Fafe3rd4 pts
Guimaraes B5th3 pts
Fafe3rd4 pts
Guimaraes B5th3 ptsIn the Liga 3 table, Fafe sit 3rd with 4 points from 2 games, while Guimaraes B are 5th with 3 points from 2 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Fafe at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Guimaraes B at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.71 | 3.40 | 4.57, which imply roughly 58.5% for a Fafe win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga 3 table: Fafe are 3rd (4 pts, 3-1 goals), Guimaraes B 5th (3 pts, 3-3).
Over their last five matches, Fafe averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Guimaraes B averaged 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Fafe or draw.
Fafe vs Guimaraes B — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Varzim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Mafra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Fafe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Atlético CP | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 |  Vianense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 |  SC Covilha | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 |  Guimaraes B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 |  AD Marco 09 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Caldas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 |  São João Ver | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 |  Leça | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 |  Louletano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Pacos Ferreira | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 |  União Santarém | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 |  Trofense | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 |  Vitória de Sernache | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.71
X
3.40
2
4.57
Double chance
1X
1.15
X2
1.97
12
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
1.97
No
1.73
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.31
Under 1.5
2.91
Over 1.75
1.40
Under 1.75
2.56
Over 2
1.53
Under 2
2.21
Over 2.25
1.80
Under 2.25
1.86
Over 2.5
2.06
Under 2.5
1.67
Over 2.75
2.35
Under 2.75
1.50
Over 3.5
3.54
Under 3.5
1.21
Over 1
1.04
Under 1
6.90
Over 1.25
1.18
Under 1.25
3.92
Over 3
2.92
Under 3
1.31
Over 3.25
3.28
Under 3.25
1.25
Over 4
6.50
Under 4
1.05
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
7.53
Over 4.5
6.90
Under 4.5
1.06
Over 5.5
17.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Draw no bet
1
1.25
2
3.20
Asian handicap
Home 0.5
1.15
Away 0.5
1.97
1st half
1
2.29
X
2.09
2
5.09
First team to score
Home
1.54
No Goal
8.30
Away
2.83