Union Berlin W vs Nürnberg W• Frauen Bundesliga, Germany

#101.4:1.412:0018/10 · An der Alten Försterei, Berlin1.4:2.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65WHX4.10B36524.18PINMargin at best8.9%Books5Markets57Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 09:52 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.64	4.10	4.18	9.3%
Bet365	1.62	4.10	4.10	10.5%
1xBet	1.61	4.05	4.14	11.0%
William Hill	1.65	3.75	4.00	12.3%
Marathonbet	1.59	4.05	4.05	12.3%
Best of all books	1.65	4.10	4.18	8.9%
Average	1.62	4.01	4.09	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Union Berlin WNürnberg W

Last 10#10Table position#131.00Points per game0.339Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 52.650Attack rating5065Defence rating3575Form rating2580H2H rating2058Goals model4268Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 12:50 UTC

Union Berlin W

4W 0D 6L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

4 Oct	A	Stuttgart W	4-0	W
27 Sep	A	Magdeburg W	5-0	W
20 Sep	H	RB Leipzig W	3-2	W
12 Sep	A	FC Koln W	0-3	L
7 Sep	H	Eintracht Frankfurt W	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	SC Freiburg W	0-1	L
21 Aug	H	Bayern Munich W	1-4	L
17 May	A	Eintracht Frankfurt W	2-4	L
10 May	H	1899 Hoffenheim W	0-2	L
1 May	A	Hamburger SV W	1-0	W

Nürnberg W

2W 2D 6L · goals 24:28 · per match 2.4 for, 2.8 against

4 Oct	H	1899 Hoffenheim W	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	Buntentor W	10-0	W
20 Sep	A	Hamburger SV W	1-5	L
12 Sep	A	RB Leipzig W	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Stuttgart W	3-3	D
30 Aug	A	Eintracht Frankfurt W	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	VfL Wolfsburg W	2-8	L
17 May	A	VfL Wolfsburg W	1-3	L
8 May	H	SGS Essen W	3-0	W
4 May	A	Eintracht Frankfurt W	1-4	L

Head to head

2Union Berlin W wins

2draws

0Nürnberg W wins

4 meetings · goals 7:2 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for Union Berlin W

20 Dec 2025Frauen Bundesliga	Frauen Bundesliga	Nürnberg W1-2Union Berlin W
7 Sep 2025Frauen Bundesliga	Frauen Bundesliga	Union Berlin W1-1Nürnberg W
16 Feb 20252. Frauen Bundesliga	2. Frauen Bundesliga	Union Berlin W4-0Nürnberg W
1 Sep 20242. Frauen Bundesliga	2. Frauen Bundesliga	Nürnberg W0-0Union Berlin W

Frauen Bundesliga tableBundesliga Womenupdated 16 Oct 08:30 UTC

In the Frauen Bundesliga table, Union Berlin W sit 10th with 6 points from 6 games, while Nürnberg W are 13th with 2 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich W	6	6	0	0	19:6	+13	18
2	VfL Wolfsburg W	6	5	0	1	18:8	+10	15
3	Eintracht Frankfurt W	6	4	1	1	11:6	+5	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen W	6	4	0	2	12:9	+3	12
5	Werder Bremen W	6	3	1	2	10:8	+2	10
6	SC Freiburg W	6	3	1	2	8:7	+1	10
7	FC Koln W	6	3	0	3	10:8	+2	9
8	Stuttgart W	6	2	2	2	8:12	-4	8
9	RB Leipzig W	6	2	1	3	10:9	+1	7
10	Union Berlin W	6	2	0	4	8:11	-3	6
11	1899 Hoffenheim W	6	2	0	4	8:11	-3	6
12	Hamburger SV W	6	1	2	3	9:8	+1	5
13	Nürnberg W	6	0	2	4	9:21	-12	2
14	Mainz 05 W	6	0	0	6	3:19	-16	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.61X23%3.94222%4.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.63 → 1.61 -1.2%X4.00 → 3.94 -1.5%24.06 → 4.03 -0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.43	2.67	7.4%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Best of all books	1.44	2.67	6.9%
Average	1.41	2.62	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.47	9.9%
Best of all books	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Average	1.46	2.49	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Union Berlin W 45%Draw 45%Nürnberg W 10%

The statistical model rates Union Berlin W at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nürnberg W at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 3.94 | 4.03, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Union Berlin W win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Frauen Bundesliga table: Union Berlin W are 10th (6 pts, 8-11 goals), Nürnberg W 13th (2 pts, 9-21).

Over their last five matches, Union Berlin W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Nürnberg W averaged 1.4 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Union Berlin W or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.62	4.01	4.09

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	2.06	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.49

1st half

1	X	2
2.08	2.51	4.22

2nd half

1	X	2
1.93	2.85	4.00

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.34	14.7	32.7
HT X	4.83	7.30	10.2
HT 2	18.7	15.0	6.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	21.5	2.43

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	21.0
1.5	1.10	5.37
2.5	1.41	2.62
3.5	2.07	1.67
4.5	3.30	1.27
5.5	5.77	1.09
6.5	9.00	1.04
7.5	13.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.11	4.90
2	1.13	4.50
2.25	1.26	3.20
2.75	1.49	2.37
3	1.62	2.10
3.25	1.84	1.84
3.75	2.31	1.52
4	2.75	1.37
4.25	2.98	1.31
4.75	3.90	1.18
5	5.10	1.10
5.25	5.35	1.09
6	9.70	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.52	1.45
-1.25	2.28	1.55
-1	2.03	1.71
-0.75	1.77	1.94
-0.5	1.65	2.21
-0.25	1.45	2.52

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.30	1.01
-3	7.80	1.02
-2.75	5.67	1.10
-2.5	4.47	1.16
-2.25	4.18	1.18
-2	3.81	1.20
-1.75	2.98	1.33
0	1.28	3.26
+0.25	1.23	3.57
+0.5	1.22	4.15
+0.75	1.12	5.17
+1	1.03	7.30
+1.5	1.02	8.10