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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC• Super League 1, Greece

#22.0:0.42-0FT01/11 · Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, Athens3.2:0.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.21DAFX3.41PIN23.49PINMargin at best3.2%Books10Markets80Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 14:11 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.193.413.493.6%
Betano2.203.353.404.7%
Bet3652.153.403.405.3%
Dafabet2.213.353.305.4%
1xBet2.193.263.267.0%
Betfair2.153.303.307.1%
BetVictor2.153.403.207.2%
Marathonbet2.173.263.257.5%
William Hill2.103.103.3010.2%
SBO2.063.183.0213.1%
Best of all books2.213.413.493.2%
Average2.163.303.297.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PanathinaikosAEK Athens FC
Last 10#2Table position#42.63Points per game2.4315Form pts · last 532.0Goals for · last 53.20.4Goals against · last 50.438Attack rating6250Defence rating5048Form rating5229H2H rating7167Goals model3344Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 00:01 UTC

Panathinaikos

9W 0D 1L · goals 23:5 · per match 2.3 for, 0.5 against

1 NovHAEK Athens FC2-0W
28 OctHAris Thessalonikis2-1W
25 OctAVolos NFC1-0W
22 OctAKairat Almaty5-1W
18 OctHAsteras Tripolis5-1W
15 OctHBorac Banja Luka2-1W
11 OctAOlympiakos Piraeus0-1L
20 SepAKalamata1-0W
16 SepAKifisia2-0W
13 SepHPanetolikos3-0W

AEK Athens FC

5W 1D 4L · goals 23:16 · per match 2.3 for, 1.6 against

1 NovAPanathinaikos0-2L
28 OctAPAOK1-3L
24 OctHPanetolikos5-0W
20 OctAManchester City1-5L
14 OctAShakhtar Donetsk1-3L
10 OctHOFI3-0W
20 SepAVolos NFC2-1W
17 SepHPanserraikos8-1W
13 SepAAsteras Tripolis1-1D
8 SepHLask Linz1-0W

Head to head

15Panathinaikos wins
14draws
17AEK Athens FC wins

46 meetings · goals 45:53 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Panathinaikos

10 May 2026Super League 1Super League 1AEK Athens FC2-1Panathinaikos
3 May 2026Super League 1Super League 1Panathinaikos0-0AEK Athens FC
18 Jan 2026Super League 1Super League 1AEK Athens FC4-0Panathinaikos
30 Nov 2025Super League 1Super League 1Panathinaikos2-3AEK Athens FC
4 May 2025Super League 1Super League 1AEK Athens FC1-2Panathinaikos
6 Apr 2025Super League 1Super League 1Panathinaikos3-1AEK Athens FC
19 Jan 2025Super League 1Super League 1Panathinaikos1-0AEK Athens FC
29 Sep 2024Super League 1Super League 1AEK Athens FC2-0Panathinaikos
24 Apr 2024Super League 1Super League 1AEK Athens FC3-0Panathinaikos
3 Apr 2024Super League 1Super League 1Panathinaikos2-1AEK Athens FC

Super League 1 tableSuper Leagueupdated 1 Nov 21:20 UTC

In the Super League 1 table, Panathinaikos sit 2nd with 21 points from 8 games, while AEK Athens FC are 4th with 17 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Olympiakos Piraeus971115:4+1122
2Panathinaikos870118:4+1421
3PAOK960318:12+618
4AEK Athens FC752021:3+1817
5Aris Thessalonikis951313:17-416
6OFI951314:12+216
7Kifisia932412:14-211
8Kalamata831413:17-410
9Iraklis 190882339:11-29
10Panetolikos93068:17-99
11Levadiakos91353:11-86
12Asteras Tripolis91358:17-96
13Atromitos70256:12-62
14Volos NFC80356:13-70

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.05X28%3.37227%3.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Oct 00:011 Nov 16:011 2.16X 3.302 3.29
12.26 → 2.16 -4.4%X3.34 → 3.30 -1.2%22.98 → 3.29 +10.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.921.953.4%
SBO1.881.964.2%
Betano1.881.954.5%
Bet3651.901.905.3%
Betfair1.871.906.1%
1xBet1.851.897.0%
Marathonbet1.851.897.0%
BetVictor1.841.839.0%
Best of all books1.921.963.1%
Average1.871.915.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.622.256.2%
Betano1.652.157.1%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
1xBet1.662.098.1%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.662.068.8%
Best of all books1.702.253.3%
Average1.662.117.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Panathinaikos 10%Draw 45%AEK Athens FC 45%

The statistical model rated Panathinaikos at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and AEK Athens FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.05 | 3.37 | 3.43, which imply roughly 29.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super League 1 table: Panathinaikos are 2nd (21 pts, 18-4 goals), AEK Athens FC 4th (17 pts, 21-3).

