Milton Keynes Dons vs
Brentford U21• EFL Trophy, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 4 Oct 00:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 4.14 | 3.50 | 4.8% |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.73 | 3.57 | 8.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.40 | 9.1% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.50 | 9.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.64 | 3.42 | 11.1% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.25 | 12.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.92 | 4.14 | 3.57 | 4.2% |
| Average | 1.86 | 3.79 | 3.44 | 9.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:12 UTC
Milton Keynes Dons
2W 6D 2L · goals 20:16 · per match 2.0 for, 1.6 against
| 6 Oct | H | Brentford U21 | 7-1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Crawley Town | 4-1 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | AFC Wimbledon | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Peterborough | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Wycombe | 3-3 | D |
| 2 Sep | A | Wigan | 1-3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Leicester | 0-0 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Huddersfield | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | Oxford United | 2-2 | D |
| 8 Aug | A | Norwich | 1-4 | L |
Brentford U21
5W 1D 4L · goals 19:21 · per match 1.9 for, 2.1 against
| 6 Oct | A | Milton Keynes Dons | 1-7 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Bromley | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Manchester United U21 | 2-3 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Everton U21 | 0-2 | L |
| 8 Sep | A | Hull City U21 | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Aug | H | Sunderland U21 | 5-1 | W |
| 21 Aug | A | Stoke City U21 | 3-2 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | Wycombe U21 | 2-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Rennes | 2-1 | W |
| 1 May | A | Everton U21 | 2-4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Milton Keynes Dons and Brentford U21 on record.
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 2.30 | 5.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 5.9% |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 2.24 | 6.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 2.17 | 8.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.75 | 2.30 | 0.6% |
| Average | 1.65 | 2.19 | 6.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 2.27 | 8.6% |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 2.25 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 2.23 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.67 | 2.38 | 1.9% |
| Average | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Milton Keynes Dons at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Brentford U21 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.85 | 5.53, which imply roughly 20.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Milton Keynes Dons averaged 4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Brentford U21 averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Brentford U21.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2Coach: P. Warne
Goalkeeper
- 23W. Dennis
Defence
- 5C. Goode
- 46Jack Burke
- 32J. Sanders
Midfield
- 24R. Wintle
- 7D. Crowley
- 26B. Wiles
- 47S. Troso
- 17S. Silvera
Attack
- 10A. Collins
- 22I. Fullah
Substitutes (7)
- 20Elijah Xavier Campbell
- 4D. Barlaser
- 21M. Ekpiteta
- 9S. Nombe
- 39J. Perniskie
- 40Rian Silver
- 51S. Stacey
Brentford U21
4-2-3-1Goalkeeper
- 52R. Rose
Defence
- 66J. Wheeler
- 59C. Avenell
- 64M. Klimas
- 63L. Picotto
Midfield
- 54A. Grey
- 53R. Owen
- 62O. Shield
- 68Luka Bentt
- 39Gustavo Gomes
Attack
- 60Isaac Holland
Substitutes (7)
- 71Archie Ian Mcblain Trimboli
- 75Jacob Hanson
- 74Naeem Giscombe
- 92Jai Nwosu
- 88Josh Oladapo-Gamu
- 72Isaiah Powis
- 65Connor Wolfheimer
Match Statistics
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.87 | 3.79 | 3.44 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | 1.78 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.53 | 2.35 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.57 | 2.25 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.45 | 2.33 | 3.80 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.72 | 14.3 | 2.19 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 13.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.18 | 4.24 |
| 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.19 |
| 3.5 | 2.54 | 1.47 |
| 4.5 | 4.48 | 1.16 |
| 5.5 | 8.25 | 1.03 |
| 6.5 | 13.0 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 21.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | 9.20 |
| 1.25 | 1.08 | 5.70 |
| 1.75 | 1.19 | 3.76 |
| 2 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| 2.25 | 1.43 | 2.60 |
| 2.75 | 1.77 | 1.97 |
| 3 | 2.00 | 1.74 |
| 3.25 | 2.26 | 1.57 |
| 3.75 | 2.92 | 1.34 |
| 4 | 3.70 | 1.20 |
| 4.25 | 4.02 | 1.17 |
| 4.75 | 5.35 | 1.09 |
| 5 | 7.30 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 2.83 | 1.37 |
| -1 | 2.52 | 1.47 |
| -0.75 | 2.09 | 1.66 |
| -0.5 | 1.87 | 1.94 |
| -0.25 | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| 0 | 1.43 | 2.61 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6.10 | 1.08 |
| -2.25 | 5.78 | 1.09 |
| -2 | 5.47 | 1.10 |
| -1.75 | 3.89 | 1.20 |
| -1.5 | 3.13 | 1.30 |
| +0.25 | 1.33 | 2.99 |
| +0.5 | 1.30 | 3.45 |
| +0.75 | 1.18 | 4.15 |
| +1 | 1.08 | 6.13 |
| +1.25 | 1.07 | 6.60 |
| +1.5 | 1.04 | 6.80 |
| +1.75 | 1.03 | 7.40 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.08 | 5.25 |
| 7.5 | 1.24 | 3.32 |
| 8.5 | 1.50 | 2.37 |
| 9.5 | 1.85 | 1.90 |
| 10.5 | 2.35 | 1.51 |
| 11.5 | 3.16 | 1.27 |
| 12.5 | 4.54 | 1.12 |
| 13.5 | 6.97 | 1.02 |
7 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.10 | 4.76 |
| 8 | 1.31 | 2.97 |
| 9 | 1.64 | 2.12 |
| 10 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
| 11 | 2.85 | 1.34 |
| 12 | 4.17 | 1.14 |
| 13 | 6.54 | 1.03 |