Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Iguatu at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Nacional AM at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 3.07 | 4.79, which imply roughly 56.5% for a Iguatu win versus the model's 35%.
Over their last five matches, Iguatu averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Nacional AM averaged 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Iguatu or draw.
Iguatu vs Nacional AM — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | |
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| 4 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 5 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | |
| 6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.77
X
3.07
2
4.79
Double chance
1X
1.13
X2
1.90
12
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
2.22
No
1.56
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.48
Under 1.5
2.41
Over 2.5
2.44
Under 2.5
1.46
Over 3.5
4.44
Under 3.5
1.14
Over 0.5
1.08
Under 0.5
5.94
Over 4.5
8.53
Under 4.5
1.04
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
21.00
Over 1.75
1.59
Under 1.75
2.10
Over 2
1.84
Under 2
1.82
Over 2.25
2.14
Under 2.25
1.60
Over 2.75
2.88
Under 2.75
1.32
Over 0.75
1.09
Under 0.75
5.30
Over 1
1.12
Under 1
4.75
Over 1.25
1.30
Under 1.25
3.07
Over 3
3.82
Under 3
1.18
Draw no bet
1
1.27
2
3.25
Asian handicap
Away 2.5
1.05
1st half
1
2.44
X
1.92
2
5.49
First team to score
Home
1.60
No Goal
5.90
Away
3.01



