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Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town• Non League Premier - Isthmian, England

#21.6:0.44-2FT17/102.0:1.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.87PINX3.70B36523.40B365Margin at best9.9%Books4Markets48Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3651.853.703.4010.5%
Pinnacle1.873.653.3610.6%
1xBet1.863.603.4011.0%
Marathonbet1.843.603.3212.2%
Best of all books1.873.703.409.9%
Average1.853.643.3711.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Welling UnitedBurgess Hill Town
Last 10#2Table position#92.25Points per game1.5510Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 52.00.4Goals against · last 51.044Attack rating5671Defence rating2957Form rating430H2H rating10095Goals model560Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 15:10 UTC

Welling United

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

17 OctHBurgess Hill Town4-2W
10 OctAEastbourne Borough0-1L
6 OctAMaldon & Tiptree1-0W
3 OctHWhyteleafe1-0W
26 SepHChertsey Town2-2D
19 SepADulwich Hamlet1-4L
15 SepHCheshunt2-0W
12 SepHWingate & Finchley4-1W
8 SepHFaversham Town2-1W
5 SepAFaversham Town1-1D

Burgess Hill Town

4W 4D 2L · goals 22:14 · per match 2.2 for, 1.4 against

17 OctAWelling United2-4L
13 OctHDulwich Hamlet2-0W
10 OctHAveley1-1D
3 OctHMaldon & Tiptree4-1W
26 SepHWinslow United6-2W
19 SepAHanwell Town1-2L
15 SepAJersey Bulls3-1W
12 SepHRamsgate2-2D
5 SepHJersey Bulls0-0D
31 AugAWhitehawk1-1D

Head to head

0Welling United wins
0draws
2Burgess Hill Town wins

2 meetings · goals 2:4 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Welling United

7 Mar 2026Non League Premier - IsthmianNon League Premier - IsthmianBurgess Hill Town2-1Welling United
8 Nov 2025Non League Premier - IsthmianNon League Premier - IsthmianWelling United1-2Burgess Hill Town

Non League Premier - Isthmian tableRegular Seasonupdated 18 Oct 15:11 UTC

In the Non League Premier - Isthmian table, Welling United sit 2nd with 27 points from 12 games, while Burgess Hill Town are 9th with 17 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Enfield Town1291233:16+1728
2Welling United1290324:12+1227
3Lewes1382320:14+626
4Dartford1280419:14+524
5Carshalton Athletic1471621:24-322
6Ramsgate1261527:17+1019
7Eastbourne Borough1061319:11+819
8Chatham Town1160522:14+818
9Burgess Hill Town1145220:15+517
10St Albans City952218:13+517
11Dulwich Hamlet1152420:16+417
12Wingate & Finchley1152420:21-117
13Whyteleafe1343620:22-215
14Leatherhead1143418:20-215
15Cheshunt1236312:15-315
16Aveley1242619:19014
17Cray Wanderers933319:14+512
18Maldon & Tiptree1331916:34-1810
19Brentwood Town1030715:19-49
20Three Bridges1223723:34-119
21Whitehawk1313912:32-206
22Stanway Rovers111199:30-214

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.86X25%3.64227%3.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 02:3016 Oct 17:501 1.86X 3.642 3.37
12.04 → 1.86 -8.8%X3.58 → 3.64 +1.7%22.97 → 3.37 +13.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.732.085.9%
Pinnacle1.702.067.4%
1xBet1.682.029.0%
Marathonbet1.682.029.0%
Best of all books1.732.085.9%
Average1.702.047.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.612.139.1%
Marathonbet1.612.0910.0%
Best of all books1.612.139.1%
Average1.612.119.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Welling United 35%Draw 35%Burgess Hill Town 30%

The statistical model rated Welling United at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Burgess Hill Town at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.86 | 3.64 | 3.37, which imply roughly 53.8% for a Welling United win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Non League Premier - Isthmian table: Welling United are 2nd (27 pts, 24-12 goals), Burgess Hill Town 9th (17 pts, 20-15).

Over their last five matches, Welling United averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Burgess Hill Town averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Welling United or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.863.643.37

Double chance

1XX212
1.231.751.20

Draw no bet

12
1.442.62

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.612.11

1st half

1X2
2.392.283.86

2nd half

1X2
2.232.563.60

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.8314.529.7
HT X5.036.208.07
HT 221.715.25.53

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6513.32.29

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.8
1.51.193.80
2.51.702.05
3.52.711.37
4.54.851.11
5.58.901.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.70
1.251.095.25
1.751.253.35
21.313.00
2.251.502.36
2.751.861.81
32.161.59
3.252.441.46
3.753.211.26
44.201.15
4.254.551.13
4.756.051.06
58.401.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.621.41
-0.752.111.61
-0.51.891.89
-0.251.692.04
01.422.52
+0.251.332.87
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.551.05
-2.256.251.06
-25.851.07
-1.754.151.16
-1.53.281.25
-1.252.931.32
+0.751.164.05
+11.066.00
+1.251.056.45
+1.51.046.85
+1.751.037.70

Next Non League Premier - Isthmian matches

19 OctAveley – Maldon & Tiptree
20 OctBrentwood Town – Dartford
20 OctCheshunt – Cray Wanderers
20 OctDulwich Hamlet – Chatham Town
20 OctThree Bridges – Eastbourne Borough
20 OctWingate & Finchley – Carshalton Athletic

All Non League Premier - Isthmian fixtures and the table

Latest Non League Premier - Isthmian results

17 OctWingate & Finchley 4-1 Stanway Rovers
17 OctWhyteleafe 2-1 Dartford
17 OctThree Bridges 3-3 Enfield Town
17 OctCheshunt 1-1 Whitehawk
17 OctAveley 1-0 Chatham Town
17 OctLewes 1-1 Maldon & Tiptree