Avro vs Lancaster City• Non League Premier - Northern, England

#43.2:2.04-3LiveToday1.2:1.6#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX4.01PIN24.33BFRMargin at best5.2%Books8Markets66Rating61 · 40Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.75	3.95	3.80	8.8%
Betfair	1.62	4.00	4.33	9.8%
Pinnacle	1.71	4.01	3.69	10.5%
1xBet	1.66	3.90	3.99	10.9%
Bet365	1.67	4.00	3.80	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.64	3.90	3.90	12.3%
William Hill	1.70	3.60	3.80	12.9%
BetVictor	1.60	3.40	3.60	19.7%
Best of all books	1.75	4.01	4.33	5.2%
Average	1.67	3.84	3.86	11.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AvroLancaster City

Last 10#4Table position#122.44Points per game1.4512Form pts · last 563.2Goals for · last 51.22.0Goals against · last 51.673Attack rating2744Defence rating5659Form rating410H2H rating066Goals model3461Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 16:51 UTC

Avro

7W 1D 2L · goals 28:17 · per match 2.8 for, 1.7 against

26 Sep	A	Dunston UTS	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Gainsborough Trinity	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Witton Albion	0-2	L
31 Aug	A	United of Manchester	4-3	W
29 Aug	H	Stockton Town	5-3	W
26 Aug	H	Leek Town	4-4	D
22 Aug	A	Hyde United	1-0	W
19 Aug	H	Workington	4-1	W
15 Aug	A	Alfreton Town	0-3	L
11 Aug	A	Bamber Bridge	6-1	W

Lancaster City

5W 1D 4L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	H	Ilkeston Town	2-1	W
29 Sep	A	Whitby Town	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Cleethorpes Town	1-5	L
19 Sep	A	Bradford (Park Avenue)	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Curzon Ashton	0-2	L
8 Sep	A	Tadcaster Albion	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Tadcaster Albion	1-1	D
31 Aug	H	Workington	0-3	L
28 Aug	A	Guiseley AFC	2-1	W
25 Aug	A	Bury	1-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Avro and Lancaster City on record.

Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 6 Oct 22:41 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Avro sit 4th with 22 points from 9 games, while Lancaster City are 12th with 16 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	12	8	3	1	27:7	+20	27
2	Redcar Athletic	12	7	4	1	23:11	+12	25
3	Guiseley AFC	11	7	1	3	24:11	+13	22
4	Avro	9	7	1	1	28:16	+12	22
5	Workington	12	6	3	3	23:19	+4	21
6	Rylands	12	6	2	4	20:17	+3	20
7	Curzon Ashton	10	6	1	3	21:11	+10	19
8	Alfreton Town	12	6	0	6	18:13	+5	18
9	Warrington Town	10	5	3	2	20:16	+4	18
10	Bury	10	5	1	4	19:9	+10	16
11	Gainsborough Trinity	10	5	1	4	20:14	+6	16
12	Lancaster City	11	5	1	5	13:19	-6	16
13	Hyde United	12	4	2	6	13:21	-8	14
14	Ashton United	10	3	3	4	12:11	+1	12
15	Whitby Town	11	4	0	7	17:32	-15	12
16	Stockton Town	12	3	2	7	15:22	-7	11
17	Leek Town	11	2	4	5	22:23	-1	10
18	Quorn	11	2	4	5	18:27	-9	10
19	AFC Emley	11	2	4	5	10:22	-12	10
20	Bamber Bridge	11	2	3	6	16:31	-15	9
21	Ilkeston Town	12	2	1	9	7:26	-19	7
22	United of Manchester	10	1	2	7	12:20	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.69X23%3.85223%3.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.58 → 1.67 +5.7%X4.16 → 3.84 -7.7%24.50 → 3.86 -14.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.56	2.28	8.0%
Betano	1.53	2.30	8.8%
1xBet	1.53	2.21	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.21	10.6%
BetVictor	1.44	1.97	20.2%
Best of all books	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Average	1.53	2.22	10.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.55	2.25	9.0%
William Hill	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.55	2.24	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.20	10.0%
BetVictor	1.40	2.05	20.2%
Best of all books	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Average	1.53	2.18	11.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Avro 45%Draw 45%Lancaster City 10%

The statistical model rates Avro at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lancaster City at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.85 | 3.83, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Avro win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: Avro are 4th (22 pts, 28-16 goals), Lancaster City 12th (16 pts, 13-19).

Over their last five matches, Avro averaged 3.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Lancaster City averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Avro and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.67	3.84	3.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	2.00	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	2.96

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.53	2.18

1st half

1	X	2
2.14	2.37	4.16

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	16.1	2.43

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	14.5
1.5	1.14	4.08
2.5	1.53	2.22
3.5	2.30	1.48
4.5	3.73	1.17
5.5	6.21	1.05

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
1.75	1.17	4.00
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.37	2.57
2.75	1.64	1.96
3	1.83	1.77
3.25	2.07	1.58
3.75	2.65	1.35
4	3.42	1.23
4.25	3.74	1.19
4.75	5.00	1.10
5	6.75	1.04
5.25	7.09	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.61	1.38
-1.25	2.39	1.45
-1	2.10	1.61
-0.75	1.82	1.81
-0.5	1.66	2.00
-0.25	1.48	2.31

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.95	1.02
-2.75	6.30	1.08
-2.5	4.95	1.13
-2.25	4.63	1.15
-2	4.27	1.17
-1.75	3.14	1.30
0	1.32	3.03
+0.25	1.26	3.38
+0.5	1.25	3.80
+0.75	1.13	4.83
+1	1.05	7.07
+1.5	1.02	8.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.25
7.5	1.24	3.32
8.5	1.50	2.37
9.5	1.87	1.88
10.5	2.35	1.51
11.5	3.16	1.27
12.5	4.54	1.12
13.5	6.97	1.02

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.76
8	1.31	2.97
9	1.64	2.12
10	2.10	1.65
11	2.85	1.34
12	4.17	1.14
13	6.54	1.03