Jadran LP vs 
Kustosija• First NL, Croatia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 08:42 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.75 | 9.3% |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 10.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.36 | 3.82 | 10.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 12.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.36 | 3.72 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 7.6% |
| Average | 1.80 | 3.42 | 3.80 | 11.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 11:30 UTC
Jadran LP
6W 2D 2L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against
| 2 Oct | A | Zrinjski | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Kustosija | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Vukovar | 3-2 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Orijent 1919 | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Bsk Bijelo Brdo | 0-1 | L |
| 2 Sep | H | Dubrava Zagreb | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Hrvace | 4-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Opatija | 2-2 | D |
| 30 May | H | Križevci | 1-0 | W |
| 23 May | A | Dakovo-Croatia | 6-0 | W |
Kustosija
2W 3D 5L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against
| 26 Sep | A | Jadran LP | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Croatia Zmijavci | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Bsk Bijelo Brdo | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | HNK Cibalia | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Dinamo Zagreb U21 | 0-1 | L |
| 2 Sep | A | Segesta Sisak | 0-0 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | Mladost Ždralovi | 1-2 | L |
| 25 Aug | H | HNK Zadar | 3-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Dugopolje | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Jul | H | Karlovac 1919 | 1-2 | L |
Head to head
6 meetings · goals 14:5 · last 6: 5W 0D 1L for Jadran LP
| 14 Mar 2026Second NL | Second NL | Jadran LP2-0Kustosija |
| 12 Sep 2025Second NL | Second NL | Kustosija0-2Jadran LP |
| 2 May 2025Second NL | Second NL | Jadran LP4-1Kustosija |
| 31 Oct 2024Second NL | Second NL | Kustosija2-3Jadran LP |
| 29 Mar 2024Second NL | Second NL | Kustosija1-0Jadran LP |
| 23 Sep 2023Second NL | Second NL | Jadran LP3-1Kustosija |
First NL table2 HNLupdated 9 Oct 19:04 UTC
In the First NL table, Jadran LP sit 1st with 15 points from 8 games, while Kustosija are 15th with 7 points from 8.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jadran LP | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:8 | +5 | 15 |
| 2 | Mladost Ždralovi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 |
| 3 | Croatia Zmijavci | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | HNK Cibalia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 | Segesta Sisak | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 |
| 7 | Sesvete | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Dinamo Zagreb U21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Dugopolje | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Dubrava Zagreb | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Opatija | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Karlovac 1919 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Orijent 1919 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Vukovar | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Kustosija | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Hrvace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 5.6% |
| Betano | 1.95 | 1.75 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 1.74 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 1.74 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 1.80 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.96 | 1.76 | 8.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 1.88 | 9.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 1.85 | 9.9% |
| Betano | 1.80 | 1.80 | 11.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.83 | 1.88 | 7.8% |
| Average | 1.80 | 1.84 | 9.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Jadran LP at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kustosija at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 3.47 | 4.55, which imply roughly 60.6% for a Jadran LP win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the First NL table: Jadran LP are 1st (15 pts, 13-8 goals), Kustosija 15th (7 pts, 4-6).
Over their last five matches, Jadran LP averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Kustosija averaged 0.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Jadran LP or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | 3.42 | 3.80 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | 1.84 | 1.25 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.39 | 2.69 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.80 | 1.84 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.43 | 2.08 | 4.41 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.60 | 10.8 | 2.47 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 8.42 |
| 1.5 | 1.29 | 3.15 |
| 2.5 | 1.96 | 1.76 |
| 3.5 | 3.32 | 1.26 |
| 4.5 | 6.07 | 1.09 |
| 5.5 | 10.0 | 1.03 |
| 6.5 | 17.0 | – |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 8.10 |
| 1.25 | 1.17 | 3.99 |
| 1.75 | 1.34 | 2.78 |
| 2 | 1.44 | 2.42 |
| 2.25 | 1.69 | 1.98 |
| 2.75 | 2.19 | 1.54 |
| 3 | 2.70 | 1.36 |
| 3.25 | 3.05 | 1.28 |
| 3.75 | 4.30 | 1.15 |
| 4 | 6.05 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 3.05 | 1.30 |
| -1 | 2.67 | 1.39 |
| -0.75 | 2.08 | 1.60 |
| -0.5 | 1.82 | 1.88 |
| -0.25 | 1.58 | 2.12 |
| 0 | 1.35 | 2.74 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7.60 | 1.03 |
| -2 | 6.60 | 1.05 |
| -1.75 | 4.40 | 1.14 |
| -1.5 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| +0.25 | 1.26 | 3.20 |
| +0.75 | 1.13 | 4.60 |
| +1 | 1.02 | 8.10 |