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Real Bedford vs Leiston• Non League Premier - Southern Central, England

#13.4:1.03-2FT29/092.0:2.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.45B365X5.411XB26.251XBMargin at best3.4%Books3Markets15Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Sep 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.364.906.509.3%
Bet3651.334.806.5011.4%
Betfair1.305.006.5012.3%
Best of all books1.365.006.508.9%
Average1.334.906.5011.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real BedfordLeiston
Last 10#1Table position#132.80Points per game1.207Form pts · last 543.4Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 52.063Attack rating3767Defence rating3368Form rating320H2H rating10067Goals model3366Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:51 UTC

Real Bedford

7W 1D 2L · goals 24:16 · per match 2.4 for, 1.6 against

10 OctHBromsgrove Sporting1-1D
3 OctAChesham United3-4L
29 SepHLeiston3-2W
26 SepHWingate & Finchley0-3L
22 SepAStourbridge4-1W
19 SepAHarleston Town2-1W
12 SepHRedditch United2-1W
5 SepHRoyston Town4-1W
31 AugHLeighton Town3-2W
29 AugAHalesowen Town2-0W

Leiston

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

10 OctARacing Club Warwick0-0D
3 OctHCoventry United3-1W
29 SepAReal Bedford2-3L
26 SepHDartford0-3L
22 SepHPeterborough Sports0-2L
19 SepAHitchin Town2-1W
12 SepABanbury United2-1W
8 SepHGrays Athletic5-0W
5 SepAGrays Athletic0-0D
31 AugABury Town3-4L

Head to head

0Real Bedford wins
0draws
2Leiston wins

2 meetings · goals 0:2 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Real Bedford

14 Apr 2026Non League Premier - Southern CentralNon League Premier - Southern CentralReal Bedford0-1Leiston
29 Nov 2025Non League Premier - Southern CentralNon League Premier - Southern CentralLeiston1-0Real Bedford

Non League Premier - Southern Central tableRegular Seasonupdated 17 Oct 16:11 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Southern Central table, Real Bedford sit 1st with 28 points from 10 games, while Leiston are 13th with 12 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Real Bedford1091030:11+1928
2Bury Town1190219:13+627
3Bromsgrove Sporting1182120:10+1026
4Peterborough Sports1264224:17+722
5Alvechurch1163218:6+1221
6Rushall Olympic1270524:20+421
7Kettering Town1154218:9+919
8Anstey Nomads1154220:16+419
9Needham Market1152424:17+717
10Stourbridge1144314:14016
11Redditch United1135317:16+114
12Halesowen Town942310:10014
13Leiston1033417:17012
14Racing Club Warwick1125411:14-311
15Leamington1124515:18-310
16Bishop's Stortford1031611:16-510
17Stratford Town1124511:19-810
18Banbury United1123614:22-89
19Worcester City111468:16-87
20Hitchin Town111467:17-107
21Leighton Town1012713:22-95
22Stamford1101103:28-251

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.40X20%4.60216%5.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

27 Sep 14:3129 Sep 12:111 1.39X 4.602 5.57
11.33 → 1.39 +4.5%X4.90 → 4.60 -6.1%26.50 → 5.57 -14.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
Betano1.422.4511.2%
Best of all books1.442.627.6%
Average1.432.549.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.651.9811.1%
Best of all books1.651.9811.1%
Average1.651.9811.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Bedford 45%Draw 45%Leiston 10%

The statistical model rated Real Bedford at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Leiston at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 4.60 | 5.58, which imply roughly 71.4% for a Real Bedford win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Southern Central table: Real Bedford are 1st (28 pts, 30-11 goals), Leiston 13th (12 pts, 17-17).

Over their last five matches, Real Bedford averaged 3.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Leiston averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Real Bedford and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.334.906.50

Double chance

1XX212
1.093.081.15

Draw no bet

12
1.134.70

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.651.98

1st half

1X2
1.752.655.93

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.134.40
2.51.432.54
3.251.881.82
3.52.021.62
4.53.101.27
5.54.851.11

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.51.911.84
-1.251.781.93