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Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97• National Division, Luxembourg

#51.6:0.61-2FTToday4.0:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.11PINX3.82PIN23.25B365Margin at best4.3%Books4Markets45Rating53 · 47 levelExp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:52 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.113.822.819.2%
1xBet1.943.623.1610.8%
Marathonbet1.923.623.0812.2%
Bet3651.833.703.2512.4%
Best of all books2.113.823.254.3%
Average1.953.693.0810.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Progres NiederkornUN Kaerjeng 97
Last 10#5Table position#31.90Points per game2.1013Form pts · last 5121.6Goals for · last 54.00.6Goals against · last 51.429Attack rating7170Defence rating3045Form rating5550H2H rating5078Goals model2253Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:11 UTC

Progres Niederkorn

7W 1D 2L · goals 22:5 · per match 2.2 for, 0.5 against

11 OctAUS Hostert2-0W
20 SepAKopstal 337-0W
16 SepHRacing FC Union Luxembourg0-0D
12 SepAWiltz2-1W
6 SepHUS Rumelange3-0W
30 AugAUS Mondorf-les-bains1-2L
22 AugHUNA Strassen0-1L
16 AugAAtert Bissen4-0W
9 AugARésidence Walferdange1-0W
1 AugHAS Jeunesse Esch2-1W

UN Kaerjeng 97

7W 0D 3L · goals 36:17 · per match 3.6 for, 1.7 against

11 OctHAS Jeunesse Esch4-1W
20 SepASyra Mensdorf9-1W
16 SepAF91 Dudelange4-2W
11 SepHVictoria Rosport5-0W
6 SepAFC Differdange 031-4L
30 AugHSwift Hesperange6-0W
23 AugAEtzella Ettelbruck1-0W
16 AugHRésidence Walferdange1-2L
9 AugHUS Hostert4-2W
2 AugARacing FC Union Luxembourg1-5L

Head to head

8Progres Niederkorn wins
4draws
6UN Kaerjeng 97 wins

18 meetings · goals 22:21 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Progres Niederkorn

27 Jun 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsProgres Niederkorn0-3UN Kaerjeng 97
22 Mar 2026National DivisionNational DivisionProgres Niederkorn2-2UN Kaerjeng 97
28 Sep 2025National DivisionNational DivisionUN Kaerjeng 973-4Progres Niederkorn
28 Apr 2024National DivisionNational DivisionProgres Niederkorn2-0UN Kaerjeng 97
12 Nov 2023National DivisionNational DivisionUN Kaerjeng 972-0Progres Niederkorn
19 Feb 2023National DivisionNational DivisionProgres Niederkorn1-0UN Kaerjeng 97
30 Oct 2022CupCupProgres Niederkorn1-0UN Kaerjeng 97
21 Aug 2022National DivisionNational DivisionUN Kaerjeng 971-1Progres Niederkorn
5 Mar 2017National DivisionNational DivisionUN Kaerjeng 972-4Progres Niederkorn
12 Sep 2016National DivisionNational DivisionProgres Niederkorn0-2UN Kaerjeng 97

National Division tableBGL Leagueupdated 17 Oct 19:40 UTC

In the National Division table, Progres Niederkorn sit 5th with 19 points from 10 games, while UN Kaerjeng 97 are 3rd with 21 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1UNA Strassen990019:2+1727
2FC Differdange 03980125:5+2024
3UN Kaerjeng 971070329:17+1221
4US Mondorf-les-bains970218:12+621
5Progres Niederkorn1061316:7+919
6Racing FC Union Luxembourg953123:10+1318
7Atert Bissen951320:13+716
8Résidence Walferdange950416:16015
9US Hostert932414:13+111
10F91 Dudelange931511:16-510
11Victoria Rosport922514:20-68
12AS Jeunesse Esch921615:21-67
13US Rumelange92079:25-166
14Etzella Ettelbruck91267:18-115
15Wiltz911714:24-104
16Swift Hesperange90092:33-31

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%1.95X24%3.74229%3.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.652.206.1%
Pinnacle1.632.216.6%
1xBet1.602.159.0%
Marathonbet1.602.159.0%
Best of all books1.652.215.9%
Average1.622.187.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.532.299.0%
Marathonbet1.532.2410.0%
Best of all books1.532.299.0%
Average1.532.279.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Progres Niederkorn 45%Draw 45%UN Kaerjeng 97 10%

The statistical model rated Progres Niederkorn at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and UN Kaerjeng 97 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.95 | 3.74 | 3.07, which imply roughly 51.3% for a Progres Niederkorn win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National Division table: Progres Niederkorn are 5th (19 pts, 16-7 goals), UN Kaerjeng 97 3rd (21 pts, 29-17).

Over their last five matches, Progres Niederkorn averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; UN Kaerjeng 97 averaged 4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Progres Niederkorn or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.953.693.08

Double chance

1XX212
1.261.711.19

Draw no bet

12
1.442.62

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.532.27

1st half

1X2
2.452.313.68

2nd half

1X2
2.302.603.36

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.8215.329.0
HT X5.506.308.65
HT 219.516.35.65

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6715.02.24

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0210.5
1.51.154.30
2.51.622.18
3.52.531.43
4.54.651.12
5.59.001.03
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.038.50
1.751.183.84
21.253.38
2.251.432.56
2.751.771.93
32.011.69
3.252.271.53
3.753.041.29
43.941.17
4.254.101.16

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.221.59
-0.52.001.80
-0.251.771.91
01.532.29
+0.251.402.62
+0.51.402.76
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.701.02
-2.255.461.08
-26.751.04
-1.754.601.13
-1.53.581.21
-1.253.221.27
-12.881.35
+11.075.75
+1.51.046.75