Worcester City vs Stourbridge• Non League Premier - Southern Central, England

#190.4:1.20-2LiveToday0.8:1.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.95BTNX3.35DAF22.55BFRMargin at best3.0%Books9Markets43Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.85	3.35	2.34	7.7%
Betano	2.95	3.30	2.22	9.2%
Pinnacle	2.89	3.31	2.19	10.5%
1xBet	2.83	3.22	2.25	10.8%
Betfair	2.40	3.30	2.55	11.2%
Bet365	2.75	3.25	2.25	11.6%
Marathonbet	2.76	3.22	2.23	12.1%
William Hill	2.80	3.00	2.25	13.5%
BetVictor	2.63	2.90	2.10	20.1%
Best of all books	2.95	3.35	2.55	3.0%
Average	2.76	3.21	2.26	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Worcester CityStourbridge

Last 10#19Table position#120.70Points per game1.305Form pts · last 570.4Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 51.433Attack rating6754Defence rating4629Form rating7180H2H rating2037Goals model6348Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 13:40 UTC

Worcester City

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Rushall Olympic	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Kettering Town	3-1	W
29 Sep	A	Racing Club Warwick	2-2	D
26 Sep	H	Leek Town	0-2	L
22 Sep	H	Banbury United	0-0	D
18 Sep	H	Stratford Town	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Needham Market	0-2	L
8 Sep	H	Knowle W	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Knowle W	1-1	D
31 Aug	H	Bromsgrove Sporting	0-1	L

Stourbridge

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	H	Leighton Town	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Racing Club Warwick	0-1	L
29 Sep	A	Alvechurch	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Rushall Olympic	3-1	W
22 Sep	H	Real Bedford	1-4	L
12 Sep	A	Hitchin Town	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Rushall Olympic	1-3	L
1 Sep	H	Leamington	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Banbury United	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Leiston	2-2	D

Head to head

1Worcester City wins

1draws

0Stourbridge wins

2 meetings · goals 5:4 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Worcester City

18 Nov 2025Non League Premier - Southern Central	Non League Premier - Southern Central	Worcester City3-2Stourbridge
10 Sep 2025Non League Premier - Southern Central	Non League Premier - Southern Central	Stourbridge2-2Worcester City

Non League Premier - Southern Central tableRegular Seasonupdated 13 Oct 01:20 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Southern Central table, Worcester City sit 19th with 7 points from 10 games, while Stourbridge are 12th with 13 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Real Bedford	10	9	1	0	30:11	+19	28
2	Bury Town	10	9	0	1	19:8	+11	27
3	Bromsgrove Sporting	10	7	2	1	18:9	+9	23
4	Rushall Olympic	11	7	0	4	22:17	+5	21
5	Alvechurch	10	6	2	2	17:5	+12	20
6	Kettering Town	10	5	4	1	17:7	+10	19
7	Peterborough Sports	11	5	4	2	20:15	+5	19
8	Anstey Nomads	10	4	4	2	17:14	+3	16
9	Needham Market	10	4	2	4	19:17	+2	14
10	Redditch United	10	3	4	3	15:14	+1	13
11	Halesowen Town	8	4	1	3	9:9	0	13
12	Stourbridge	10	3	4	3	11:13	-2	13
13	Leiston	10	3	3	4	17:17	0	12
14	Racing Club Warwick	11	2	5	4	11:14	-3	11
15	Bishop's Stortford	10	3	1	6	11:16	-5	10
16	Leamington	10	2	3	5	13:16	-3	9
17	Banbury United	10	2	3	5	12:18	-6	9
18	Stratford Town	10	2	3	5	11:19	-8	9
19	Worcester City	10	1	4	5	7:13	-6	7
20	Hitchin Town	11	1	4	6	7:17	-10	7
21	Leighton Town	10	1	2	7	13:22	-9	5
22	Stamford	10	0	0	10	3:28	-25	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.77X28%3.21240%2.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.41 → 2.79 +15.8%X3.25 → 3.24 -0.3%22.58 → 2.28 -11.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.95	1.81	6.5%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
BetVictor	1.71	1.63	19.8%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.88	1.77	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Betano	1.72	1.95	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.96	9.8%
William Hill	1.70	1.95	10.1%
BetVictor	1.55	1.80	20.1%
Best of all books	1.72	1.99	8.4%
Average	1.67	1.93	11.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Worcester City 10%Draw 45%Stourbridge 45%

The statistical model rates Worcester City at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Stourbridge at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.77 | 3.21 | 2.27, which imply roughly 31.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Southern Central table: Worcester City are 19th (7 pts, 7-13 goals), Stourbridge 12th (13 pts, 11-13).

Over their last five matches, Worcester City averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Stourbridge averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Stourbridge and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.76	3.21	2.26

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.52	1.37	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.03	1.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
3.40	2.11	2.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.11	9.35	1.84

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.45
1.5	1.26	3.03
2.5	1.88	1.78
3.5	3.03	1.26
4.5	5.48	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.57
1	1.02	7.90
1.25	1.14	4.39
1.75	1.33	2.72
2	1.42	2.39
2.25	1.64	1.97
2.75	2.09	1.57
3	2.50	1.39
3.25	2.79	1.31
3.75	4.00	1.17
4	5.50	1.08
4.25	5.90	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.84	1.37
-0.25	2.34	1.44
0	2.00	1.67
+0.25	1.73	1.90
+0.5	1.54	2.07
+0.75	1.38	2.54

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.01
-2	8.95	1.02
-1.75	7.90	1.02
-1.5	5.95	1.07
-1.25	5.45	1.08
-1	4.95	1.11
-0.75	3.19	1.28
+1	1.23	3.49
+1.25	1.16	4.05
+1.5	1.13	4.50
+1.75	1.07	5.90
+2.5	1.02	8.80