The statistical model rates Bonsucesso at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Madureira at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.31 | 3.03 | 2.89, which imply roughly 43.3% for a Bonsucesso win versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, Bonsucesso averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Madureira averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Bonsucesso and -2.5 goals (goal line signal: under 2.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
1
2.31
X
3.03
2
2.89
1X
1.33
X2
1.50
12
1.27
Yes
1.90
No
1.75
Over 2.5
2.18
Under 2.5
1.55
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
2.62
Over 1.75
1.49
Under 1.75
2.23
Over 2
1.66
Under 2
1.94
Over 2.25
1.93
Under 2.25
1.69
Over 2.75
2.53
Under 2.75
1.37
Over 3.5
3.86
Under 3.5
1.17
Over 1
1.07
Under 1
5.80
Over 1.25
1.24
Under 1.25
3.38
Over 3
3.42
Under 3
1.23
Over 3.25
3.82
Under 3.25
1.19
Over 4
7.80
Under 4
1.02
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
6.53
Over 4.5
7.43
Under 4.5
1.04
Over 3.75
4.91
Under 3.75
1.11
Over 5.5
23.00
Under 5.5
1.01
1
1.65
2
1.95
Home 0.5
1.33
Away 0.5
1.53
1
3.01
X
1.98
2
3.56
Home
1.93
No Goal
7.35
Away
2.17
Over 6.5
1.19
Under 6.5
3.74