Malvern Town vs Yate Town• Non League Premier - Southern South, England

#221.6:3.018:45Today1.4:3.2#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30BFRX3.65BTN22.86PINMargin at best5.8%Books9Markets45Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L54.6

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.21	3.65	2.85	7.7%
Betano	2.18	3.65	2.80	9.0%
BetVictor	2.15	3.60	2.80	10.0%
Pinnacle	2.13	3.49	2.86	10.6%
1xBet	2.15	3.50	2.80	10.8%
Betfair	2.30	3.60	2.50	11.3%
Bet365	2.15	3.60	2.70	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.13	3.50	2.73	12.1%
William Hill	2.15	3.25	2.80	13.0%
Best of all books	2.30	3.65	2.86	5.8%
Average	2.17	3.54	2.76	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Malvern TownYate Town

Last 10#22Table position#150.50Points per game1.204Form pts · last 521.6Goals for · last 51.43.0Goals against · last 53.253Attack rating4752Defence rating4843Form rating5780H2H rating2052Goals model4858Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 16:00 UTC

Malvern Town

1W 2D 7L · goals 12:28 · per match 1.2 for, 2.8 against

10 Oct	A	Basingstoke Town	1-4	L
29 Sep	A	Bath City	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Mickleover Sports	1-1	D
22 Sep	H	Gloucester City	5-2	W
12 Sep	A	Chertsey Town	0-5	L
7 Sep	A	Redditch United	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Redditch United	1-1	D
31 Aug	H	Chippenham Town	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Gosport Borough	2-4	L
22 Aug	H	Wimborne Town	0-3	L

Yate Town

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:20 · per match 1.2 for, 2.0 against

10 Oct	H	Berkhamsted	0-3	L
3 Oct	H	Frome Town	3-3	D
29 Sep	A	Wimborne Town	0-4	L
26 Sep	H	Sholing	0-0	D
22 Sep	A	Chippenham Town	1-2	L
18 Sep	H	Chippenham Town	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Hanworth Villa	3-2	W
5 Sep	H	Devizes Town	3-0	W
31 Aug	H	Taunton Town	1-4	L
29 Aug	A	Poole Town	1-2	L

Head to head

2Malvern Town wins

2draws

0Yate Town wins

4 meetings · goals 7:3 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for Malvern Town

25 Jan 2025Non League Div One - Southern South	Non League Div One - Southern South	Yate Town0-3Malvern Town
22 Oct 2024Non League Div One - Southern South	Non League Div One - Southern South	Malvern Town1-1Yate Town
6 Jan 2024Non League Div One - Southern South	Non League Div One - Southern South	Malvern Town0-0Yate Town
16 Aug 2023Non League Div One - Southern South	Non League Div One - Southern South	Yate Town2-3Malvern Town

Non League Premier - Southern South tableRegular Seasonupdated 13 Oct 15:00 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Southern South table, Malvern Town sit 22nd with 5 points from 10 games, while Yate Town are 15th with 12 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Poole Town	11	8	0	3	18:12	+6	24
2	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20:8	+12	23
3	Plymouth Parkway	10	6	2	2	24:11	+13	20
4	Hanworth Villa	10	6	1	3	18:11	+7	19
5	Bath City	10	5	2	3	14:10	+4	17
6	Frome Town	11	4	4	3	18:14	+4	16
7	Chichester City	10	5	1	4	17:17	0	16
8	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14:14	0	16
9	Wimborne Town	9	4	3	2	16:7	+9	15
10	Chertsey Town	10	4	3	3	22:17	+5	15
11	Gosport Borough	11	4	3	4	15:14	+1	15
12	Taunton Town	10	4	1	5	24:24	0	13
13	Evesham United	10	4	1	5	14:18	-4	13
14	Basingstoke Town	10	3	3	4	18:17	+1	12
15	Yate Town	10	3	3	4	13:21	-8	12
16	Sholing	9	3	2	4	10:13	-3	11
17	Bracknell Town	10	3	2	5	11:19	-8	11
18	Hanwell Town	9	2	4	3	9:11	-2	10
19	Gloucester City	10	2	4	4	15:18	-3	10
20	Chippenham Town	9	2	2	5	9:18	-9	8
21	Havant & Wville	10	1	2	7	12:22	-10	5
22	Malvern Town	10	1	2	7	14:29	-15	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.17X26%3.54233%2.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.32 → 2.17 -6.5%X3.57 → 3.54 -0.8%22.50 → 2.76 +10.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.53	2.34	8.1%
Betano	1.52	2.32	8.9%
BetVictor	1.52	2.32	8.9%
1xBet	1.48	2.33	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.33	10.5%
Best of all books	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Average	1.51	2.34	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.47	2.47	8.5%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
1xBet	1.43	2.56	9.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.50	9.9%
Best of all books	1.47	2.56	7.1%
Average	1.44	2.52	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Malvern Town 45%Draw 45%Yate Town 10%

The statistical model rates Malvern Town at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Yate Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.17 | 3.54 | 2.76, which imply roughly 46.1% for a Malvern Town win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Southern South table: Malvern Town are 22nd (5 pts, 14-29 goals), Yate Town 15th (12 pts, 13-21).

Over their last five matches, Malvern Town averaged 1.6 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Yate Town averaged 1.4 scored and 3.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Malvern Town or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.17	3.54	2.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.58	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.66	2.11

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.44	2.52

1st half

1	X	2
2.67	2.34	3.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.78	17.5	2.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.7
1.5	1.13	4.78
2.5	1.51	2.34
3.5	2.26	1.55
4.5	3.86	1.20
5.5	7.13	1.05

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.0
1.25	1.05	6.70
1.75	1.14	4.45
2	1.17	3.95
2.25	1.35	2.81
2.75	1.63	2.11
3	1.80	1.87
3.25	2.03	1.67
3.75	2.60	1.41
4	3.20	1.26
4.25	3.58	1.21
4.75	4.85	1.11
5	6.70	1.05
5.25	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.49	1.44
-0.5	2.13	1.64
-0.25	1.90	1.80
0	1.66	2.09
+0.25	1.47	2.42
+0.5	1.42	2.62

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.40	1.01
-2	7.50	1.03
-1.75	5.10	1.10
-1.5	3.98	1.17
-1.25	3.58	1.21
-1	3.16	1.28
+0.75	1.29	3.14
+1	1.12	4.70
+1.25	1.10	5.10
+1.5	1.08	5.55
+1.75	1.03	7.40
+2	1.01	8.90
+2.5	1.02	9.25