US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz• National Division, Luxembourg

#41.6:1.414:00Tomorrow · Stade John Grun, Mondorf-les-Bains1.0:3.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.25B365X5.80PIN210.31XBMargin at best7.0%Books5Markets57Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 18:43 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.24	5.80	8.65	9.4%
Bet365	1.25	5.25	9.00	10.2%
1xBet	1.20	5.60	10.3	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.19	5.60	9.70	12.2%
William Hill	1.22	5.00	9.50	12.5%
Best of all books	1.25	5.80	10.3	7.0%
Average	1.22	5.45	9.43	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

US Mondorf-les-bainsWiltz

Last 10#4Table position#152.33Points per game0.449Form pts · last 531.6Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 53.062Attack rating3868Defence rating32100Form rating093H2H rating765Goals model3573Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 09:40 UTC

US Mondorf-les-bains

8W 0D 2L · goals 28:13 · per match 2.8 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	A	US Rumelange	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Kischpelt Wilwerwiltz	10-1	W
16 Sep	A	Résidence Walferdange	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	UNA Strassen	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Atert Bissen	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Progres Niederkorn	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	AS Jeunesse Esch	3-1	W
16 Aug	H	F91 Dudelange	1-0	W
9 Aug	A	Victoria Rosport	3-2	W
2 Aug	H	FC Differdange 03	3-2	W

Wiltz

2W 1D 7L · goals 20:26 · per match 2.0 for, 2.6 against

11 Oct	H	UNA Strassen	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Sandweiler	6-2	W
16 Sep	A	Atert Bissen	2-4	L
12 Sep	H	Progres Niederkorn	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	AS Jeunesse Esch	1-5	L
30 Aug	H	F91 Dudelange	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Victoria Rosport	0-4	L
15 Aug	H	FC Differdange 03	1-2	L
9 Aug	A	Swift Hesperange	7-2	W
1 Aug	H	Etzella Ettelbruck	1-1	D

Head to head

9US Mondorf-les-bains wins

2draws

3Wiltz wins

14 meetings · goals 28:22 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for US Mondorf-les-bains

9 Mar 2025National Division	National Division	Wiltz0-2US Mondorf-les-bains
15 Sep 2024National Division	National Division	US Mondorf-les-bains3-2Wiltz
12 May 2024National Division	National Division	Wiltz2-2US Mondorf-les-bains
3 Dec 2023National Division	National Division	US Mondorf-les-bains2-0Wiltz
30 Apr 2023National Division	National Division	US Mondorf-les-bains3-0Wiltz
27 Nov 2022National Division	National Division	Wiltz4-4US Mondorf-les-bains
6 Mar 2022National Division	National Division	US Mondorf-les-bains2-0Wiltz
18 Sep 2021National Division	National Division	Wiltz1-2US Mondorf-les-bains
16 May 2021National Division	National Division	US Mondorf-les-bains0-3Wiltz
28 Feb 2021National Division	National Division	Wiltz5-0US Mondorf-les-bains

National Division tableBGL Leagueupdated 17 Oct 19:40 UTC

In the National Division table, US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th with 21 points from 9 games, while Wiltz are 15th with 4 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	UNA Strassen	9	9	0	0	19:2	+17	27
2	FC Differdange 03	9	8	0	1	25:5	+20	24
3	UN Kaerjeng 97	10	7	0	3	29:17	+12	21
4	US Mondorf-les-bains	9	7	0	2	18:12	+6	21
5	Progres Niederkorn	10	6	1	3	16:7	+9	19
6	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	9	5	3	1	23:10	+13	18
7	Atert Bissen	9	5	1	3	20:13	+7	16
8	Résidence Walferdange	9	5	0	4	16:16	0	15
9	US Hostert	9	3	2	4	14:13	+1	11
10	F91 Dudelange	9	3	1	5	11:16	-5	10
11	Victoria Rosport	9	2	2	5	14:20	-6	8
12	AS Jeunesse Esch	9	2	1	6	15:21	-6	7
13	US Rumelange	9	2	0	7	9:25	-16	6
14	Etzella Ettelbruck	9	1	2	6	7:18	-11	5
15	Wiltz	9	1	1	7	14:24	-10	4
16	Swift Hesperange	9	0	0	9	2:33	-31

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg174%1.22X17%5.45210%9.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.35	2.74	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.35	2.74	10.6%
Best of all books	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Average	1.37	2.74	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.91	9.8%
Best of all books	1.74	2.00	7.5%
Average	1.73	1.95	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

US Mondorf-les-bains 50%Draw 50%Wiltz 0%

The statistical model rates US Mondorf-les-bains at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Wiltz at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.22 | 5.45 | 9.43, which imply roughly 82% for a US Mondorf-les-bains win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the National Division table: US Mondorf-les-bains are 4th (21 pts, 18-12 goals), Wiltz 15th (4 pts, 14-24).

Over their last five matches, US Mondorf-les-bains averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Wiltz averaged 1 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : US Mondorf-les-bains or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.22	5.45	9.43

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	3.56	1.09

Draw no bet

1	2
1.08	7.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.73	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
1.60	2.78	7.76

2nd half

1	X	2
1.45	3.40	7.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.71	22.5	60.5
HT X	4.31	9.75	20.5
HT 2	16.3	22.5	16.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.25	20.5	3.68

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.0
1.5	1.10	6.00
2.5	1.37	2.74
3.5	1.92	1.78
4.5	2.92	1.31
5.5	5.00	1.12

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	11.5
1.75	1.14	4.42
2	1.11	4.85
2.25	1.23	3.42
2.75	1.42	2.54
3	1.52	2.28
3.25	1.72	1.97
3.75	2.13	1.60
4	2.48	1.44
4.25	2.76	1.36
4.75	3.32	1.24
5	4.45	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.48	1.44
-2.25	2.26	1.54
-2	2.02	1.68
-1.75	1.80	1.92
-1.5	1.72	2.04
-1.25	1.47	2.41

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	8.00	1.04
-4	5.80	1.09
-3.5	4.15	1.16
-3.25	3.92	1.18
-3	3.50	1.22
-2.75	2.83	1.33
-1	1.31	3.01
-0.75	1.24	3.34
-0.25	1.11	4.80
0	1.03	7.50
+0.25	1.14	5.00