Over their last five matches, Panathinaikos averaged 2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; AEK Athens FC averaged 3.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or AEK Athens FC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1

Coach: Jacob Neestrup

Goalkeeper

  • 1Iñaki Peña

Defence

  • 2D. Calabria
  • 6S. de Vrij
  • 55R. van Drongelen
  • 77G. Kiriakopoulos

Midfield

  • 42K. Kangwa
  • 22E. Camara
  • 99L. García
  • 7A. Tetteh
  • 10Santino Andino

Attack

  • 9C. Dessers
Substitutes (12)
  • 8Adriano Jagušić
  • 3Georgios Marios Katris
  • 4Pedro Chirivella
  • 70K. Kotsaris
  • 26I. Louza
  • 14E. Palmer-Brown
  • 28F. Pellistri
  • 74E. Rastoder
  • 5A. Salah-Eddine
  • 20V. Taborda
  • 19T. Tsapras
  • 12L. Chaves

AEK Athens FC

4-4-2

Coach: M. Nikolić

Goalkeeper

  • 91A. Brignoli

Defence

  • 12L. Rota
  • 2H. Moukoudi
  • 44Filipe Relvas
  • 3S. Pilios

Midfield

  • 14L. Majer
  • 27M. Vitális
  • 18R. Marin
  • 10O. Zubkov

Attack

  • 19B. Varga
  • 9L. Jović
Substitutes (12)
  • 16K. Arriaga
  • 41Marios Balamotis
  • 90Zini
  • 8M. Gaćinović
  • 7D. Kutesa
  • 22C. Lykogiannis
  • 20P. Mantalos
  • 15M. Todorski
  • 31Georgios Sarakasidis
  • 21D. Vida
  • 11A. Koita
  • 6K. Kairinen

Match Statistics

PanathinaikosAEK Athens FC
0.64Expected Goals1.03
237Passes accurate392
4Shots insidebox9
12Shots outsidebox6
7Blocked Shots6
17Free Kicks12
3Shots on Goal2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
6Shots off Goal7
4Offsides1
313Total passes472
1Red Cards0
16Total Shots15
1Yellow Cards4
6Corner Kicks6
12Fouls17
40%Ball Possession60%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.163.303.29

Double chance

1XX212
1.311.641.30

Draw no bet

12
1.572.30

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.662.11

1st half

1X2
2.752.143.72

2nd half

1X2
2.482.483.32

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.4813.331.8
HT X5.355.097.26
HT 224.514.05.26

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7911.12.21

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.2
1.51.253.66
2.51.871.91
3.53.141.33
4.56.221.10
5.511.31.03
6.522.31.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.85
11.018.40
1.251.124.81
1.751.293.10
21.412.75
2.251.632.17
2.752.091.70
32.461.50
3.252.651.42
3.753.591.21
45.001.10
4.255.401.09
4.756.801.04
58.201.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.281.30
-0.752.501.48
-0.52.151.69
-0.251.851.91
01.552.36
+0.251.402.76
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.101.02
-2.258.401.01
-27.901.02
-1.755.341.11
-1.54.151.18
-1.253.641.24
+0.51.343.35
+0.751.214.12
+11.095.93
+1.251.076.50
+1.51.076.98
+1.751.018.70
+2.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.106.30
3.51.243.80
4.51.502.50
5.51.851.84
6.52.551.47
7.53.551.27
8.55.001.15
9.57.001.08
10.59.251.04

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0211.5
4.51.048.45
5.51.125.35
6.51.263.41
7.51.512.40
8.51.911.84
9.52.461.48
10.53.341.27
11.54.631.15
12.56.451.08
13.58.751.05
14.510.81.03
15.512.51.01
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.251.392.59
7.751.562.20
81.692.13
8.251.781.93
8.752.021.69
92.221.64
9.252.341.50

Next Super League 1 matches

2 NovAtromitos – Volos NFC
2 NovKalamata – Iraklis 1908

All Super League 1 fixtures and the table

Latest Super League 1 results

1 NovPAOK 2-1 Asteras Tripolis
1 NovPanetolikos 0-1 OFI
1 NovLevadiakos 3-0 Aris Thessalonikis
31 OctKifisia 2-3 Olympiakos Piraeus
25 OctOFI 2-1 PAOK
25 OctAris Thessalonikis 3-1 Atromitos