Oliveirense5th5 pts
Mafra3rd7 pts
Oliveirense5th5 pts
Mafra3rd7 ptsIn the Liga 3 table, Oliveirense sit 5th with 5 points from 4 games, while Mafra are 3rd with 7 points from 4 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Oliveirense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mafra at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.01 | 3.06 | 2.24, which imply roughly 32.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga 3 table: Oliveirense are 5th (5 pts, 5-6 goals), Mafra 3rd (7 pts, 8-3).
Over their last five matches, Oliveirense averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Mafra averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Mafra.
Oliveirense vs Mafra — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 |  Varzim | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 |  Atlético CP | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 3 |  Fafe | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 |  Mafra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 |  AD Marco 09 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 |  Louletano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 |  Vianense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 |  Guimaraes B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Trofense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Caldas | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 |  Leça | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 |  SC Covilha | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 |  São João Ver | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 9 |  Vitória de Sernache | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 |  Pacos Ferreira | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 |  União Santarém | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.01
X
3.06
2
2.24