AD Marco 09 vs 
Guimaraes B• Liga 3, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 2.24 | 3.07 | 2.96. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 23:20 UTC
AD Marco 09
5W 3D 2L · goals 11:8 · per match 1.1 for, 0.8 against
| 20 Sep | H | Maia Lidador | 1-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Guimaraes B | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | São João Ver | 0-0 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Régua | 1-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Vianense | 2-0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Varzim | 1-2 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | Pacos Ferreira | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Aug | A | Cinfães | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Jul | A | União de Leiria | 0-2 | L |
| 3 May | A | Paredes | 2-2 | D |
Guimaraes B
2W 4D 4L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against
| 12 Sep | A | AD Marco 09 | 0-1 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Trofense | 0-0 | D |
| 21 Aug | A | Fafe | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Aug | H | Leça | 2-0 | W |
| 7 Aug | A | Paredes | 1-3 | L |
| 25 Jul | A | Chaves | 3-2 | W |
| 16 May | H | Amarante | 1-3 | L |
| 9 May | A | Trofense | 1-1 | D |
| 3 May | H | Mafra | 0-2 | L |
| 25 Apr | A | Varzim | 2-2 | D |
Head to head
6 meetings · goals 7:6 · last 6: 1W 3D 2L for AD Marco 09
| 9 Nov 2025Liga 3 | Liga 3 | Guimaraes B1-0AD Marco 09 |
| 10 Aug 2025Liga 3 | Liga 3 | AD Marco 090-0Guimaraes B |
| 25 May 2025Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | AD Marco 091-1Guimaraes B |
| 4 May 2025Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Guimaraes B3-2AD Marco 09 |
| 17 Mar 2024Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | AD Marco 093-0Guimaraes B |
| 3 Dec 2023Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | Guimaraes B1-1AD Marco 09 |
Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC
In the Liga 3 table, AD Marco 09 sit 2nd with 10 points from 5 games, while Guimaraes B are 7th with 5 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 12 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | +11 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Leça | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.0% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated AD Marco 09 at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Guimaraes B at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.24 | 3.07 | 2.96, which imply roughly 44.6% for a AD Marco 09 win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Liga 3 table: AD Marco 09 are 2nd (10 pts, 6-3 goals), Guimaraes B 7th (5 pts, 4-5).
Over their last five matches, AD Marco 09 averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Guimaraes B averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : AD Marco 09.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.