Uxbridge vs Malvern Town• Non League Premier - Southern South, England

#31.6:0.43-0FTToday2.4:2.0#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.55BTNX4.40BFR25.061XBMargin at best7.0%Books9Markets55Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 20 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.53	4.40	4.90	8.5%
Betano	1.55	4.25	4.85	8.7%
Pinnacle	1.51	4.32	5.00	9.4%
BetVictor	1.50	4.40	5.00	9.4%
1xBet	1.49	4.15	5.06	11.0%
Bet365	1.50	4.20	4.75	11.5%
William Hill	1.53	3.90	4.80	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.48	4.15	4.85	12.3%
Betfair	1.44	4.33	5.00	12.5%
Best of all books	1.55	4.40	5.06	7.0%
Average	1.50	4.23	4.91	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UxbridgeMalvern Town

Last 10#3Table position#192.30Points per game0.9212Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 52.40.4Goals against · last 52.040Attack rating6083Defence rating1753Form rating470H2H rating089Goals model1166Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 15:11 UTC

Uxbridge

7W 1D 2L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

17 Oct	H	AFC Hornchurch	0-4	L
10 Oct	H	Evesham United	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Hungerford Town	3-1	W
29 Sep	H	Basingstoke Town	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Lewes	2-1	W
22 Sep	A	Farnborough	2-0	W
19 Sep	H	Farnborough	2-2	D
15 Sep	A	Berkhamsted	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Chichester City	5-0	W
5 Sep	H	Haywards Heath Town	3-0	W

Malvern Town

3W 2D 5L · goals 15:23 · per match 1.5 for, 2.3 against

17 Oct	H	Frome Town	2-0	W
13 Oct	H	Yate Town	3-2	W
10 Oct	A	Basingstoke Town	1-4	L
29 Sep	A	Bath City	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Mickleover Sports	1-1	D
22 Sep	H	Gloucester City	5-2	W
12 Sep	A	Chertsey Town	0-5	L
7 Sep	A	Redditch United	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Redditch United	1-1	D
31 Aug	H	Chippenham Town	1-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Uxbridge and Malvern Town on record.

Non League Premier - Southern South tableRegular Seasonupdated 20 Oct 20:30 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Southern South table, Uxbridge sit 3rd with 23 points from 10 games, while Malvern Town are 19th with 11 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	22:13	+9	27
2	Plymouth Parkway	11	7	2	2	26:12	+14	23
3	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20:8	+12	23
4	Hanworth Villa	12	7	2	3	24:14	+10	23
5	Bath City	12	7	2	3	18:10	+8	23
6	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20:16	+4	19
7	Chichester City	12	6	1	5	20:20	0	19
8	Gosport Borough	12	5	3	4	19:14	+5	18
9	Chertsey Town	11	4	4	3	23:18	+5	16
10	Taunton Town	11	5	1	5	28:25	+3	16
11	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14:14	0	16
12	Wimborne Town	10	4	3	3	17:9	+8	15
13	Bracknell Town	12	4	2	6	13:23	-10	14
14	Evesham United	12	4	1	7	15:24	-9	13
15	Basingstoke Town	12	3	3	6	19:25	-6	12
16	Yate Town	11	3	3	5	15:24	-9	12
17	Sholing	10	3	2	5	12:16	-4	11
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10:14	-4	11
19	Malvern Town	12	3	2	7	19:31	-12	11
20	Gloucester City	10	2	4	4	15:18	-3	10
21	Havant & Wville	12	2	3	7	18:25	-7	9
22	Chippenham Town	11	2	2	7	10:24	-14	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.50X21%4.23218%4.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.44 → 1.50 +4.2%X4.40 → 4.21 -4.3%25.45 → 4.89 -10.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.42	2.69	7.6%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betano	1.44	2.55	8.7%
BetVictor	1.43	2.56	9.0%
1xBet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Best of all books	1.44	2.69	6.6%
Average	1.42	2.59	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
Betano	1.52	2.32	8.9%
1xBet	1.49	2.39	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.34	9.8%
William Hill	1.50	2.30	10.1%
Best of all books	1.52	2.45	6.6%
Average	1.49	2.36	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Uxbridge 45%Draw 45%Malvern Town 10%

The statistical model rated Uxbridge at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Malvern Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 4.23 | 4.91, which imply roughly 66.7% for a Uxbridge win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Southern South table: Uxbridge are 3rd (23 pts, 20-8 goals), Malvern Town 19th (11 pts, 19-31).

Over their last five matches, Uxbridge averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Malvern Town averaged 2.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Uxbridge and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.50	4.23	4.91

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.34	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.24	3.73

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.36

1st half

1	X	2
1.96	2.51	4.80

2nd half

1	X	2
1.80	2.91	4.51

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.20	15.6	36.8
HT X	4.50	7.30	11.3
HT 2	18.7	16.1	8.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.46	19.3	2.66

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	16.0
1.5	1.11	5.33
2.5	1.42	2.59
3.5	2.06	1.67
4.5	3.34	1.26
5.5	5.98	1.08

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.5
1.75	1.11	4.95
2	1.13	4.50
2.25	1.27	3.14
2.75	1.50	2.35
3	1.65	2.07
3.25	1.84	1.85
3.75	2.30	1.52
4	2.75	1.37
4.25	3.04	1.29
4.75	4.00	1.17
5	5.30	1.09
5.25	5.60	1.08
6	9.20	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.63	1.41
-1.5	2.24	1.56
-1.25	2.03	1.71
-1	1.83	1.88
-0.75	1.66	2.09
-0.5	1.49	2.44

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.70	1.03
-3	7.00	1.04
-2.75	5.00	1.10
-2.5	4.00	1.17
-2.25	3.68	1.20
-2	3.34	1.24
-0.25	1.34	2.86
0	1.18	3.84
+0.25	1.15	4.30
+0.75	1.06	6.15
+1.5	1.02	9.20

Latest Non League Premier - Southern South results

20 Oct	Yate Town 1-1 Sholing
20 Oct	Chichester City 3-1 Berkhamsted
20 Oct	Chertsey Town 2-0 Evesham United
20 Oct	Bath City 1-0 Havant & Wville
20 Oct	Taunton Town 4-0 Bracknell Town
20 Oct	Hanworth Villa 1-1 Chippenham Town