Croatia Zmijavci vs Sesvete• First NL, Croatia

#31.2:1.22-0FT27/09 · Zmijavci1.2:1.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.50BVCX3.20PIN22.75BFRMargin at best7.6%Books5Markets40Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 12:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.12	3.10	3.35	9.3%
1xBet	2.06	3.05	3.38	10.9%
Bet365	2.05	3.10	3.30	11.3%
Betfair	2.05	3.00	3.40	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.04	3.05	3.28	12.3%
Best of all books	2.12	3.10	3.40	8.8%
Average	2.06	3.06	3.34	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Croatia ZmijavciSesvete

Last 10#3Table position#71.86Points per game1.257Form pts · last 561.2Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5050Defence rating5054Form rating4638H2H rating6262Goals model3847Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:03 UTC

Croatia Zmijavci

7W 1D 2L · goals 17:7 · per match 1.7 for, 0.7 against

27 Sep	H	Sesvete	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Kustosija	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Vukovar	2-3	L
6 Sep	A	Orijent 1919	1-1	D
2 Sep	H	Bsk Bijelo Brdo	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	Dubrava Zagreb	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Hrvace	3-0	W
18 Jul	H	Siroki Brijeg	2-1	W
30 May	A	Bsk Bijelo Brdo	1-0	W
24 May	H	Hrvace	3-0	W

Sesvete

4W 1D 5L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

27 Sep	A	Croatia Zmijavci	0-2	L
18 Sep	H	HNK Cibalia	1-2	L
11 Sep	A	Dinamo Zagreb U21	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Segesta Sisak	2-0	W
2 Sep	A	Mladost Ždralovi	0-1	L
28 Aug	H	Dugopolje	1-2	L
21 Aug	H	Karlovac 1919	3-0	W
25 Jul	A	NK Slaven Belupo	0-4	L
22 Jul	H	Koprivnica	1-0	W
15 Jul	A	Karlovac 1919	0-0	D

Head to head

4Croatia Zmijavci wins

4draws

6Sesvete wins

14 meetings · goals 16:21 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Croatia Zmijavci

18 Apr 2026First NL	First NL	Sesvete1-1Croatia Zmijavci
14 Nov 2025First NL	First NL	Sesvete1-1Croatia Zmijavci
7 Sep 2025First NL	First NL	Croatia Zmijavci0-1Sesvete
9 May 2025First NL	First NL	Sesvete0-1Croatia Zmijavci
10 Nov 2024First NL	First NL	Croatia Zmijavci0-4Sesvete
30 Aug 2024First NL	First NL	Sesvete3-2Croatia Zmijavci
1 Jun 2024First NL	First NL	Croatia Zmijavci3-1Sesvete
3 Nov 2023First NL	First NL	Sesvete1-0Croatia Zmijavci
20 Aug 2023First NL	First NL	Croatia Zmijavci0-0Sesvete
1 May 2022First NL	First NL	Sesvete2-2Croatia Zmijavci

First NL table2 HNLupdated 9 Oct 19:04 UTC

In the First NL table, Croatia Zmijavci sit 3rd with 13 points from 7 games, while Sesvete are 7th with 10 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Jadran LP	8	4	3	1	13:8	+5	15
2	Mladost Ždralovi	8	4	2	2	8:7	+1	14
3	Croatia Zmijavci	7	4	1	2	11:6	+5	13
4	HNK Cibalia	8	3	4	1	8:6	+2	13
5	Bsk Bijelo Brdo	7	4	1	2	8:6	+2	13
6	Segesta Sisak	7	3	2	2	9:8	+1	11
7	Sesvete	8	3	1	4	10:9	+1	10
8	Dinamo Zagreb U21	7	3	0	4	11:11	0	9
9	Dugopolje	7	2	3	2	9:9	0	9
10	Dubrava Zagreb	7	2	2	3	6:7	-1	8
11	Opatija	8	2	2	4	9:11	-2	8
12	Karlovac 1919	7	2	2	3	8:10	-2	8
13	Orijent 1919	7	2	2	3	6:8	-2	8
14	Vukovar	7	2	2	3	11:14	-3	8
15	Kustosija	8	1	4	3	4:6	-2	7
16	Hrvace	7	2	1	4	7:12	-5	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.23X30%3.03230%3.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.06 → 2.43 +18.0%X3.06 → 3.02 -1.3%23.34 → 2.67 -20.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
1xBet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.27	1.54	9.0%
Betano	2.20	1.52	11.2%
Best of all books	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Average	2.27	1.54	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
1xBet	1.96	1.73	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.70	9.8%
Betano	1.95	1.67	11.2%
Best of all books	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Average	1.99	1.69	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Croatia Zmijavci 10%Draw 45%Sesvete 45%

The statistical model rated Croatia Zmijavci at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sesvete at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.23 | 3.03 | 3.00, which imply roughly 33% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First NL table: Croatia Zmijavci are 3rd (13 pts, 11-6 goals), Sesvete 7th (10 pts, 10-9).

Over their last five matches, Croatia Zmijavci averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Sesvete averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sesvete.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.06	3.06	3.34

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.64	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.50	2.38

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.99	1.69

1st half

1	X	2
2.76	1.96	4.11

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.77	6.85	2.43

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.70
1.5	1.41	2.57
2.5	2.27	1.54
3.5	4.10	1.18
4.5	7.63	1.05
5.5	12.0	1.01
6.5	21.0	–

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.08	5.60
1.25	1.24	3.34
1.75	1.51	2.30
2	1.71	1.96
2.25	1.98	1.69
2.75	2.62	1.38
3	3.42	1.23
3.25	3.80	1.19
3.75	5.18	1.10
4	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.58	1.21
-1	3.14	1.27
-0.75	2.38	1.46
-0.25	1.78	1.92
0	1.48	2.39
+0.25	1.34	2.78

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.70	1.01
-2	8.00	1.02
-1.75	5.10	1.10
-1.5	4.05	1.16
+0.75	1.16	4.15
+1	1.05	6.50
+1.5	1.03	7.50