Tirana6th4 pts
AF Elbasani5th5 pts
Tirana6th4 pts
AF Elbasani5th5 ptsIn the Superliga table, Tirana sit 6th with 4 points from 4 games, while AF Elbasani are 5th with 5 points from 4 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Tirana at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and AF Elbasani at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.45, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Superliga table: Tirana are 6th (4 pts, 6-7 goals), AF Elbasani 5th (5 pts, 5-5).
Over their last five matches, Tirana averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; AF Elbasani averaged 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or AF Elbasani.
Tirana vs AF Elbasani — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Teuta Durrës | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 |  Dinamo Tirana | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Laci | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 |  AF Elbasani | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 |  Tirana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Partizani | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 |  Vora | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 |  Skenderbeu Korce | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Vllaznia Shkodër | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.56
X
3.18
2
2.45
Double chance
1X
1.44
X2
1.41
12
1.28
Both teams to score
Yes
1.83
No
1.84
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.33
Under 1.5
2.87
Over 1.75
1.42
Under 1.75
2.49
Over 2
1.56
Under 2
2.15
Over 2.25
1.83
Under 2.25
1.81
Over 2.75
2.38
Under 2.75
1.46
Over 3.5
3.83
Under 3.5
1.19
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
7.87
Over 2.5
2.09
Under 2.5
1.64
Over 0.75
1.03
Under 0.75
7.20
Over 1
1.05
Under 1
6.55
Over 1.25
1.19
Under 1.25
3.76
Over 3
3.04
Under 3
1.29
Over 4.5
7.47
Under 4.5
1.04
Over 3.25
3.34
Under 3.25
1.24
Over 3.75
4.70
Under 3.75
1.12
Over 4
6.55
Under 4
1.05
Over 4.25
6.85
Under 4.25
1.04
Over 5.5
17.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.83
2
1.81
Asian handicap
Home 1.5
1.10
Away 1.5
1.09
1st half
1
3.28
X
2.01
2
3.14
First team to score
Home
2.05
No Goal
7.90
Away
1.99