | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Guimaraes B | 0-2 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | São João Ver | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Jul | H | Lusitânia Lourosa | 0-0 | D |
| 15 Jul | A | Santa Clara | 0-4 | L |
| 10 Jun | H | Vitória de Sernache | 1-1 | D |
| 31 May | H | Bragança | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 2:4 · last 4: 0W 2D 2L for Trofense
| 15 Jan 2021Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Trofense0-1Leça |
| 20 Sep 2020Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C | Leça0-0Trofense |
| 8 Mar 2020Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Trofense2-3Leça |
| 27 Oct 2019Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Leça0-0Trofense |
Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC
In the Liga 3 table, Trofense sit 8th with 4 points from 5 games, while Leça are 6th with 7 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 12 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | +11 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Leça | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.7% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Trofense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Leça at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.71 | 3.02 | 2.34, which imply roughly 33.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga 3 table: Trofense are 8th (4 pts, 2-7 goals), Leça 6th (7 pts, 7-8).
Over their last five matches, Trofense averaged 0.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Leça averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Leça and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.