Leamington vs Needham Market• Non League Premier - Southern Central, England

#161.8:1.61-2FT17/103.0:1.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.03PINX3.60B36522.091XBMargin at best8.6%Books5Markets61Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.03	3.40	2.08	10.5%
1xBet	2.95	3.44	2.09	10.8%
Marathonbet	2.88	3.44	2.07	12.1%
Bet365	2.80	3.60	2.05	12.3%
BetVictor	2.70	3.13	1.95	20.3%
Best of all books	3.03	3.60	2.09	8.6%
Average	2.87	3.40	2.05	13.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LeamingtonNeedham Market

Last 10#16Table position#70.83Points per game1.675Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 53.01.6Goals against · last 51.238Attack rating6343Defence rating5733Form rating679H2H rating9147Goals model5333Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 15:11 UTC

Leamington

2W 3D 5L · goals 16:19 · per match 1.6 for, 1.9 against

17 Oct	H	Needham Market	1-2	L
13 Oct	H	Redditch United	2-2	D
10 Oct	A	Stratford Town	1-2	L
3 Oct	H	Hitchin Town	4-0	W
29 Sep	A	Bromsgrove Sporting	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Quorn	2-4	L
22 Sep	A	Gainsborough Trinity	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Gainsborough Trinity	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Bishop's Stortford	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Ilkeston Town	3-1	W

Needham Market

6W 2D 2L · goals 26:14 · per match 2.6 for, 1.4 against

17 Oct	A	Leamington	2-1	W
13 Oct	A	Bury Town	5-0	W
10 Oct	H	Anstey Nomads	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Rushall Olympic	3-5	L
29 Sep	H	Stamford	4-0	W
26 Sep	A	Canvey Island	3-0	W
22 Sep	A	Braintree	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Braintree	3-3	D
12 Sep	H	Worcester City	2-0	W
8 Sep	H	Stanway Rovers	3-1	W

Head to head

0Leamington wins

1draws

3Needham Market wins

4 meetings · goals 2:5 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Leamington

25 Feb 2025National League - North	National League - North	Needham Market1-1Leamington
26 Nov 2024National League - North	National League - North	Leamington0-1Needham Market
24 Feb 2024Non League Premier - Southern Central	Non League Premier - Southern Central	Leamington0-1Needham Market
5 Dec 2023Non League Premier - Southern Central	Non League Premier - Southern Central	Needham Market2-1Leamington

Non League Premier - Southern Central tableRegular Seasonupdated 18 Oct 18:30 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Southern Central table, Leamington sit 16th with 10 points from 12 games, while Needham Market are 7th with 20 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Real Bedford	11	10	1	0	34:11	+23	31
2	Bury Town	12	10	0	2	21:13	+8	30
3	Bromsgrove Sporting	12	8	3	1	21:11	+10	27
4	Rushall Olympic	13	8	0	5	27:20	+7	24
5	Peterborough Sports	13	6	5	2	25:18	+7	23
6	Alvechurch	11	6	3	2	18:6	+12	21
7	Needham Market	12	6	2	4	26:18	+8	20
8	Kettering Town	11	5	4	2	18:9	+9	19
9	Anstey Nomads	11	5	4	2	20:16	+4	19
10	Halesowen Town	10	5	2	3	12:11	+1	17
11	Stourbridge	12	4	4	4	14:16	-2	16
12	Redditch United	11	3	5	3	17:16	+1	14
13	Racing Club Warwick	12	3	5	4	15:16	-1	14
14	Leiston	10	3	3	4	17:17	0	12
15	Stratford Town	12	2	5	5	12:20	-8	11
16	Leamington	12	2	4	6	16:20	-4	10
17	Bishop's Stortford	11	3	1	7	13:20	-7	10
18	Banbury United	12	2	4	6	15:23	-8	10
19	Worcester City	11	1	4	6	8:16	-8	7
20	Hitchin Town	12	1	4	7	8:19	-11	7
21	Leighton Town	11	1	2	8	13:25	-12	5
22	Stamford	12	0	1	11	3:32	-29	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.87X26%3.40243%2.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.53 → 2.87 +13.4%X3.59 → 3.40 -5.3%22.28 → 2.05 -10.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.15	9.0%
BetVictor	1.49	1.89	20.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.59	2.13	10.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.51	2.34	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.29	9.9%
BetVictor	1.40	2.05	20.2%
Best of all books	1.51	2.34	9.0%
Average	1.47	2.23	12.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Leamington 10%Draw 45%Needham Market 45%

The statistical model rated Leamington at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Needham Market at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.87 | 3.40 | 2.05, which imply roughly 29.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Southern Central table: Leamington are 16th (10 pts, 16-20 goals), Needham Market 7th (20 pts, 26-18).

Over their last five matches, Leamington averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Needham Market averaged 3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Needham Market and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.87	3.40	2.05

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.59	1.31	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
2.08	1.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.23

1st half

1	X	2
3.42	2.27	2.62

2nd half

1	X	2
3.15	2.60	2.41

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.67	14.3	23.0
HT X	7.07	5.97	5.63
HT 2	28.0	14.2	3.24

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	15.1	1.73

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.4
1.5	1.14	3.88
2.5	1.59	2.13
3.5	2.37	1.43
4.5	4.03	1.13
5.5	7.07	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.10
1.25	1.07	5.90
1.75	1.19	3.82
2	1.25	3.18
2.25	1.41	2.45
2.75	1.72	1.89
3	1.92	1.67
3.25	2.15	1.53
3.75	2.92	1.31
4	3.74	1.19
4.25	4.10	1.16
4.75	5.50	1.08
5	7.60	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.97	1.34
-0.25	2.47	1.40
0	2.12	1.59
+0.25	1.83	1.80
+0.5	1.61	1.96
+0.75	1.45	2.33

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.50	1.01
-2	8.75	1.03
-1.75	7.70	1.02
-1.5	5.90	1.07
-1.25	5.45	1.08
-1	5.00	1.10
-0.75	3.50	1.22
+1	1.30	3.03
+1.25	1.23	3.42
+1.5	1.18	3.84
+1.75	1.11	4.90
+2	1.04	7.10
+2.5	1.02	7.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.09
6.5	1.20	3.62
7.5	1.45	2.48
8.5	1.82	1.94
9.5	2.31	1.53
10.5	3.14	1.27
11.5	4.60	1.11
12.5	7.24	1.01

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.06	5.52
7	1.26	3.22
8	1.58	2.20
9	2.06	1.68
10	2.82	1.34
11	4.21	1.14
12	6.77	1.02

Next Non League Premier - Southern Central matches

19 Oct	Redditch United – Worcester City
20 Oct	Alvechurch – Bromsgrove Sporting
20 Oct	Banbury United – Leighton Town
20 Oct	Hitchin Town – Stamford
20 Oct	Needham Market – Bishop's Stortford
20 Oct	Racing Club Warwick – Halesowen Town

All Non League Premier - Southern Central fixtures and the table

Latest Non League Premier - Southern Central results

17 Oct	Stratford Town 1-1 Peterborough Sports
17 Oct	Bromsgrove Sporting 1-1 Banbury United
17 Oct	Halesowen Town 2-1 Hitchin Town
17 Oct	Bishop's Stortford 2-4 Racing Club Warwick
17 Oct	Stamford 0-4 Real Bedford
17 Oct	Leighton Town 0-3 Rushall Olympic