Sporting CP vs Maritimo• Taça da Liga, Portugal

20:15Today · Lisbon

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.36BTNX5.60DAF28.00BFRMargin at best3.9%Books10Markets91Rating73 · 27

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.35	5.60	7.80	4.8%
Betano	1.36	5.50	7.60	4.9%
Pinnacle	1.34	5.62	7.73	5.4%
1xBet	1.31	5.25	7.95	8.0%
William Hill	1.33	5.00	7.50	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.30	5.25	7.90	8.6%
BetVictor	1.30	5.00	8.00	9.4%
Bet365	1.33	4.75	7.00	10.5%
Betfair	1.25	5.00	8.00	12.5%
SBO	1.30	4.73	6.18	14.2%
Best of all books	1.36	5.62	8.00	3.8%
Average	1.32	5.17	7.57	8.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sporting CPMaritimo

Last 107Form pts · last 540Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating071H2H rating290Goals model073Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 16:30 UTC

Sporting CP

6W 2D 2L · goals 23:11 · per match 2.3 for, 1.1 against

25 Oct	H	Academico Viseu	1-2	L
21 Oct	H	Lask Linz	2-3	L
13 Oct	A	Lens	2-0	W
9 Oct	A	SC Braga	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Arouca	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Famalicao	1-1	D
9 Sep	H	Galatasaray	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Nacional	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Rio Ave	4-0	W
22 Aug	H	Alverca	3-1	W

Maritimo

3W 2D 5L · goals 11:20 · per match 1.1 for, 2.0 against

23 Oct	A	Vitória SC	0-5	L
18 Oct	A	Alcochetense	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	FC Porto	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	GIL Vicente	1-1	D
14 Sep	A	Moreirense	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Benfica	0-3	L
29 Aug	A	Arouca	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Academico Viseu	2-2	D
16 Aug	A	Famalicao	2-1	W
8 Aug	H	Casa Pia	1-0	W

Head to head

17Sporting CP wins

5draws

6Maritimo wins

28 meetings · goals 52:24 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Sporting CP

13 May 2023Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Sporting CP2-1Maritimo
8 Jan 2023Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Maritimo1-0Sporting CP
13 Dec 2022Taça da Liga	Taça da Liga	Sporting CP5-0Maritimo
26 Feb 2022Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Maritimo1-1Sporting CP
24 Sep 2021Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Sporting CP1-0Maritimo
19 May 2021Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Sporting CP5-1Maritimo
5 Feb 2021Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Maritimo0-2Sporting CP
11 Jan 2021Taça de Portugal	Taça de Portugal	Maritimo2-0Sporting CP
27 Jan 2020Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Sporting CP1-0Maritimo
11 Aug 2019Primeira Liga	Primeira Liga	Maritimo1-1Sporting CP

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.31X18%5.20212%7.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.25 → 1.31 +4.8%X5.57 → 5.20 -6.6%29.13 → 7.53 -17.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.50	2.70	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.49	2.66	4.7%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betfair	1.40	2.75	7.8%
BetVictor	1.44	2.60	7.9%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Best of all books	1.50	2.75	3.0%
Average	1.44	2.62	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.75	2.02	6.6%
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.97	8.6%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.80	2.05	4.3%
Average	1.74	1.99	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sporting CP 50%Draw 50%Maritimo 0%

The statistical model rates Sporting CP at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Maritimo at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.31 | 5.20 | 7.53, which imply roughly 76.3% for a Sporting CP win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Sporting CP averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Maritimo averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sporting CP or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.32	5.17	7.57

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	3.15	1.12

Draw no bet

1	2
1.10	6.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
1.70	2.73	6.76

2nd half

1	X	2
1.57	3.15	6.44

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.80	18.2	53.1
HT X	4.27	8.55	16.4
HT 2	19.1	19.4	13.1

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.31	21.0	3.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.5
1.5	1.12	5.48
2.5	1.44	2.62
3.5	2.15	1.67
4.5	3.59	1.26
5.5	6.46	1.09
6.5	10.1	1.04
7.5	15.2	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	12.5
1.75	1.12	4.75
2	1.15	4.30
2.25	1.29	3.06
2.75	1.55	2.29
3	1.70	2.06
3.25	1.94	1.80
3.75	2.46	1.49
4	2.93	1.35
4.25	3.22	1.27
4.75	4.31	1.15
5	5.70	1.08
5.25	6.05	1.06
6	9.20	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.73	1.40
-2	2.49	1.49
-1.75	2.10	1.67
-1.5	1.87	1.90
-1.25	1.66	2.10
-1	1.47	2.55

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	9.80	1.02
-4	9.35	1.02
-3.75	6.70	1.07
-3.5	5.59	1.11
-3.25	5.31	1.12
-3	4.90	1.13
-2.75	3.61	1.24
-2.5	3.05	1.34
-0.75	1.37	2.86
-0.5	1.35	3.24
-0.25	1.18	4.03
0	1.08	6.10
+0.25	1.11	6.60
+0.5	1.10	7.00

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.52	2.45
4.5	2.02	1.75
5.5	2.87	1.39

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	10.0
5.5	1.08	7.00
6.5	1.13	4.80
7.5	1.29	3.17
8.5	1.52	2.35
9.5	1.92	1.81
10.5	2.45	1.49
11.5	3.35	1.26
12.5	4.73	1.13
13.5	6.90	1.08
14.5	9.00	1.04
15.5	11.3	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.28	3.05
8.25	1.40	2.56
8.75	1.55	2.20
9	1.73	2.07
9.25	1.76	1.93
9.75	1.96	1.71
10	2.09	1.71
10.25	2.26	1.52
10.75	2.60	1.39
11.25	3.05	1.28

Next Taça da Liga matches

28 Oct	FC Porto – Academico Viseu
29 Oct	SC Braga – Famalicao
29 Oct	Benfica – GIL Vicente

All Taça da Liga fixtures and the table