Louletano vs
União Santarém• Liga 3, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 2.22 | 2.97 | 3.08. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 23:20 UTC
Louletano
5W 3D 2L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against
| 20 Sep | A | FC Serpa | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | União Santarém | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Castrense | 1-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Caldas | 4-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | CF Os Belenenses | 1-3 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | Oliveirense | 0-0 | D |
| 31 May | A | Vitória de Sernache | 1-1 | D |
| 23 May | H | Oliveira Hospital | 2-1 | W |
| 17 May | H | Atlético Malveira | 1-1 | D |
União Santarém
2W 4D 4L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against
| 20 Sep | H | Merelinense | 5-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Louletano | 2-1 | W |
| 4 Sep | H | Caldas | 0-1 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | CF Os Belenenses | 0-5 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Oliveirense | 1-1 | D |
| 8 Aug | A | SC Covilha | 0-2 | L |
| 31 Jul | H | Academica | 0-0 | D |
| 16 May | H | Varzim | 2-2 | D |
| 10 May | A | Amarante | 0-1 | L |
| 2 May | A | CF Os Belenenses | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Louletano and União Santarém on record.
Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC
In the Liga 3 table, Louletano sit 5th with 7 points from 5 games, while União Santarém are 7th with 7 points from 6.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 12 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | +11 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Leça | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.2% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Louletano at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and União Santarém at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 2.97 | 3.08, which imply roughly 45% for a Louletano win versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Liga 3 table: Louletano are 5th (7 pts, 7-7 goals), União Santarém 7th (7 pts, 6-10).
Over their last five matches, Louletano averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; União Santarém averaged 0.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Louletano.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.