Pacos Ferreira vs São João Ver• Liga 3, Portugal

#101.0:2.31-1FT13/090.5:1.3#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.00AVGX3.24AVG23.31AVGMargin11.1%Books5Markets42Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Sep 19:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.70	3.42	4.54	10.1%
Pinnacle	1.71	3.51	4.24	10.6%
William Hill	1.73	3.30	4.40	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.68	3.42	4.45	11.2%
Bet365	1.67	3.50	4.33	11.5%
Best of all books	1.73	3.51	4.54	8.3%
Average	1.70	3.43	4.39	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Pacos FerreiraSão João Ver

Last 10#10Table position#90.40Points per game0.602Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 50.52.3Goals against · last 51.367Attack rating3336Defence rating6433Form rating670H2H rating025Goals model7540Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 18:32 UTC

Pacos Ferreira

1W 4D 5L · goals 8:15 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against

13 Sep	H	São João Ver	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Vianense	2-2	D
29 Aug	H	Fafe	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Varzim	1-4	L
15 Aug	H	Paredes	0-1	L
9 Aug	A	AD Marco 09	1-2	L
29 Jul	H	Felgueiras 1932	0-0	D
25 Jul	H	AVS	0-2	L
17 May	H	Penafiel	2-1	W
9 May	A	Farense	1-1	D

São João Ver

2W 5D 3L · goals 7:9 · per match 0.7 for, 0.9 against

13 Sep	A	Pacos Ferreira	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	AD Marco 09	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Florgrade	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Trofense	0-1	L
16 Aug	H	Fafe	1-3	L
9 Aug	A	Leça	1-1	D
29 Jul	A	Tondela	1-1	D
18 Jul	A	União Lamas	1-0	W
3 Jul	A	SC Braga	0-1	L
3 May	H	Sanjoanense	2-1	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Pacos Ferreira and São João Ver on record.

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Pacos Ferreira sit 10th with 2 points from 5 games, while São João Ver are 9th with 3 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	5	4	0	1	8:4	+4	12
1	CF Os Belenenses	5	5	0	0	13:2	+11	15
2	AD Marco 09	5	3	1	1	6:3	+3	10
2	Atlético CP	5	3	1	1	8:3	+5	10
3	Varzim	5	3	0	2	8:5	+3	9
3	Oliveirense	5	2	2	1	7:7	0	8
4	Fafe	5	2	2	1	8:4	+4	8
4	Mafra	5	2	1	2	9:5	+4	7
5	Vianense	5	2	2	1	6:5	+1	8
5	Louletano	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
6	Leça	5	2	1	2	7:8	-1	7
6	Caldas	5	2	1	2	5:5	0	7
7	Guimaraes B	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5
7	União Santarém	6	2	1	3	6:10	-4	7
8	Trofense	5	1	1	3	2:7	-5	4
8	SC Covilha	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5
9	São João Ver	5	0	3	2	3:6	-3	3
9	Lusitano Évora 1911	6	1	2	3	4:8	-4	5
10	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	2	3	5:10	-5	2
10	Vitória de Sernache	5	0	1	4	3:13	-10	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.00X28%3.24227%3.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.04	1.70	7.8%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.70	8.6%
1xBet	2.02	1.69	8.7%
Best of all books	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Average	2.04	1.71	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.91	1.77	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.75	9.8%
Best of all books	1.95	1.77	7.8%
Average	1.92	1.76	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pacos Ferreira 10%Draw 45%São João Ver 45%

The statistical model rated Pacos Ferreira at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and São João Ver at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.00 | 3.24 | 3.31, which imply roughly 30.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Pacos Ferreira are 10th (2 pts, 5-10 goals), São João Ver 9th (3 pts, 3-6).

Over their last five matches, Pacos Ferreira averaged 1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game; São João Ver averaged 0.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or São João Ver.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.70	3.43	4.39

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.01	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.76

1st half

1	X	2
2.26	2.10	5.13

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.53	7.95	2.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.30
1.5	1.31	2.98
2.5	2.04	1.71
3.5	3.50	1.22
4.5	7.50	1.08
5.5	17.0	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.05
1.25	1.17	4.00
1.75	1.39	2.64
2	1.52	2.29
2.25	1.78	1.91
2.75	2.30	1.51
3	2.86	1.33
3.25	3.14	1.28
4	6.23	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.05	1.30
-1.25	2.69	1.39
-1	2.35	1.52
-0.75	1.92	1.79
-0.5	1.70	2.05
-0.25	1.59	2.25

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.01
-2.5	6.25	1.06
-2	5.40	1.09
-1.75	3.61	1.22
0	1.27	3.21
+0.25	1.22	3.70
+0.5	1.31	3.30
+1	1.01	8.90
+1.5	1.02	8.90