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Croatia Zmijavci vs Sesvete• First NL, Croatia

#11.2:1.22-0FT27/09 · Zmijavci1.2:1.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.50BVCX3.20PIN22.75BFRMargin at best7.6%Books5Markets40Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 12:48 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.123.103.359.3%
1xBet2.063.053.3810.9%
Bet3652.053.103.3011.3%
Betfair2.053.003.4011.5%
Marathonbet2.043.053.2812.3%
Best of all books2.123.103.408.8%
Average2.063.063.3411.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Croatia ZmijavciSesvete
Last 10#1Table position#122.00Points per game1.117Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5050Defence rating5054Form rating4638H2H rating6262Goals model3847Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Croatia Zmijavci

7W 1D 2L · goals 15:7 · per match 1.5 for, 0.7 against

11 OctADugopolje1-0W
27 SepHSesvete2-0W
20 SepAKustosija0-1L
13 SepHVukovar2-3L
6 SepAOrijent 19191-1D
2 SepHBsk Bijelo Brdo1-0W
28 AugADubrava Zagreb2-1W
23 AugHHrvace3-0W
18 JulHSiroki Brijeg2-1W
30 MayABsk Bijelo Brdo1-0W

Sesvete

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

9 OctHJadran LP1-1D
27 SepACroatia Zmijavci0-2L
18 SepHHNK Cibalia1-2L
11 SepADinamo Zagreb U212-1W
5 SepHSegesta Sisak2-0W
2 SepAMladost Ždralovi0-1L
28 AugHDugopolje1-2L
21 AugHKarlovac 19193-0W
25 JulANK Slaven Belupo0-4L
22 JulHKoprivnica1-0W

Head to head

4Croatia Zmijavci wins
4draws
6Sesvete wins

14 meetings · goals 16:21 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Croatia Zmijavci

18 Apr 2026First NLFirst NLSesvete1-1Croatia Zmijavci
14 Nov 2025First NLFirst NLSesvete1-1Croatia Zmijavci
7 Sep 2025First NLFirst NLCroatia Zmijavci0-1Sesvete
9 May 2025First NLFirst NLSesvete0-1Croatia Zmijavci
10 Nov 2024First NLFirst NLCroatia Zmijavci0-4Sesvete
30 Aug 2024First NLFirst NLSesvete3-2Croatia Zmijavci
1 Jun 2024First NLFirst NLCroatia Zmijavci3-1Sesvete
3 Nov 2023First NLFirst NLSesvete1-0Croatia Zmijavci
20 Aug 2023First NLFirst NLCroatia Zmijavci0-0Sesvete
1 May 2022First NLFirst NLSesvete2-2Croatia Zmijavci

First NL table2 HNLupdated 17 Oct 14:42 UTC

In the First NL table, Croatia Zmijavci sit 1st with 16 points from 8 games, while Sesvete are 12th with 10 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Croatia Zmijavci851212:6+616
2Jadran LP843113:8+515
3Mladost Ždralovi84228:7+114
4Karlovac 1919942312:12014
5HNK Cibalia83418:6+213
6Bsk Bijelo Brdo841310:9+113
7Dinamo Zagreb U21940514:13+112
8Segesta Sisak832310:11-111
9Opatija932410:11-111
10Orijent 191983238:9-111
11Vukovar832312:14-211
12Sesvete931510:10010
13Dugopolje82339:10-19
14Dubrava Zagreb82247:9-28
15Kustosija81434:6-27
16Hrvace82157:13-67

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.23X30%3.03230%3.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

25 Sep 14:3127 Sep 02:111 2.43X 3.022 2.67
12.06 → 2.43 +18.0%X3.06 → 3.02 -1.3%23.34 → 2.67 -20.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.351.576.2%
1xBet2.271.549.0%
Marathonbet2.271.549.0%
Betano2.201.5211.2%
Best of all books2.351.576.2%
Average2.271.548.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.101.677.5%
1xBet1.961.738.8%
Marathonbet1.961.709.8%
Betano1.951.6711.2%
Best of all books2.101.735.4%
Average1.991.699.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Croatia Zmijavci 10%Draw 45%Sesvete 45%

The statistical model rated Croatia Zmijavci at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sesvete at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.23 | 3.03 | 3.00, which imply roughly 33% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First NL table: Croatia Zmijavci are 1st (16 pts, 12-6 goals), Sesvete 12th (10 pts, 10-10).

Over their last five matches, Croatia Zmijavci averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Sesvete averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sesvete.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.063.063.34

Double chance

1XX212
1.251.641.29

Draw no bet

12
1.502.38

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.991.69

1st half

1X2
2.761.964.11

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.776.852.43

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.076.70
1.51.412.57
2.52.271.54
3.54.101.18
4.57.631.05
5.512.01.01
6.521.0–
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.085.60
1.251.243.34
1.751.512.30
21.711.96
2.251.981.69
2.752.621.38
33.421.23
3.253.801.19
3.755.181.10
47.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.253.581.21
-13.141.27
-0.752.381.46
-0.251.781.92
01.482.39
+0.251.342.78
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.701.01
-28.001.02
-1.755.101.10
-1.54.051.16
+0.751.164.15
+11.056.50
+1.51.037.50