Ashton United vs Alfreton Town• Non League Premier - Northern, England

#141.0:1.818:45Today1.0:1.4#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.60B365X3.55DAF22.55BTNMargin at best5.8%Books9Markets59Rating48 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.50	3.55	2.49	8.3%
Betano	2.42	3.50	2.55	9.1%
Betfair	2.45	3.50	2.45	10.2%
Pinnacle	2.39	3.50	2.49	10.6%
Bet365	2.40	3.50	2.45	11.1%
1xBet	2.42	3.38	2.42	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.42	3.38	2.42	12.2%
William Hill	2.40	3.20	2.50	12.9%
BetVictor	2.30	3.10	2.30	19.2%
Best of all books	2.50	3.55	2.55	7.4%
Average	2.41	3.40	2.45	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ashton UnitedAlfreton Town

Last 10#14Table position#111.18Points per game1.383Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 51.450Attack rating5044Defence rating5625Form rating750H2H rating071Goals model2948Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 14:40 UTC

Ashton United

1W 5D 4L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	A	Leek Town	2-2	D
6 Oct	A	Quorn	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	Warrington Town	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Buxton	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Cleethorpes Town	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Whitby Town	5-2	W
31 Aug	A	Curzon Ashton	0-2	L
28 Aug	H	Gainsborough Trinity	1-2	L
25 Aug	H	Ilkeston Town	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	AFC Emley	1-1	D

Alfreton Town

5W 0D 5L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

10 Oct	H	Bury	2-3	L
6 Oct	H	United of Manchester	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Redcar Athletic	1-3	L
29 Sep	H	Guiseley AFC	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Shifnal Town FC	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Bamber Bridge	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Stratford Town	0-2	L
31 Aug	A	Whitby Town	4-1	W
29 Aug	H	Rylands	1-2	L
25 Aug	H	Hyde United	4-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Ashton United and Alfreton Town on record.

Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 13 Oct 14:00 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Ashton United sit 14th with 13 points from 11 games, while Alfreton Town are 11th with 18 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	13	9	3	1	30:7	+23	30
2	Redcar Athletic	13	8	4	1	28:11	+17	28
3	Guiseley AFC	12	8	1	3	25:11	+14	25
4	Avro	11	8	1	2	33:20	+13	25
5	Curzon Ashton	11	7	1	3	23:11	+12	22
6	Workington	13	6	3	4	23:22	+1	21
7	Rylands	13	6	2	5	20:20	0	20
8	Bury	11	6	1	4	22:11	+11	19
9	Gainsborough Trinity	11	6	1	4	22:15	+7	19
10	Warrington Town	11	5	4	2	22:18	+4	19
11	Alfreton Town	13	6	0	7	20:16	+4	18
12	Lancaster City	13	5	2	6	18:26	-8	17
13	Hyde United	13	4	2	7	13:23	-10	14
14	Ashton United	11	3	4	4	14:13	+1	13
15	Quorn	12	3	4	5	21:27	-6	13
16	Whitby Town	12	4	1	7	17:32	-15	13
17	Stockton Town	13	3	3	7	17:24	-7	12
18	Leek Town	12	2	5	5	24:25	-1	11
19	AFC Emley	12	2	4	6	11:24	-13	10
20	Bamber Bridge	12	2	4	6	16:31	-15	10
21	Ilkeston Town	13	2	1	10	7:31	-24	7
22	United of Manchester	11	1	3	7	14:22	-8	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.46X26%3.44237%2.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.53 → 2.46 -2.8%X3.47 → 3.44 -0.9%22.35 → 2.44 +3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Betano	1.70	2.02	8.3%
1xBet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
BetVictor	1.55	1.80	20.1%
Best of all books	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Average	1.68	2.00	9.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
William Hill	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.16	10.0%
BetVictor	1.44	1.95	20.7%
Best of all books	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Average	1.56	2.12	11.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ashton United 35%Draw 35%Alfreton Town 30%

The statistical model rates Ashton United at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Alfreton Town at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.46 | 3.44 | 2.44, which imply roughly 40.7% for a Ashton United win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: Ashton United are 14th (13 pts, 14-13 goals), Alfreton Town 11th (18 pts, 20-16).

Over their last five matches, Ashton United averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Alfreton Town averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ashton United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.41	3.40	2.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.45	1.46	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.76	1.80

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.12

1st half

1	X	2
2.96	2.20	2.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.91	12.9	1.93

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	11.0
1.5	1.19	3.53
2.5	1.68	2.00
3.5	2.60	1.37
4.5	4.40	1.12
5.5	7.39	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.20
1.25	1.10	5.15
1.75	1.24	3.34
2	1.30	2.86
2.25	1.48	2.26
2.75	1.82	1.77
3	2.09	1.56
3.25	2.34	1.44
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.20	1.15
4.25	4.55	1.13
4.75	6.05	1.06
5	8.40	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.82	1.35
-0.5	2.23	1.45
-0.25	2.04	1.60
0	1.81	1.84
+0.25	1.61	2.07
+0.5	1.42	2.30

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.01
-2	8.90	1.01
-1.75	6.05	1.06
-1.5	4.70	1.12
-1.25	4.30	1.15
-1	3.88	1.18
+0.75	1.33	2.87
+1	1.18	3.88
+1.25	1.15	4.30
+1.5	1.12	4.70
+1.75	1.06	6.05
+2	1.01	8.90
+2.5	1.02	8.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.25
7.5	1.24	3.32
8.5	1.50	2.37
9.5	1.85	1.85
10.5	2.35	1.51
11.5	3.16	1.27
12.5	4.54	1.12
13.5	6.97	1.02

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.76
8	1.31	2.97
9	1.64	2.12
10	2.10	1.65
11	2.85	1.34
12	4.17	1.14
13	6.54	1.03