Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic• Challenge Cup, Scotland

1.6:1.218:45Today · Ainslie Park, Edinburgh1.6:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62BTNX4.40DAF24.80BVCMargin at best5.3%Books9Markets52Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.60	4.40	4.50	7.4%
BetVictor	1.55	4.20	4.80	9.2%
Betano	1.60	4.20	4.35	9.3%
Betfair	1.53	4.33	4.60	10.2%
1xBet	1.53	4.25	4.62	10.5%
Pinnacle	1.57	4.10	4.45	10.6%
Bet365	1.53	4.33	4.33	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.51	4.25	4.55	11.7%
William Hill	1.57	3.80	4.40	12.7%
Best of all books	1.60	4.40	4.80	6.1%
Average	1.55	4.21	4.51	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SpartansBonnyrigg Rose Athletic

Last 107Form pts · last 591.6Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5063Defence rating3847Form rating5371H2H rating2978Goals model2262Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 13:30 UTC

Spartans

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against

10 Oct	A	Edinburgh City	3-1	W
3 Oct	H	Kelty Hearts	0-2	L
25 Sep	H	Dundee II	1-0	W
22 Sep	A	Gala Fairydean Rovers	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Dumbarton	0-3	L
12 Sep	H	Forfar Athletic	5-1	W
8 Sep	H	Hamilton Academical	0-4	L
5 Sep	A	Stirling Albion	2-0	W
29 Aug	H	Clyde	3-3	D
25 Aug	H	Hearts U21	5-0	W

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

5W 0D 5L · goals 18:18 · per match 1.8 for, 1.8 against

3 Oct	A	Clachnacuddin	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Motherwell U21	3-0	W
22 Sep	H	Airdrie United	1-6	L
19 Sep	H	Stirling University	6-1	W
16 Sep	A	Gala Fairydean Rovers	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Civil Service Strollers	0-2	L
8 Sep	A	East Kilbride	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Hill Of Beath Hawthorn	1-2	L
25 Aug	H	Rangers U21	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Berwick Rangers	2-0	W

Head to head

5Spartans wins

4draws

3Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic wins

12 meetings · goals 20:17 · last 10: 5W 4D 1L for Spartans

29 Nov 2025FA Cup	FA Cup	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic1-2Spartans
26 Apr 2025League Two	League Two	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2-1Spartans
1 Mar 2025League Two	League Two	Spartans3-1Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
21 Jan 2025League Two	League Two	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2-2Spartans
10 Aug 2024League Two	League Two	Spartans2-0Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
20 Apr 2024League Two	League Two	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic0-1Spartans
5 Mar 2024League Two	League Two	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2-2Spartans
24 Feb 2024League Two	League Two	Spartans2-1Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
30 Sep 2023League Two	League Two	Spartans2-2Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
8 Jan 2022Football League - Lowland League	Football League - Lowland League	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2-2Spartans

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.56X22%4.22220%4.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betfair	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Pinnacle	1.42	2.64	8.3%
Betano	1.42	2.62	8.6%
1xBet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.88	4.2%
Average	1.40	2.68	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
1xBet	1.47	2.47	8.5%
Betano	1.47	2.45	8.8%
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.42	9.3%
William Hill	1.44	2.40	11.1%
Best of all books	1.53	2.60	3.8%
Average	1.47	2.45	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Spartans 45%Draw 45%Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 10%

The statistical model rates Spartans at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.56 | 4.22 | 4.49, which imply roughly 64.1% for a Spartans win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Spartans averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic averaged 1.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Spartans or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.55	4.21	4.51

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	2.25	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.26	3.53

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.45

1st half

1	X	2
2.01	2.54	4.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	21.0	2.57

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	18.8
1.5	1.10	5.77
2.5	1.40	2.68
3.5	2.03	1.70
4.5	3.34	1.27
5.5	6.28	1.10
6.5	13.0	1.04
7.5	23.0	1.01
8.5	51.0	–

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.11	4.99
2	1.13	4.60
2.25	1.26	3.20
2.75	1.50	2.34
3	1.63	2.09
3.25	1.84	1.84
3.75	2.29	1.52
4	2.76	1.36
4.25	3.04	1.29
5	5.30	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.37	1.50
-1.25	2.14	1.62
-1	1.89	1.81
-0.75	1.66	2.06
-0.5	1.54	2.33
-0.25	1.38	2.74

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.00	1.04
-3	7.50	1.03
-2.75	5.50	1.15
-2.5	4.22	1.17
-2.25	3.80	1.22
-2	3.48	1.25
-1.75	2.78	1.37
0	1.23	3.62
+0.25	1.19	4.02
+0.5	1.20	4.40
+0.75	1.13	5.90
+1	1.01	8.70
+1.5	1.03	8.40