SSVg Velbert vs SC St. Tönis• Oberliga - Niederrhein, Germany

#22.8:1.413:00Tomorrow2.0:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.871XBX4.251XB22.941XBMargin at best11.0%Books1Markets12Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.87	4.25	2.94	11.0%
Best of all books	1.87	4.25	2.94	11.0%
Average	1.87	4.25	2.94	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SSVg VelbertSC St. Tönis

Last 10#2Table position#52.25Points per game1.7512Form pts · last 592.8Goals for · last 52.01.4Goals against · last 51.258Attack rating4246Defence rating5457Form rating4391H2H rating963Goals model3765Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 21:01 UTC

SSVg Velbert

7W 0D 3L · goals 28:23 · per match 2.8 for, 2.3 against

2 Oct	A	KFC Uerdingen 05	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	BW Dingden	5-1	W
20 Sep	A	Meerbusch	3-0	W
12 Sep	H	Büderich	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Sonsbeck	2-4	L
28 Aug	H	Schonnebeck	3-5	L
22 Aug	A	SW Essen	4-1	W
16 Aug	H	Wuppertaler SV	1-0	W
12 Aug	H	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0-8	L
12 Jul	A	Sprockhovel	6-2	W

SC St. Tönis

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:27 · per match 1.8 for, 2.7 against

2 Oct	A	BW Dingden	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Büderich	4-0	W
18 Sep	A	Schonnebeck	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	Wuppertaler SV	2-1	W
9 Sep	A	Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.	3-1	W
4 Sep	A	Germania Ratingen	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Monheim	3-3	D
21 Aug	H	Eintracht Frankfurt	0-11	L
16 Aug	H	Solingen-Wald	3-2	W
15 Jul	H	Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1-4	L

Head to head

3SSVg Velbert wins

1draws

0SC St. Tönis wins

4 meetings · goals 11:4 · last 4: 3W 1D 0L for SSVg Velbert

14 Mar 2025Oberliga - Niederrhein	Oberliga - Niederrhein	SSVg Velbert3-2SC St. Tönis
22 Sep 2024Oberliga - Niederrhein	Oberliga - Niederrhein	SC St. Tönis1-1SSVg Velbert
22 Mar 2023Oberliga - Niederrhein	Oberliga - Niederrhein	SC St. Tönis1-3SSVg Velbert
21 Sep 2022Oberliga - Niederrhein	Oberliga - Niederrhein	SSVg Velbert4-0SC St. Tönis

Oberliga - Niederrhein tableNiederrheinupdated 9 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Oberliga - Niederrhein table, SSVg Velbert sit 2nd with 18 points from 8 games, while SC St. Tönis are 5th with 14 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Schonnebeck	8	7	1	0	31:10	+21	22
2	SSVg Velbert	8	6	0	2	22:13	+9	18
3	Fortuna Düsseldorf II	9	5	2	2	20:10	+10	17
4	Solingen-Wald	9	5	0	4	19:22	-3	15
5	SC St. Tönis	8	4	2	2	17:12	+5	14
6	SF Baumberg	8	4	2	2	18:16	+2	14
7	KFC Uerdingen 05	9	4	1	4	21:12	+9	13
8	Sonsbeck	8	3	4	1	14:10	+4	13
9	Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.	8	4	1	3	18:18	0	13
10	BW Dingden	8	4	1	3	10:11	-1	13
11	Germania Ratingen	8	2	5	1	14:14	0	11
12	Monheim	8	2	3	3	15:13	+2	9
13	Scherpenberg	8	2	2	4	11:18	-7	8
14	Wuppertaler SV	8	2	1	5	11:10	+1	7
15	SW Essen	8	1	3	4	11:18	-7	6
16	Büderich	9	1	3	5	12:26	-14	6
17	Holzheimer SG	8	1	1	6	10:28	-18	4
18	Meerbusch	8	0	2	6	5:18	-13	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.87X21%4.25231%2.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.25	3.44	9.1%
Best of all books	1.25	3.44	9.1%
Average	1.25	3.44	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.27	3.27	9.3%
Best of all books	1.27	3.27	9.3%
Average	1.27	3.27	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

SSVg Velbert 45%Draw 45%SC St. Tönis 10%

The statistical model rates SSVg Velbert at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and SC St. Tönis at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.87 | 4.25 | 2.94, which imply roughly 53.5% for a SSVg Velbert win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Oberliga - Niederrhein table: SSVg Velbert are 2nd (18 pts, 22-13 goals), SC St. Tönis 5th (14 pts, 17-12).

Over their last five matches, SSVg Velbert averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; SC St. Tönis averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : SSVg Velbert or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.87	4.25	2.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.72	1.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.27	3.27

1st half

1	X	2
2.23	2.84	3.24

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.25	3.44
3	1.37	2.74
3.5	1.73	1.95
4	2.21	1.56
4.5	2.74	1.37

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.61	1.41
0	1.50	2.34