Varzim3rd3 pts
AD Marco 092nd3 pts
Varzim3rd3 pts
AD Marco 092nd3 ptsIn the Liga 3 table, Varzim sit 3rd with 3 points from 1 games, while AD Marco 09 are 2nd with 3 points from 1 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Varzim at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and AD Marco 09 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.76 | 3.24 | 4.45, which imply roughly 56.8% for a Varzim win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga 3 table: Varzim are 3rd (3 pts, 1-0 goals), AD Marco 09 2nd (3 pts, 2-1).
Over their last five matches, Varzim averaged 1 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; AD Marco 09 averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Varzim or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Varzim vs AD Marco 09 — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paredes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 |  Mafra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 |  AD Marco 09 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 |  SC Covilha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Varzim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Atlético CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Leça | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 |  CF Os Belenenses | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 |  São João Ver | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 |  Oliveirense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 |  Fafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 |  Louletano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 |  Vianense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 |  União Santarém | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 |  Pacos Ferreira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 |  Caldas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 |  Trofense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 |  Lusitano Évora 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 |  Guimaraes B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 |  Vitória de Sernache | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.76
X
3.24
2
4.45
Double chance
1X
1.16
X2
1.94
12
1.27
Both teams to score
Yes
2.02
No
1.70
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.37
Under 1.5
2.87
Over 2.5
2.17
Under 2.5
1.64
Over 3.5
3.93
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
7.50
Over 4.5
8.50
Under 4.5
1.07
Over 5.5
19.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Draw no bet
1
1.30
2
3.20
Asian handicap
Away 0.5
1.93
1st half
1
2.40
X
2.06
2
4.73
First team to score
Home
1.62
No Goal
7.50
Away
2.80