East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts• Challenge Cup, Scotland

3.4:2.418:45Today · K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride2.8:2.6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42BTNX5.20DAF26.00BFRMargin at best6.3%Books9Markets56Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L55.6

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:38 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.41	5.20	5.80	7.4%
Betano	1.42	5.00	5.70	8.0%
BetVictor	1.36	5.25	6.00	9.2%
Pinnacle	1.37	4.92	5.82	10.5%
1xBet	1.37	4.90	5.83	10.6%
Bet365	1.38	5.00	5.25	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.36	4.90	5.60	11.8%
William Hill	1.40	4.50	5.50	11.8%
Betfair	1.33	5.00	6.00	11.9%
Best of all books	1.42	5.25	6.00	6.1%
Average	1.38	4.96	5.72	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

East KilbrideKelty Hearts

Last 108Form pts · last 563.4Goals for · last 52.82.4Goals against · last 52.655Attack rating4552Defence rating4853Form rating4788H2H rating130Goals model10062Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 13:30 UTC

East Kilbride

5W 2D 3L · goals 22:18 · per match 2.2 for, 1.8 against

10 Oct	H	Airdrie United	2-2	D
3 Oct	A	East Fife	3-0	W
26 Sep	A	Stranraer	3-4	L
22 Sep	H	Celtic II	3-3	D
19 Sep	A	Alloa Athletic	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Peterhead	3-1	W
8 Sep	H	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Hamilton Academical	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	Ross County	0-4	L
25 Aug	A	Cowdenbeath	3-1	W

Kelty Hearts

4W 0D 6L · goals 17:22 · per match 1.7 for, 2.2 against

10 Oct	A	Stirling Albion	1-2	L
3 Oct	A	Spartans	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Montrose	2-1	W
22 Sep	H	Hearts U21	3-5	L
19 Sep	H	Edinburgh City	1-3	L
12 Sep	A	Clyde	1-4	L
8 Sep	A	Cumbernauld Colts	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Annan Athletic	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Stranraer	0-2	L
25 Aug	H	Clydebank	2-4	L

Head to head

2East Kilbride wins

0draws

0Kelty Hearts wins

2 meetings · goals 5:0 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for East Kilbride

27 Jun 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	East Kilbride4-0Kelty Hearts
7 Nov 2020Football League - Lowland League	Football League - Lowland League	Kelty Hearts0-1East Kilbride

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.38X18%4.93216%5.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.40 → 1.38 -1.4%X4.83 → 4.93 +2.1%25.61 → 5.72 +2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.28	3.60	5.9%
BetVictor	1.25	3.60	7.8%
Betano	1.28	3.35	8.0%
Betfair	1.22	3.80	8.3%
1xBet	1.24	3.34	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.24	3.34	10.6%
Best of all books	1.28	3.80	4.4%
Average	1.25	3.51	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.42	2.65	8.2%
Betfair	1.36	2.88	8.3%
1xBet	1.40	2.70	8.5%
BetVictor	1.36	2.80	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.64	9.3%
William Hill	1.36	2.70	10.6%
Best of all books	1.42	2.88	5.1%
Average	1.38	2.73	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

East Kilbride 45%Draw 45%Kelty Hearts 10%

The statistical model rates East Kilbride at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kelty Hearts at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 4.93 | 5.72, which imply roughly 72.5% for a East Kilbride win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, East Kilbride averaged 3.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Kelty Hearts averaged 2.8 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : East Kilbride or draw and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.38	4.96	5.72

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.75	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.16	4.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.38	2.73

1st half

1	X	2
1.77	2.86	5.22

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	33.5	2.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	21.0
1.5	1.05	7.85
2.5	1.25	3.51
3.5	1.66	2.08
4.5	2.47	1.46
5.5	4.14	1.20
6.5	7.10	1.07
7.5	9.00	1.03

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.04	6.83
2	1.06	6.25
2.25	1.14	4.30
2.75	1.31	2.96
3	1.34	2.82
3.25	1.52	2.32
3.75	1.81	1.86
4	2.03	1.68
4.25	2.24	1.54
4.75	2.83	1.33
5	3.50	1.22

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.55	1.42
-1.75	2.17	1.59
-1.5	1.96	1.77
-1.25	1.75	1.95
-1	1.59	2.21
-0.75	1.44	2.51

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	9.60	1.01
-4	8.90	1.02
-3.5	5.40	1.09
-3	4.80	1.11
-2.75	3.50	1.22
-2.5	3.08	1.28
-2.25	2.80	1.35
-0.5	1.40	2.62
-0.25	1.25	3.28
0	1.14	4.45
+0.25	1.20	4.10
+1	1.05	7.30
+1.5	1.03	8.10