Lusitano Évora 1911 vs 
SC Covilha• Liga 3, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 1.70 | 3.25 | 4.72. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 17:32 UTC
Lusitano Évora 1911
2W 3D 5L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against
| 12 Sep | H | SC Covilha | 2-2 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Louletano | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | CF Os Belenenses | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Mafra | 2-1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Caldas | 0-0 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | Atlético CP | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Jul | A | Estrela | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Jul | A | Benfica B | 1-1 | D |
| 2 May | H | Atlético CP | 0-1 | L |
| 25 Apr | A | Amora | 2-1 | W |
SC Covilha
2W 5D 3L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against
| 12 Sep | A | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Mafra | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Mortágua | 0-0 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Atlético CP | 0-3 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | Vitória de Sernache | 0-0 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | União Santarém | 2-0 | W |
| 1 May | H | Amora | 1-1 | D |
| 25 Apr | A | Caldas | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Apr | A | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | Atlético CP | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
6 meetings · goals 9:3 · last 6: 4W 2D 0L for Lusitano Évora 1911
| 18 Apr 2026Liga 3 | Liga 3 | Lusitano Évora 19111-0SC Covilha |
| 14 Mar 2026Liga 3 | Liga 3 | SC Covilha1-3Lusitano Évora 1911 |
| 4 Jan 2026Liga 3 | Liga 3 | Lusitano Évora 19112-1SC Covilha |
| 22 Nov 2025Taça de Portugal | Taça de Portugal | SC Covilha0-2Lusitano Évora 1911 |
| 28 Sep 2025Liga 3 | Liga 3 | SC Covilha1-1Lusitano Évora 1911 |
| 24 Sep 2023Taça de Portugal | Taça de Portugal | Lusitano Évora 19110-0SC Covilha |
Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC
In the Liga 3 table, Lusitano Évora 1911 sit 9th with 5 points from 6 games, while SC Covilha are 8th with 5 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 12 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | +11 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Leça | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.8% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Lusitano Évora 1911 at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and SC Covilha at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.70 | 3.25 | 4.72, which imply roughly 58.8% for a Lusitano Évora 1911 win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga 3 table: Lusitano Évora 1911 are 9th (5 pts, 4-8 goals), SC Covilha 8th (5 pts, 4-6).
Over their last five matches, Lusitano Évora 1911 averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; SC Covilha averaged 0.5 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.