Redcar Athletic vs Alfreton Town• Non League Premier - Northern, England

#31.8:1.03-1FT03/102.0:0.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80B365X4.141XB24.081XBMargin at best4.2%Books5Markets44Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.83	4.11	3.84	5.0%
Betano	1.85	3.75	3.50	9.3%
Betfair	1.75	3.60	3.80	11.2%
Bet365	1.80	3.70	3.40	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	3.64	3.62	12.2%
Best of all books	1.85	4.11	3.84	4.4%
Average	1.80	3.76	3.63	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Redcar AthleticAlfreton Town

Last 10#3Table position#82.08Points per game1.507Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 52.01.0Goals against · last 50.847Attack rating5344Defence rating5655Form rating450H2H rating070Goals model3054Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 16:31 UTC

Redcar Athletic

6W 2D 2L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

6 Oct	A	Curzon Ashton	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Alfreton Town	3-1	W
26 Sep	A	Guisborough Town	1-0	W
22 Sep	A	Cleethorpes Town	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	Macclesfield	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Leek Town	3-2	W
5 Sep	H	Stocksbridge Park Steels	1-0	W
31 Aug	A	Stockton Town	2-0	W
29 Aug	H	United of Manchester	3-2	W
25 Aug	H	AFC Emley	0-0	D

Alfreton Town

5W 0D 5L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

6 Oct	H	United of Manchester	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Redcar Athletic	1-3	L
29 Sep	H	Guiseley AFC	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Shifnal Town FC	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Bamber Bridge	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Stratford Town	0-2	L
31 Aug	A	Whitby Town	4-1	W
29 Aug	H	Rylands	1-2	L
25 Aug	H	Hyde United	4-0	W
22 Aug	A	Stockton Town	0-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Redcar Athletic and Alfreton Town on record.

Non League Premier - Northern tableRegular Seasonupdated 9 Oct 03:41 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Northern table, Redcar Athletic sit 3rd with 25 points from 12 games, while Alfreton Town are 8th with 18 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	12	8	3	1	27:7	+20	27
2	Avro	10	8	1	1	33:19	+14	25
3	Redcar Athletic	12	7	4	1	23:11	+12	25
4	Guiseley AFC	11	7	1	3	24:11	+13	22
5	Workington	12	6	3	3	23:19	+4	21
6	Rylands	12	6	2	4	20:17	+3	20
7	Curzon Ashton	10	6	1	3	21:11	+10	19
8	Alfreton Town	12	6	0	6	18:13	+5	18
9	Warrington Town	10	5	3	2	20:16	+4	18
10	Bury	10	5	1	4	19:9	+10	16
11	Gainsborough Trinity	10	5	1	4	20:14	+6	16
12	Lancaster City	12	5	1	6	16:24	-8	16
13	Hyde United	12	4	2	6	13:21	-8	14
14	Ashton United	10	3	3	4	12:11	+1	12
15	Whitby Town	11	4	0	7	17:32	-15	12
16	Stockton Town	12	3	2	7	15:22	-7	11
17	Leek Town	11	2	4	5	22:23	-1	10
18	Quorn	11	2	4	5	18:27	-9	10
19	AFC Emley	11	2	4	5	10:22	-12	10
20	Bamber Bridge	11	2	3	6	16:31	-15	9
21	Ilkeston Town	12	2	1	9	7:26	-19	7
22	United of Manchester	10	1	2	7	12:20	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.74X25%3.64224%3.79

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.80 → 1.74 -3.3%X3.76 → 3.65 -2.9%23.63 → 3.79 +4.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.70	2.16	5.1%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Betano	1.65	1.98	11.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.16	5.1%
Average	1.68	2.07	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.09	10.0%
Betano	1.62	2.02	11.2%
Best of all books	1.62	2.13	8.7%
Average	1.61	2.08	10.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Redcar Athletic 45%Draw 45%Alfreton Town 10%

The statistical model rated Redcar Athletic at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Alfreton Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 3.64 | 3.79, which imply roughly 57.5% for a Redcar Athletic win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Northern table: Redcar Athletic are 3rd (25 pts, 23-11 goals), Alfreton Town 8th (18 pts, 18-13).

Over their last five matches, Redcar Athletic averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Alfreton Town averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Redcar Athletic or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.80	3.76	3.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.86	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.64

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
2.36	2.31	4.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	14.0	2.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.19	3.85
2.5	1.68	2.07
3.5	2.59	1.42
4.5	4.54	1.14
5.5	6.20	1.05

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.25	1.09	5.77
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.28	3.08
2.25	1.50	2.44
2.75	1.82	1.82
3	2.10	1.59
3.25	2.42	1.49
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.20	1.15
4.25	4.65	1.13
4.75	6.20	1.06
5	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.76	1.36
-1	2.44	1.46
-0.75	1.98	1.67
-0.5	1.84	1.92
-0.25	1.55	2.17
0	1.35	2.74

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.25	1.06
-2.25	5.90	1.07
-2	5.50	1.08
-1.75	3.88	1.18
-1.5	3.08	1.28
+0.25	1.28	3.08
+0.75	1.13	4.60
+1	1.04	7.00
+1.25	1.03	7.50
+1.5	1.02	7.90