OddsFilter

Louletano vs União Santarém• Liga 3, Portugal

#51.5:1.31-2FT12/09 · Estadio Algarve0.3:2.3#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.22AVGX2.97AVG23.08AVGMargin11.2%Rating79 · 21Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2

Average 1X2: 2.22 | 2.97 | 3.08. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.

Team comparison

LouletanoUnião Santarém
Last 10#5Table position#71.40Points per game1.1712Form pts · last 571.5Goals for · last 50.31.3Goals against · last 52.386Attack rating1464Defence rating3688Form rating130H2H rating0100Goals model079Overall rating21

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 23:20 UTC

Louletano

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

20 SepAFC Serpa2-1W
12 SepHUnião Santarém1-2L
6 SepHLusitano Évora 19111-0W
30 AugACastrense1-0W
23 AugACaldas4-2W
15 AugHCF Os Belenenses1-3L
8 AugAOliveirense0-0D
31 MayAVitória de Sernache1-1D
23 MayHOliveira Hospital2-1W
17 MayHAtlético Malveira1-1D

União Santarém

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

20 SepHMerelinense5-0W
12 SepALouletano2-1W
4 SepHCaldas0-1L
22 AugACF Os Belenenses0-5L
14 AugHOliveirense1-1D
8 AugASC Covilha0-2L
31 JulHAcademica0-0D
16 MayHVarzim2-2D
10 MayAAmarante0-1L
2 MayACF Os Belenenses1-1D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Louletano and União Santarém on record.

Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC

In the Liga 3 table, Louletano sit 5th with 7 points from 5 games, while União Santarém are 7th with 7 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Paredes54018:4+412
1CF Os Belenenses550013:2+1115
2AD Marco 0953116:3+310
2Atlético CP53118:3+510
3Varzim53028:5+39
3Oliveirense52217:708
4Fafe52218:4+48
4Mafra52129:5+47
5Vianense52216:5+18
5Louletano52127:707
6Leça52127:8-17
6Caldas52125:507
7Guimaraes B51224:5-15
7União Santarém62136:10-47
8Trofense51132:7-54
8SC Covilha51224:6-25
9São João Ver50323:6-33
9Lusitano Évora 191161234:8-45
10Pacos Ferreira50235:10-52
10Vitória de Sernache50143:13-101

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.22X30%2.97229%3.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.2% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Louletano 50%Draw 50%União Santarém 0%

The statistical model rated Louletano at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and União Santarém at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 2.97 | 3.08, which imply roughly 45% for a Louletano win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Liga 3 table: Louletano are 5th (7 pts, 7-7 goals), União Santarém 7th (7 pts, 6-10).

Over their last five matches, Louletano averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game; União Santarém averaged 0.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Louletano.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.