Atlas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21• Liga MX U21, Mexico

#141.8:1.40-2FTToday1.8:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.55MARX3.25B36522.80DAFMargin at best5.7%Books9Markets43Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 10:54 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.47	3.15	2.80	7.9%
1xBet	2.55	3.22	2.64	8.2%
Marathonbet	2.55	3.22	2.64	8.2%
Betano	2.42	3.05	2.72	10.9%
Betfair	2.30	3.25	2.70	11.3%
Bet365	2.25	3.25	2.75	11.6%
Pinnacle	2.55	3.01	2.50	12.4%
William Hill	2.50	2.90	2.50	14.5%
BetVictor	2.30	2.88	2.38	20.2%
Best of all books	2.55	3.25	2.80	5.7%
Average	2.43	3.10	2.63	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atlas U21Guadalajara Chivas U21

Last 10#14Table position#30.91Points per game1.917Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5046Defence rating5433Form rating6736H2H rating6459Goals model4145Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:23 UTC

Atlas U21

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

25 Sep	A	Club Tijuana U21	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	UNAM Pumas U21	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Toluca U21	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Atlante U21	4-0	W
29 Aug	H	Queretaro U21	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Cruz Azul U21	2-2	D
15 Aug	H	Tigres UANL U21	2-0	W
1 Aug	H	Monterrey U21	0-1	L
25 Jul	A	Santos Laguna U21	0-0	D
17 Jul	A	Club Leon U21	0-1	L

Guadalajara Chivas U21

4W 4D 2L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

2 Oct	H	Juarez U21	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Queretaro U21	2-4	L
19 Sep	A	Club America U21	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	UNAM Pumas U21	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Atl. San Luis U21	3-1	W
29 Aug	A	Pachuca U21	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Club Tijuana U21	1-2	L
16 Aug	A	Santos Laguna U21	1-0	W
31 Jul	A	Puebla U21	0-0	D
18 Jul	H	Toluca U21	2-2	D

Head to head

1Atlas U21 wins

1draws

2Guadalajara Chivas U21 wins

4 meetings · goals 4:5 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Atlas U21

2 May 2026Liga MX U21	Liga MX U21	Guadalajara Chivas U211-0Atlas U21
29 Apr 2026Liga MX U21	Liga MX U21	Atlas U211-1Guadalajara Chivas U21
7 Mar 2026Liga MX U21	Liga MX U21	Atlas U212-1Guadalajara Chivas U21
25 Oct 2025Liga MX U21	Liga MX U21	Guadalajara Chivas U212-1Atlas U21

Liga MX U21 tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the Liga MX U21 table, Atlas U21 sit 14th with 10 points from 11 games, while Guadalajara Chivas U21 are 3rd with 21 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Toluca U21	11	10	1	0	21:8	+13	31
2	Club Leon U21	11	10	0	1	21:10	+11	30
3	Guadalajara Chivas U21	11	7	0	4	18:14	+4	21
4	Club Tijuana U21	11	6	1	4	17:13	+4	19
5	Club America U21	11	6	0	5	17:14	+3	18
6	Cruz Azul U21	10	5	1	4	18:15	+3	16
7	Puebla U21	11	5	1	5	12:10	+2	16
8	Juarez U21	11	5	1	5	10:11	-1	16
9	Atl. San Luis U21	10	5	0	5	17:19	-2	15
10	Necaxa U21	10	5	0	5	11:15	-4	15
11	Atlante U21	11	5	0	6	17:22	-5	15
12	Monterrey U21	10	4	1	5	18:16	+2	13
13	Santos Laguna U21	10	4	1	5	9:12	-3	13
14	Atlas U21	11	3	1	7	13:14	-1	10
15	UNAM Pumas U21	10	3	1	6	10:13	-3	10
16	Pachuca U21	10	3	0	7	10:15	-5	9
17	Tigres UANL U21	11	2	1	8	10:21	-11	7
18	Queretaro U21	10	2	0	8	12:19	-7	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.48X29%3.14235%2.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.33 → 2.43 +4.3%X3.16 → 3.10 -1.9%22.88 → 2.63 -8.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.00	1.81	5.2%
Marathonbet	2.00	1.81	5.2%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.90	1.81	7.9%
Betano	2.02	1.65	10.1%
BetVictor	1.74	1.60	20.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.81	2.9%
Average	1.96	1.73	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.74	2.00	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.98	8.0%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
BetVictor	1.57	1.78	19.9%
Best of all books	1.74	2.05	6.3%
Average	1.68	1.95	10.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atlas U21 10%Draw 45%Guadalajara Chivas U21 45%

The statistical model rated Atlas U21 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Guadalajara Chivas U21 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.48 | 3.14 | 2.54, which imply roughly 31.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX U21 table: Atlas U21 are 14th (10 pts, 13-14 goals), Guadalajara Chivas U21 3rd (21 pts, 18-14).

Over their last five matches, Atlas U21 averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Guadalajara Chivas U21 averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Guadalajara Chivas U21.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.43	3.10	2.63

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.47	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.69	1.90

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
3.03	2.03	3.28

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.02	8.10	2.06

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	6.90
1.5	1.27	2.96
2.5	1.96	1.73
3.5	3.10	1.25
4.5	5.47	1.05
5.5	13.0	1.03

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.60
1	1.04	7.00
1.25	1.17	4.21
1.75	1.36	2.69
2	1.48	2.33
2.25	1.68	1.98
2.75	2.12	1.57
3	2.54	1.40
3.25	2.92	1.33
3.75	4.04	1.17
4	5.45	1.08
4.25	5.80	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.87	1.31
-0.5	2.34	1.39
-0.25	2.11	1.62
0	1.82	1.84
+0.25	1.57	2.14
+0.5	1.40	2.32

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.40	1.02
-2	8.65	1.02
-1.75	6.44	1.06
-1.5	5.00	1.11
-1.25	4.61	1.15
-1	4.20	1.18
+0.75	1.31	3.07
+1	1.16	4.45
+1.25	1.13	4.84
+1.5	1.10	5.20
+1.75	1.05	6.70