OddsFilter

Kalamata vs Panathinaikos• Super League 1, Greece

#111.5:1.80-1FT20/09 · Dimotiko Stadio Paralias, Kalamata2.8:0.5#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

110.1PINX5.79PIN21.32BTNMargin at best2.9%Books9Markets85Rating27 · 73Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Sep 23:11 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano9.004.751.375.2%
Bet3659.504.501.366.3%
Pinnacle8.405.161.336.5%
1xBet8.354.901.347.0%
Betfair9.004.751.337.4%
Marathonbet8.404.901.337.5%
William Hill8.504.801.337.8%
BetVictor8.004.501.339.9%
SBO6.954.101.3214.5%
Best of all books9.505.161.372.9%
Average8.464.711.347.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KalamataPanathinaikos
Last 10#11Table position#10.80Points per game3.006Form pts · last 5151.5Goals for · last 52.81.8Goals against · last 50.535Attack rating6522Defence rating7825Form rating750H2H rating00Goals model10027Overall rating73

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 20:31 UTC

Kalamata

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

20 SepHPanathinaikos0-1L
17 SepHLarisa1-1D
13 SepHVolos NFC3-1W
6 SepAAtromitos1-1D
1 SepAVolos NFC2-2D
29 AugAPanetolikos0-2L
22 AugHAris Thessalonikis2-3L
19 AugHPanetolikos4-2W
10 AugAVolos NFC2-0W
28 MarHIraklis 19081-0W

Panathinaikos

9W 1D 0L · goals 21:6 · per match 2.1 for, 0.6 against

20 SepAKalamata1-0W
16 SepAKifisia2-0W
13 SepHPanetolikos3-0W
10 SepHKifisia3-1W
6 SepHPAOK3-1W
3 SepHNiki Volos1-0W
31 AugALevadiakos2-0W
27 AugAHradec Králové2-1W
20 AugHHradec Králové2-2D
11 AugACSKA 19482-1W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Kalamata and Panathinaikos on record.

Super League 1 tableSuper Leagueupdated 10 Oct 20:40 UTC

In the Super League 1 table, Kalamata sit 11th with 4 points from 5 games, while Panathinaikos are 1st with 15 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Panathinaikos550012:2+1015
2AEK Athens FC642016:3+1314
3PAOK540112:5+712
4OFI63128:7+110
5Olympiakos Piraeus53114:2+210
6Panetolikos53028:7+19
7Aris Thessalonikis52125:10-57
8Iraklis 190851314:6-26
9Kifisia51224:7-35
10Asteras Tripolis61236:10-45
11Kalamata51136:8-24
12Atromitos60245:9-42
13Levadiakos50140:9-91
14Volos NFC50234:9-5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg110%9.55X17%5.34273%1.28

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

20 Sep 12:0120 Sep 15:111 9.55X 5.342 1.28
19.24 → 9.55 +3.4%X5.19 → 5.34 +2.9%21.30 → 1.28 -1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.802.054.3%
SBO1.861.964.8%
Pinnacle1.782.045.2%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betfair1.752.055.9%
1xBet1.761.997.1%
Marathonbet1.761.997.1%
BetVictor1.761.928.9%
Best of all books1.862.052.5%
Average1.782.006.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.101.735.4%
Betano2.071.707.1%
Bet3652.101.677.5%
William Hill2.001.737.8%
1xBet2.061.688.1%
BetVictor2.051.678.7%
Marathonbet2.061.668.8%
Best of all books2.101.735.4%
Average2.061.697.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kalamata 0%Draw 50%Panathinaikos 50%

The statistical model rated Kalamata at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Panathinaikos at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 9.55 | 5.34 | 1.28, which imply roughly 18.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Super League 1 table: Kalamata are 11th (4 pts, 6-8 goals), Panathinaikos 1st (15 pts, 12-2).

Over their last five matches, Kalamata averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Panathinaikos averaged 2.8 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Panathinaikos.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Kalamata

4-2-3-1

Coach: Panagiotis Christofileas

Goalkeeper

  • 40N. Vasiljević

Defence

  • 22P. Kaloutsikidis
  • 4S. Stroungis
  • 97Rodrigues
  • 17Julio Alonso

Midfield

  • 23G. Piñeiro
  • 6D. Diarra
  • 19M. J. Bakayoko
  • 24E. Hamza
  • 20A. Mendes Moreira

Attack

  • 9J. Bolívar
Substitutes (12)
  • 7J. Cataldi
  • 32J. Bonetto
  • 12I. Chatzitheodoridis
  • 16E. Frimpong
  • 1I. Gelios
  • 26P. Ginis
  • 44A. Guessand
  • 29U. Ignjatović
  • 91D. Kurminowski
  • 8A. Liatsikouras
  • 5Aarón
  • 3Álex Perez

Panathinaikos

4-4-2

Coach: Jacob Neestrup

Goalkeeper

  • 1Iñaki Peña

Defence

  • 2D. Calabria
  • 6S. de Vrij
  • 55R. van Drongelen
  • 77G. Kiriakopoulos

Midfield

  • 21A. Ounahi
  • 22E. Camara
  • 42K. Kangwa
  • 10Santino Andino

Attack

  • 99L. García
  • 7A. Tetteh
Substitutes (12)
  • 5A. Salah-Eddine
  • 74E. Rastoder
  • 28F. Pellistri
  • 14E. Palmer-Brown
  • 26I. Louza
  • 70K. Kotsaris
  • 18S. Kontouris
  • 8Adriano Jagušić
  • 9C. Dessers
  • 4Pedro Chirivella
  • 12L. Chaves
  • 19T. Tsapras

Match Statistics

KalamataPanathinaikos
225Passes accurate461
6Shots insidebox9
7Shots outsidebox5
3Blocked Shots2
15Free Kicks14
4Shots on Goal5
4Goalkeeper Saves4
6Shots off Goal7
1Offsides1
287Total passes547
13Total Shots14
3Yellow Cards1
2Corner Kicks6
15Fouls16
0Red Cards0
35%Ball Possession65%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
8.464.711.34

Double chance

1XX212
3.071.061.15

Draw no bet

12
6.581.09

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.061.69

1st half

1X2
7.412.391.82

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.6712.31.32

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.0
1.51.233.86
2.51.782.00
3.52.951.36
4.55.621.12
5.510.71.04
6.522.21.01
7.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.75–9.10
11.029.00
1.251.095.30
1.751.293.30
21.372.90
2.251.562.32
2.751.971.79
32.301.56
3.252.581.44
3.753.421.23
44.651.12
4.255.051.10
4.757.331.04
57.301.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.752.761.42
+12.401.55
+1.251.951.80
+1.51.712.05
+1.751.542.36
+21.362.96
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.513.01.01
-0.56.601.11
-0.256.761.07
06.501.07
+0.254.091.20
+0.53.181.36
+2.251.283.33
+2.51.243.58
+2.751.154.53
+31.076.53
+3.251.066.97
+3.51.047.27

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.096.50
3.51.233.90
4.51.472.55
5.51.851.84
6.52.551.47
7.53.601.26
8.55.101.14
9.57.201.07
10.59.501.04

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0211.5
4.51.058.25
5.51.125.50
6.51.233.53
7.51.462.47
8.51.841.86
9.52.391.49
10.53.251.27
11.54.701.17
12.56.501.09
13.58.751.05
14.511.01.02
15.512.51.01
5 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.512.32
8.251.711.99
8.751.941.75
9.252.221.54
9.752.561.40