United of Manchester vs AFC Emley• Non League Premier - Northern, England

#222.2:2.218:45Today · Broadhurst Park, Manchester0.6:3.4#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65BTNX4.05BTN24.60BFRMargin at best7.0%Books9Markets65Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.68	3.95	4.30	8.1%
Betano	1.65	4.05	4.30	8.6%
Pinnacle	1.60	4.21	4.14	10.4%
Betfair	1.55	4.00	4.75	10.6%
1xBet	1.63	3.88	4.20	10.9%
Bet365	1.62	3.90	4.10	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.61	3.88	4.10	12.3%
William Hill	1.62	3.80	4.00	13.0%
BetVictor	1.53	3.40	3.90	20.4%
Best of all books	1.68	4.21	4.75	4.3%
Average	1.61	3.90	4.20	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

United of ManchesterAFC Emley

Last 10#22Table position#190.55Points per game0.837Form pts · last 502.2Goals for · last 50.62.2Goals against · last 53.479Attack rating2161Defence rating39100Form rating00H2H rating062Goals model3867Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 14:40 UTC

United of Manchester

4W 2D 4L · goals 24:16 · per match 2.4 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	A	Stockton Town	2-2	D
6 Oct	A	Alfreton Town	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Worksop Town	3-0	W
26 Sep	A	Hyde United	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Ossett United	4-1	W
12 Sep	H	Warrington Town	4-1	W
5 Sep	A	Garforth Town	5-1	W
31 Aug	H	Avro	3-4	L
29 Aug	A	Redcar Athletic	2-3	L
25 Aug	A	Bamber Bridge	1-1	D

AFC Emley

1W 2D 7L · goals 8:29 · per match 0.8 for, 2.9 against

10 Oct	H	Gainsborough Trinity	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Rylands	1-4	L
29 Sep	H	Workington	1-3	L
26 Sep	A	Bootle	0-5	L
19 Sep	H	Spennymoor Town	0-4	L
12 Sep	A	Bury	0-4	L
9 Sep	A	Bishop Auckland	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	Bishop Auckland	1-1	D
31 Aug	H	Guiseley AFC	0-4	L
29 Aug	A	Warrington Town	2-2	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between United of Manchester and AFC Emley on record.

Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 13 Oct 14:00 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, United of Manchester sit 22nd with 6 points from 11 games, while AFC Emley are 19th with 10 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	13	9	3	1	30:7	+23	30
2	Redcar Athletic	13	8	4	1	28:11	+17	28
3	Guiseley AFC	12	8	1	3	25:11	+14	25
4	Avro	11	8	1	2	33:20	+13	25
5	Curzon Ashton	11	7	1	3	23:11	+12	22
6	Workington	13	6	3	4	23:22	+1	21
7	Rylands	13	6	2	5	20:20	0	20
8	Bury	11	6	1	4	22:11	+11	19
9	Gainsborough Trinity	11	6	1	4	22:15	+7	19
10	Warrington Town	11	5	4	2	22:18	+4	19
11	Alfreton Town	13	6	0	7	20:16	+4	18
12	Lancaster City	13	5	2	6	18:26	-8	17
13	Hyde United	13	4	2	7	13:23	-10	14
14	Ashton United	11	3	4	4	14:13	+1	13
15	Quorn	12	3	4	5	21:27	-6	13
16	Whitby Town	12	4	1	7	17:32	-15	13
17	Stockton Town	13	3	3	7	17:24	-7	12
18	Leek Town	12	2	5	5	24:25	-1	11
19	AFC Emley	12	2	4	6	11:24	-13	10
20	Bamber Bridge	12	2	4	6	16:31	-15	10
21	Ilkeston Town	13	2	1	10	7:31	-24	7
22	United of Manchester	11	1	3	7	14:22	-8	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.62X23%3.94221%4.25

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.74 → 1.62 -6.9%X3.72 → 3.94 +5.9%23.77 → 4.25 +12.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
BetVictor	1.47	1.93	19.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Average	1.56	2.17	10.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Betano	1.65	2.07	8.9%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.16	10.0%
BetVictor	1.45	1.95	20.2%
Best of all books	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Average	1.57	2.11	11.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

United of Manchester 50%Draw 50%AFC Emley 0%

The statistical model rates United of Manchester at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and AFC Emley at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 3.94 | 4.25, which imply roughly 61.7% for a United of Manchester win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: United of Manchester are 22nd (6 pts, 14-22 goals), AFC Emley 19th (10 pts, 11-24).

Over their last five matches, United of Manchester averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; AFC Emley averaged 0.6 scored and 3.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : United of Manchester and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.61	3.90	4.20

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	2.10	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.26	3.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.11

1st half

1	X	2
2.08	2.35	4.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	16.1	2.57

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	12.8
1.5	1.15	4.01
2.5	1.56	2.17
3.5	2.36	1.45
4.5	4.01	1.15
5.5	7.07	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.50
1.25	1.06	6.35
1.75	1.17	3.98
2	1.22	3.50
2.25	1.39	2.54
2.75	1.67	1.94
3	1.89	1.72
3.25	2.11	1.55
3.75	2.74	1.33
4	3.75	1.19
4.25	4.10	1.16
4.75	5.65	1.08
5	8.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.68	1.38
-1.25	2.30	1.46
-1	2.01	1.66
-0.75	1.76	1.87
-0.5	1.59	2.07
-0.25	1.42	2.43

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.20	1.02
-3	8.30	1.03
-2.5	5.45	1.08
-2.25	5.05	1.10
-2	4.65	1.12
-1.75	3.34	1.24
0	1.28	3.24
+0.25	1.21	3.58
+0.75	1.09	5.35
+1	1.01	8.60
+1.25	1.01	9.48
+1.5	1.02	9.00
+1.75	1.01	8.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.97
7.5	1.19	3.68
8.5	1.42	2.57
9.5	1.74	1.99
10.5	2.17	1.60
11.5	2.86	1.34
12.5	4.00	1.16
13.5	5.98	1.05

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.07	5.46
8	1.25	3.30
9	1.53	2.29
10	1.98	1.78
11	2.58	1.42
12	3.66	1.20
13	5.58	1.06