VfL Wolfsburg W vs Hamburger SV W• Frauen Bundesliga, Germany

#23.2:1.42-1FT04/10 · AOK Stadion, Wolfsburg1.6:1.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.16BTNX9.00B365215.51XBMargin at best3.8%Books7Markets69Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 20:50 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.12	9.55	17.5	5.5%
Bet365	1.20	7.50	11.0	5.8%
William Hill	1.10	8.00	19.0	8.7%
Pinnacle	1.11	9.09	12.7	9.0%
Betano	1.16	6.40	10.5	11.4%
Betfair	1.08	8.50	14.0	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.07	8.30	15.3	12.1%
Best of all books	1.20	9.55	17.5	-0.5%
Average	1.12	8.19	14.3	8.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VfL Wolfsburg WHamburger SV W

Last 10#2Table position#122.50Points per game0.8312Form pts · last 573.2Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.267Attack rating3346Defence rating5471Form rating2980H2H rating2080Goals model2067Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:02 UTC

VfL Wolfsburg W

8W 0D 2L · goals 27:10 · per match 2.7 for, 1.0 against

4 Oct	H	Hamburger SV W	2-1	W
30 Sep	A	Sturm Graz W	2-0	W
27 Sep	A	SC Sand W	6-0	W
23 Sep	H	Sturm Graz W	6-1	W
18 Sep	A	1899 Hoffenheim W	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Stuttgart W	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	Werder Bremen W	3-2	W
2 Sep	A	Inter Milano W	1-3	L
30 Aug	A	Bayer Leverkusen W	2-1	W
26 Aug	H	Inter Milano W	2-0	W

Hamburger SV W

2W 2D 6L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

4 Oct	A	VfL Wolfsburg W	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Meppen W	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Nürnberg W	5-1	W
11 Sep	A	Werder Bremen W	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	RB Leipzig W	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Stuttgart W	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	SC Freiburg W	1-1	D
17 May	H	Bayern Munich W	0-1	L
9 May	A	FC Koln W	1-2	L
1 May	H	Union Berlin W	0-1	L

Head to head

1VfL Wolfsburg W wins

1draws

0Hamburger SV W wins

2 meetings · goals 6:4 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for VfL Wolfsburg W

21 Dec 2025Frauen Bundesliga	Frauen Bundesliga	VfL Wolfsburg W3-1Hamburger SV W
7 Sep 2025Frauen Bundesliga	Frauen Bundesliga	Hamburger SV W3-3VfL Wolfsburg W

Frauen Bundesliga tableBundesliga Womenupdated 16 Oct 20:41 UTC

In the Frauen Bundesliga table, VfL Wolfsburg W sit 2nd with 15 points from 6 games, while Hamburger SV W are 12th with 5 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich W	6	6	0	0	19:6	+13	18
2	VfL Wolfsburg W	6	5	0	1	18:8	+10	15
3	Eintracht Frankfurt W	6	4	1	1	11:6	+5	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen W	6	4	0	2	12:9	+3	12
5	Werder Bremen W	6	3	1	2	10:8	+2	10
6	SC Freiburg W	6	3	1	2	8:7	+1	10
7	FC Koln W	6	3	0	3	10:8	+2	9
8	Stuttgart W	6	2	2	2	8:12	-4	8
9	RB Leipzig W	6	2	1	3	10:9	+1	7
10	Union Berlin W	6	2	0	4	8:11	-3	6
11	1899 Hoffenheim W	6	2	0	4	8:11	-3	6
12	Hamburger SV W	6	1	2	3	9:8	+1	5
13	Nürnberg W	6	0	2	4	9:21	-12	2
14	Mainz 05 W	6	0	0	6	3:19	-16	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg181%1.11X12%7.7627%12.9

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.12 → 1.11 -0.9%X8.19 → 7.76 -5.3%214.3 → 12.9 -9.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.28	3.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.25	3.63	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.21	3.58	10.6%
Best of all books	1.28	3.63	5.7%
Average	1.25	3.57	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.85	9.9%
Best of all books	1.85	2.00	4.1%
Average	1.79	1.89	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

VfL Wolfsburg W 45%Draw 45%Hamburger SV W 10%

The statistical model rated VfL Wolfsburg W at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hamburger SV W at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.11 | 7.76 | 12.88, which imply roughly 90.1% for a VfL Wolfsburg W win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Frauen Bundesliga table: VfL Wolfsburg W are 2nd (15 pts, 18-8 goals), Hamburger SV W 12th (5 pts, 9-8).

Over their last five matches, VfL Wolfsburg W averaged 3.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Hamburger SV W averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : VfL Wolfsburg W or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg W

4-3-3

Coach: S. Lerch

Goalkeeper

1S. Johannes

Defence

24J. Wedemeyer
3L. Carleer
16C. Küver
39S. Linder

Midfield

28C. Zicai
6J. Minge
5E. Peddemors

Attack

10S. Huth
9L. Prašnikar
17K. PiljiÄ

Substitutes (9)

18M. Alber
2T. Bjelde
23L. Bogaert
19K. Bussy
38A. Kerim-Lindland
4S. Kleinherne
8L. Lattwein
21M. TufekoviÄ
14S. Vallotto

Hamburger SV W

4-4-2

Coach: Liése Brancão

Goalkeeper

12K. Szemik

Defence

2M. Doucouré
8S. Stoldt
6A. Böhler
21J. Dönges

Midfield

7C. Linberg
28P. Machtens
15L. Peneau
10C. Morich

Attack

20N. Karczewska
37P. Bartz

Substitutes (9)

26J. M. Wrede
5C. Obispo
4N. Mirzaliyeva
18L. J. Martens
29L. Eggert
11M. Brunnthaler
36J. Baum
32L. Wrede
19V. Schulz

Match Statistics

VfL Wolfsburg WHamburger SV W

369Passes accurate182

17Shots insidebox6

10Shots outsidebox3

10Blocked Shots2

9Free Kicks9

10Shots on Goal4

2Goalkeeper Saves6

7Shots off Goal3

3Offsides1

445Total passes257

27Total Shots9

1Yellow Cards2

17Corner Kicks0

9Fouls10

0Red Cards0

65%Ball Possession35%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.12	8.19	14.3

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.02	5.30	1.06

Draw no bet

1	2
1.04	10.5

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
1.42	3.34	10.1

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.21	36.0	4.13

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	34.0
1.5	1.03	8.23
2.5	1.25	3.57
3.5	1.66	2.10
4.5	2.46	1.49
5.5	3.97	1.20
6.5	7.07	1.07
7.5	10.0	1.03
8.5	15.0	1.01
9.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.02	7.80
2	1.03	7.30
2.25	1.13	4.72
2.75	1.26	3.31
3	1.32	2.99
3.25	1.48	2.42
3.75	1.81	1.90
4	2.01	1.69
4.25	2.24	1.56
4.75	2.80	1.35
5	3.42	1.23
5.25	3.74	1.19
6	6.60	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.23	1.58
-2.5	1.98	1.73
-2.25	1.81	1.88
-2	1.60	2.18
-1.75	1.49	2.43
-1.5	1.41	2.61

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-5.5	9.00	1.01
-4.5	5.38	1.11
-4.25	5.40	1.11
-4	5.12	1.13
-3.75	3.80	1.21
-3.5	3.22	1.28
-3.25	2.93	1.35
-3	2.65	1.41
-1.25	1.29	3.18
-1	1.17	4.33
-0.75	1.14	4.77
-0.5	1.20	4.40
-0.25	1.13	5.90
0	1.02	17.0