Bury Town vs Needham Market• Non League Premier - Southern Central, England

#21.6:1.00-5FTToday2.6:1.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.27DAFX3.50B36523.25BFRMargin at best3.4%Books9Markets44Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.27	3.45	2.85	8.1%
Betano	2.22	3.40	2.92	8.7%
Pinnacle	2.17	3.30	2.92	10.6%
1xBet	2.18	3.40	2.81	10.9%
Betfair	2.00	3.30	3.25	11.1%
Bet365	2.05	3.50	2.90	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.16	3.40	2.74	12.2%
William Hill	2.20	3.10	2.80	13.4%
BetVictor	2.00	3.10	2.63	20.3%
Best of all books	2.27	3.50	3.25	3.4%
Average	2.14	3.33	2.87	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bury TownNeedham Market

Last 10#2Table position#92.70Points per game1.407Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 52.61.0Goals against · last 51.838Attack rating6264Defence rating3660Form rating4036H2H rating6472Goals model2851Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 15:30 UTC

Bury Town

6W 1D 3L · goals 18:19 · per match 1.8 for, 1.9 against

10 Oct	A	Alvechurch	1-0	W
6 Oct	A	Spalding United	0-4	L
3 Oct	H	Spalding United	1-1	D
29 Sep	A	Bishop's Stortford	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	St Albans City	1-4	L
22 Sep	H	Hitchin Town	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Gorleston	4-3	W
12 Sep	A	Bromsgrove Sporting	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	London Lions	4-2	W
31 Aug	H	Leiston	4-3	W

Needham Market

4W 4D 2L · goals 22:16 · per match 2.2 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	H	Anstey Nomads	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Rushall Olympic	3-5	L
29 Sep	H	Stamford	4-0	W
26 Sep	A	Canvey Island	3-0	W
22 Sep	A	Braintree	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Braintree	3-3	D
12 Sep	H	Worcester City	2-0	W
8 Sep	H	Stanway Rovers	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Stanway Rovers	0-0	D
31 Aug	H	Peterborough Sports	3-3	D

Head to head

1Bury Town wins

1draws

2Needham Market wins

4 meetings · goals 6:10 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Bury Town

21 Feb 2026Non League Premier - Southern Central	Non League Premier - Southern Central	Bury Town1-1Needham Market
22 Oct 2025Non League Premier - Southern Central	Non League Premier - Southern Central	Needham Market4-2Bury Town
26 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Needham Market4-0Bury Town
27 Jul 2021Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Bury Town3-1Needham Market

Non League Premier - Southern Central tableRegular Seasonupdated 13 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Southern Central table, Bury Town sit 2nd with 27 points from 10 games, while Needham Market are 9th with 14 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Real Bedford	10	9	1	0	30:11	+19	28
2	Bury Town	10	9	0	1	19:8	+11	27
3	Bromsgrove Sporting	10	7	2	1	18:9	+9	23
4	Rushall Olympic	11	7	0	4	22:17	+5	21
5	Alvechurch	10	6	2	2	17:5	+12	20
6	Kettering Town	10	5	4	1	17:7	+10	19
7	Peterborough Sports	11	5	4	2	20:15	+5	19
8	Anstey Nomads	10	4	4	2	17:14	+3	16
9	Needham Market	10	4	2	4	19:17	+2	14
10	Redditch United	10	3	4	3	15:14	+1	13
11	Halesowen Town	8	4	1	3	9:9	0	13
12	Stourbridge	10	3	4	3	11:13	-2	13
13	Leiston	10	3	3	4	17:17	0	12
14	Racing Club Warwick	11	2	5	4	11:14	-3	11
15	Bishop's Stortford	10	3	1	6	11:16	-5	10
16	Leamington	10	2	3	5	13:16	-3	9
17	Banbury United	10	2	3	5	12:18	-6	9
18	Stratford Town	10	2	3	5	11:19	-8	9
19	Worcester City	10	1	4	5	7:13	-6	7
20	Hitchin Town	11	1	4	6	7:17	-10	7
21	Leighton Town	10	1	2	7	13:22	-9	5
22	Stamford	10	0	0	10	3:28	-25	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.10X27%3.32231%2.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.35 → 2.17 -7.7%X3.42 → 3.36 -1.8%22.55 → 2.88 +12.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.71	2.05	7.3%
Betano	1.72	2.00	8.1%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
BetVictor	1.56	1.79	20.0%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.69	1.98	9.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.13	9.8%
BetVictor	1.45	1.95	20.2%
Best of all books	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Average	1.56	2.12	11.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bury Town 35%Draw 35%Needham Market 30%

The statistical model rated Bury Town at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Needham Market at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 3.32 | 2.93, which imply roughly 47.6% for a Bury Town win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Southern Central table: Bury Town are 2nd (27 pts, 19-8 goals), Needham Market 9th (14 pts, 19-17).

Over their last five matches, Bury Town averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Needham Market averaged 2.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Bury Town or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.14	3.33	2.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.58	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.07

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.12

1st half

1	X	2
2.69	2.21	3.39

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	12.8	2.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	11.0
1.5	1.20	3.49
2.5	1.69	1.98
3.5	2.62	1.36
4.5	4.50	1.12
5.5	7.46	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.00
1.25	1.10	5.05
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.30	2.84
2.25	1.49	2.25
2.75	1.83	1.75
3	2.11	1.55
3.25	2.36	1.43
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.30	1.14
4.25	4.64	1.12
4.75	6.20	1.06
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.43	1.41
-0.5	2.03	1.56
-0.25	1.85	1.79
0	1.63	2.05
+0.25	1.44	2.35
+0.5	1.36	2.87

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.30	1.01
-2	7.60	1.03
-1.75	5.20	1.10
-1.5	4.10	1.16
-1.25	3.70	1.20
-1	3.24	1.27
+0.75	1.25	3.28
+1	1.12	4.65
+1.25	1.10	5.10
+1.5	1.08	5.50
+1.75	1.04	7.10
+2	1.02	9.00
+2.5	1.01	10.0