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Vukovar vs Hrvace• First NL, Croatia

#141.6:2.613:30Tomorrow · Stadion Gradski vrt, Osijek1.2:1.0#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.04PINX3.45DAF23.761XBMargin at best4.6%Books8Markets46Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.803.554.307.0%
Betano1.803.404.109.4%
BetVictor1.873.403.759.6%
Betfair1.903.403.609.8%
Pinnacle2.043.113.4010.6%
1xBet1.903.123.8011.0%
Bet3651.903.253.5012.0%
Marathonbet1.883.123.7012.3%
Best of all books2.043.554.300.4%
Average1.893.293.779.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VukovarHrvace
Last 10#14Table position#161.14Points per game1.006Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 51.22.6Goals against · last 51.057Attack rating4328Defence rating7236Form rating640H2H rating058Goals model4245Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Vukovar

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:19 · per match 1.6 for, 1.9 against

4 OctHDinamo Zagreb0-4L
27 SepAOpatija0-1L
19 SepHJadran LP2-3L
13 SepACroatia Zmijavci3-2W
9 SepHHNK Cibalia1-0W
5 SepHHNK Cibalia1-1D
2 SepHDinamo Zagreb U212-6L
28 AugHSegesta Sisak2-0W
25 AugHRadnički Dalj4-1W
21 AugAMladost Ždralovi1-1D

Hrvace

2W 1D 7L · goals 8:18 · per match 0.8 for, 1.8 against

26 SepHOrijent 19193-0W
19 SepABsk Bijelo Brdo2-1W
12 SepHDubrava Zagreb0-0D
6 SepAKarlovac 19191-3L
2 SepAOpatija0-1L
29 AugHJadran LP1-4L
23 AugACroatia Zmijavci0-3L
30 MayHDubrava Zagreb1-2L
24 MayACroatia Zmijavci0-3L
16 MayABsk Bijelo Brdo0-1L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Vukovar and Hrvace on record.

First NL table2 HNLupdated 9 Oct 19:04 UTC

In the First NL table, Vukovar sit 14th with 8 points from 7 games, while Hrvace are 16th with 7 points from 7.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Jadran LP843113:8+515
2Mladost Ždralovi84228:7+114
3Croatia Zmijavci741211:6+513
4HNK Cibalia83418:6+213
5Bsk Bijelo Brdo74128:6+213
6Segesta Sisak73229:8+111
7Sesvete831410:9+110
8Dinamo Zagreb U21730411:1109
9Dugopolje72329:909
10Dubrava Zagreb72236:7-18
11Opatija82249:11-28
12Karlovac 191972238:10-28
13Orijent 191972236:8-28
14Vukovar722311:14-38
15Kustosija81434:6-27
16Hrvace72147:12-57

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.94X28%3.26225%3.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:029 Oct 20:101 1.94X 3.262 3.56
11.70 → 1.94 +14.1%X3.47 → 3.26 -6.1%24.30 → 3.56 -17.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Pinnacle1.931.836.5%
Betfair1.851.858.1%
Betano1.901.808.2%
1xBet1.871.809.0%
BetVictor1.871.809.0%
Marathonbet1.871.809.0%
Best of all books1.951.855.3%
Average1.891.827.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.007.8%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
Betano1.781.908.8%
1xBet1.731.959.1%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Marathonbet1.731.929.9%
Best of all books1.832.004.6%
Average1.761.928.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vukovar 10%Draw 45%Hrvace 45%

The statistical model rates Vukovar at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Hrvace at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.94 | 3.26 | 3.56, which imply roughly 30.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First NL table: Vukovar are 14th (8 pts, 11-14 goals), Hrvace 16th (7 pts, 7-12).

Over their last five matches, Vukovar averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Hrvace averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Hrvace.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.893.293.77

Double chance

1XX212
1.201.821.25

Draw no bet

12
1.362.97

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.761.93

1st half

1X2
2.452.104.50

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.628.952.57

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.08
1.51.273.34
2.51.891.82
3.53.191.29
4.56.221.09
5.510.71.02
6.515.01.01
7.521.0–
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.046.85
1.251.164.12
1.751.332.88
21.442.51
2.251.662.05
2.752.111.62
32.511.43
3.252.811.35
3.753.751.19
45.051.10

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.841.36
-12.651.42
-0.752.111.64
-0.51.851.88
-0.251.632.13
01.382.78
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.421.07
-2.255.751.14
-25.681.10
-1.754.031.19
-1.53.231.29
+0.251.293.23
+0.51.253.79
+0.751.145.05
+11.047.05
+1.51.027.85

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.811.92