PAOK vs Kalamata• Super League 1, Greece

#32.4:1.015:0012/10 · Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki1.2:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.21BTNX7.25PIN213.0MARMargin at best4.1%Books10Markets90Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 18:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.22	6.20	15.5	4.5%
Dafabet	1.21	7.00	12.0	5.3%
Bet365	1.20	7.00	12.0	6.0%
Betfair	1.20	6.50	13.0	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.19	7.24	11.5	6.5%
1xBet	1.18	6.85	12.6	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.17	6.85	13.0	7.8%
William Hill	1.18	6.50	12.0	8.5%
BetVictor	1.17	6.00	13.0	9.8%
SBO	1.18	5.61	8.87	13.8%
Best of all books	1.22	7.24	13.0	3.5%
Average	1.19	6.58	12.3	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PAOKKalamata

Last 10#3Table position#112.40Points per game0.8010Form pts · last 562.4Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.667Attack rating3362Defence rating3875Form rating25100H2H rating0100Goals model068Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 20:31 UTC

PAOK

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:12 · per match 1.8 for, 1.2 against

20 Sep	A	Panetolikos	3-1	W
16 Sep	A	Atromitos	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Aris Thessalonikis	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Panathinaikos	1-3	L
2 Sep	H	OFI	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Atromitos	2-1	W
27 Aug	A	Brann	2-3	L
23 Aug	H	Levadiakos	4-0	W
20 Aug	H	Brann	1-1	D
13 Aug	A	Anderlecht	2-3	L

Kalamata

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

20 Sep	H	Panathinaikos	0-1	L
17 Sep	H	Larisa	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Volos NFC	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Atromitos	1-1	D
1 Sep	A	Volos NFC	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Panetolikos	0-2	L
22 Aug	H	Aris Thessalonikis	2-3	L
19 Aug	H	Panetolikos	4-2	W
10 Aug	A	Volos NFC	2-0	W
28 Mar	H	Iraklis 1908	1-0	W

Head to head

2PAOK wins

0draws

0Kalamata wins

2 meetings · goals 4:0 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for PAOK

10 Jan 2023Cup	Cup	PAOK2-0Kalamata
14 Dec 2022Cup	Cup	Kalamata0-2PAOK

Super League 1 tableSuper Leagueupdated 10 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the Super League 1 table, PAOK sit 3rd with 12 points from 5 games, while Kalamata are 11th with 4 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	5	5	0	0	12:2	+10	15
2	AEK Athens FC	6	4	2	0	16:3	+13	14
3	PAOK	5	4	0	1	12:5	+7	12
4	OFI	6	3	1	2	8:7	+1	10
5	Olympiakos Piraeus	5	3	1	1	4:2	+2	10
6	Panetolikos	5	3	0	2	8:7	+1	9
7	Aris Thessalonikis	5	2	1	2	5:10	-5	7
8	Iraklis 1908	5	1	3	1	4:6	-2	6
9	Kifisia	5	1	2	2	4:7	-3	5
10	Asteras Tripolis	6	1	2	3	6:10	-4	5
11	Kalamata	5	1	1	3	6:8	-2	4
12	Atromitos	6	0	2	4	5:9	-4	2
13	Levadiakos	5	0	1	4	0:9	-9	1
14	Volos NFC	5	0	2	3	4:9	-5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg178%1.19X14%6.5728%12.3

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.22 → 1.19 -2.5%X5.44 → 6.57 +20.8%212.3 → 12.3 +0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.52	2.60	4.3%
Pinnacle	1.49	2.57	6.0%
Bet365	1.48	2.60	6.0%
Betfair	1.47	2.63	6.1%
BetVictor	1.47	2.55	7.2%
1xBet	1.44	2.43	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.43	10.6%
Best of all books	1.52	2.63	3.8%
Average	1.47	2.54	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	2.07	1.70	7.1%
William Hill	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Bet365	2.05	1.70	7.6%
1xBet	2.08	1.67	8.0%
BetVictor	2.10	1.65	8.2%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.65	8.7%
Best of all books	2.10	1.80	3.2%
Average	2.05	1.70	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

PAOK 50%Draw 50%Kalamata 0%

The statistical model rates PAOK at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Kalamata at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.19 | 6.57 | 12.35, which imply roughly 84% for a PAOK win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Super League 1 table: PAOK are 3rd (12 pts, 12-5 goals), Kalamata 11th (4 pts, 6-8).

Over their last five matches, PAOK averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Kalamata averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : PAOK or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.19	6.58	12.3

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	4.51	1.10

Draw no bet

1	2
1.04	9.40

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.05	1.70

1st half

1	X	2
1.55	2.85	9.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.21	20.5	4.20

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.9
1.5	1.13	5.28
2.5	1.47	2.54
3.5	2.23	1.62
4.5	3.76	1.24
5.5	6.80	1.08
6.5	13.6	1.03
7.5	22.7	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.0
1.75	1.13	4.50
2	1.16	4.10
2.25	1.30	2.97
2.75	1.57	2.22
3	1.75	2.00
3.25	1.99	1.75
3.75	2.47	1.45
4	3.05	1.33
4.25	3.28	1.25
4.75	4.33	1.14
5	5.75	1.07
5.25	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.49	1.48
-2.25	2.21	1.59
-2	1.97	1.78
-1.75	1.73	2.02
-1.5	1.60	2.27
-1.25	1.42	2.66

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	7.50	1.03
-4	7.00	1.04
-3.75	5.24	1.12
-3.5	4.26	1.18
-3.25	3.85	1.20
-3	3.52	1.24
-2.75	2.88	1.36
-1	1.24	3.58
-0.75	1.20	3.99
-0.5	1.20	4.40
-0.25	1.10	5.87
0	1.02	9.20

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.03	9.75
2.5	1.12	5.60
3.5	1.29	3.35
4.5	1.69	2.08
5.5	2.12	1.67
6.5	2.95	1.36
7.5	4.30	1.19
8.5	6.20	1.10
9.5	8.50	1.05

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.02	11.8
4.5	1.05	8.50
5.5	1.12	5.70
6.5	1.22	3.64
7.5	1.44	2.54
8.5	1.80	1.91
9.5	2.30	1.53
10.5	3.12	1.29
11.5	4.50	1.18
12.5	6.20	1.10
13.5	8.25	1.05
14.5	10.3	1.03
15.5	12.0	1.01

5 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.48	2.40
8.25	1.67	2.05
8.75	1.88	1.80
9.25	2.14	1.58
9.75	2.46	1.43