Bath City vs Malvern Town• Non League Premier - Southern South, England

#51.4:1.02-1FT29/09 · Twerton Park, Bath1.6:3.2#22

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.47BTNX5.021XB26.151XBMargin at best4.2%Books4Markets41Rating69 · 32Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Sep 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.49	4.30	5.32	9.2%
Betano	1.47	4.45	5.30	9.4%
Betfair	1.40	4.40	6.00	10.8%
Bet365	1.45	4.20	5.25	11.8%
Best of all books	1.49	4.45	6.00	6.3%
Average	1.45	4.34	5.47	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bath CityMalvern Town

Last 10#5Table position#221.82Points per game0.7312Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 53.247Attack rating5376Defence rating2470Form rating300H2H rating081Goals model1969Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 11:51 UTC

Bath City

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

13 Oct	A	Evesham United	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Gosport Borough	1-2	L
29 Sep	H	Malvern Town	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Plymouth Parkway	3-0	W
22 Sep	A	Taunton Town	3-1	W
12 Sep	H	Chippenham Town	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Weymouth	0-2	L
31 Aug	A	Frome Town	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Uxbridge	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Basingstoke Town	1-1	D

Malvern Town

2W 2D 6L · goals 15:27 · per match 1.5 for, 2.7 against

13 Oct	H	Yate Town	3-2	W
10 Oct	A	Basingstoke Town	1-4	L
29 Sep	A	Bath City	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Mickleover Sports	1-1	D
22 Sep	H	Gloucester City	5-2	W
12 Sep	A	Chertsey Town	0-5	L
7 Sep	A	Redditch United	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Redditch United	1-1	D
31 Aug	H	Chippenham Town	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Gosport Borough	2-4	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Bath City and Malvern Town on record.

Non League Premier - Southern South tableRegular Seasonupdated 17 Oct 13:50 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Southern South table, Bath City sit 5th with 20 points from 11 games, while Malvern Town are 22nd with 8 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Poole Town	11	8	0	3	18:12	+6	24
2	Plymouth Parkway	11	7	2	2	26:12	+14	23
3	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20:8	+12	23
4	Hanworth Villa	11	7	1	3	22:12	+10	22
5	Bath City	11	6	2	3	16:10	+6	20
6	Frome Town	12	5	4	3	20:14	+6	19
7	Chichester City	11	6	1	4	20:19	+1	19
8	Chertsey Town	11	4	4	3	23:18	+5	16
9	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14:14	0	16
10	Wimborne Town	10	4	3	3	17:9	+8	15
11	Gosport Borough	11	4	3	4	15:14	+1	15
12	Taunton Town	10	4	1	5	24:24	0	13
13	Evesham United	11	4	1	6	14:20	-6	13
14	Basingstoke Town	11	3	3	5	19:21	-2	12
15	Yate Town	11	3	3	5	15:24	-9	12
16	Hanwell Town	10	2	5	3	10:12	-2	11
17	Sholing	10	3	2	5	12:16	-4	11
18	Bracknell Town	11	3	2	6	12:23	-11	11
19	Gloucester City	10	2	4	4	15:18	-3	10
20	Havant & Wville	11	2	2	7	16:23	-7	8
21	Chippenham Town	10	2	2	6	9:20	-11	8
22	Malvern Town	11	2	2	7	17:31	-14	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.44X21%4.39216%5.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.45 → 1.44 -0.7%X4.34 → 4.37 +0.7%25.47 → 5.66 +3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.52	2.37	8.0%
Betano	1.50	2.25	11.1%
Best of all books	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Average	1.52	2.33	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.62	2.18	7.6%
Betano	1.65	2.00	10.6%
Best of all books	1.65	2.18	6.5%
Average	1.64	2.09	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bath City 45%Draw 45%Malvern Town 10%

The statistical model rated Bath City at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Malvern Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 4.39 | 5.68, which imply roughly 69.4% for a Bath City win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Southern South table: Bath City are 5th (20 pts, 16-10 goals), Malvern Town 22nd (8 pts, 17-31).

Over their last five matches, Bath City averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Malvern Town averaged 1.6 scored and 3.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bath City or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.45	4.34	5.47

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.54	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.19	4.02

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.09

1st half

1	X	2
1.94	2.50	5.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	14.5
1.5	1.15	4.43
2.5	1.52	2.33
3.5	2.25	1.54
4.5	3.68	1.21
5.5	6.40	1.09

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.17	4.26
2	1.21	3.80
2.25	1.38	2.80
2.75	1.64	2.13
3	1.83	1.88
3.25	2.06	1.68
3.75	2.58	1.42
4	3.20	1.28
4.25	3.56	1.24

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.61	1.44
-1.5	2.26	1.57
-1.25	1.98	1.76
-1	1.78	1.93
-0.75	1.60	2.20
-0.25	1.34	3.02

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.90	1.04
-2.5	4.00	1.19
-2.25	3.65	1.22
-2	3.30	1.27
0	1.19	4.20
+0.25	1.15	4.70
+1.5	1.01	9.80