OddsFilter

Sesvete vs Jadran LP• First NL, Croatia

#71.0:1.21-1FTToday · Sesvete1.2:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.31DAFX3.25DAF23.28PINMargin at best4.5%Books10Markets43Rating37 · 64Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.273.203.157.0%
Betano2.253.103.109.0%
BetVictor2.203.133.139.4%
Pinnacle2.172.953.2810.5%
1xBet2.192.953.1910.9%
Bet3652.153.103.0012.1%
Betfair2.153.103.0012.1%
Marathonbet2.172.953.1012.2%
William Hill2.152.803.1014.5%
SBO2.122.962.9315.1%
Best of all books2.273.203.285.8%
Average2.183.023.1011.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SesveteJadran LP
Last 10#7Table position#11.25Points per game1.886Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 50.845Attack rating5540Defence rating6038Form rating6320H2H rating8043Goals model5737Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 11:30 UTC

Sesvete

4W 1D 5L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

27 SepACroatia Zmijavci0-2L
18 SepHHNK Cibalia1-2L
11 SepADinamo Zagreb U212-1W
5 SepHSegesta Sisak2-0W
2 SepAMladost Ždralovi0-1L
28 AugHDugopolje1-2L
21 AugHKarlovac 19193-0W
25 JulANK Slaven Belupo0-4L
22 JulHKoprivnica1-0W
15 JulAKarlovac 19190-0D

Jadran LP

6W 2D 2L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

2 OctAZrinjski1-2L
26 SepHKustosija1-0W
19 SepAVukovar3-2W
12 SepHOrijent 19191-0W
6 SepABsk Bijelo Brdo0-1L
2 SepHDubrava Zagreb1-1D
29 AugAHrvace4-1W
22 AugHOpatija2-2D
30 MayHKriževci1-0W
23 MayADakovo-Croatia6-0W

Head to head

0Sesvete wins
1draws
1Jadran LP wins

2 meetings · goals 1:2 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for Sesvete

4 Mar 2023Second NLSecond NLJadran LP1-1Sesvete
26 Aug 2022Second NLSecond NLSesvete0-1Jadran LP

First NL table2 HNLupdated 9 Oct 19:04 UTC

In the First NL table, Sesvete sit 7th with 10 points from 8 games, while Jadran LP are 1st with 15 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Jadran LP843113:8+515
2Mladost Ždralovi84228:7+114
3Croatia Zmijavci741211:6+513
4HNK Cibalia83418:6+213
5Bsk Bijelo Brdo74128:6+213
6Segesta Sisak73229:8+111
7Sesvete831410:9+110
8Dinamo Zagreb U21730411:1109
9Dugopolje72329:909
10Dubrava Zagreb72236:7-18
11Opatija82249:11-28
12Karlovac 191972238:10-28
13Orijent 191972236:8-28
14Vukovar722311:14-38
15Kustosija81434:6-27
16Hrvace72147:12-57

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.18X30%3.02229%3.10

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 03:519 Oct 00:111 2.21X 3.042 3.08
12.18 → 2.21 +1.4%X3.11 → 3.04 -2.3%23.04 → 3.08 +1.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.201.656.1%
Pinnacle2.131.667.2%
Betfair2.201.608.0%
BetVictor2.091.648.8%
Betano2.121.628.9%
1xBet2.101.639.0%
Marathonbet2.101.639.0%
Best of all books2.201.665.7%
Average2.131.638.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.911.807.9%
Betfair1.851.858.1%
BetVictor1.851.838.7%
William Hill1.851.838.7%
1xBet1.821.859.0%
Betano1.851.829.0%
Marathonbet1.821.829.9%
Best of all books1.911.856.4%
Average1.851.838.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sesvete 10%Draw 45%Jadran LP 45%

The statistical model rated Sesvete at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Jadran LP at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.18 | 3.02 | 3.10, which imply roughly 33.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First NL table: Sesvete are 7th (10 pts, 10-9 goals), Jadran LP 1st (15 pts, 13-8).

Over their last five matches, Sesvete averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Jadran LP averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Jadran LP.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.183.023.10

Double chance

1XX212
1.291.561.30

Draw no bet

12
1.592.21

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.851.83

1st half

1X2
2.891.973.78

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.827.902.26

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.42
1.51.352.88
2.52.131.63
3.53.861.21
4.57.921.05
5.515.71.01
6.517.0–
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.056.45
1.251.183.82
1.751.432.51
21.592.17
2.251.861.84
2.752.421.47
33.041.30
3.253.341.24
3.754.991.10
46.851.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.611.42
-0.52.191.61
-0.251.891.83
01.572.25
+0.251.402.67
+0.51.333.04
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.851.01
-28.851.02
-1.755.651.11
-1.54.471.15
-1.253.971.19
-13.491.25
+0.751.223.76
+11.086.10
+1.251.106.14
+1.51.057.20

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.821.96