OddsFilter

Milton Keynes Dons vs Brentford U21• EFL Trophy, England

4.0:1.07-1FT06/10 · Stadium MK, Milton Keynes1.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70WHX4.24PIN24.111XBMargin at best6.7%Books6Markets63Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.924.143.504.8%
Pinnacle1.883.733.578.0%
Bet3651.853.903.409.1%
Betfair1.853.753.509.3%
Marathonbet1.843.643.4211.1%
William Hill1.853.603.2512.6%
Best of all books1.924.143.574.2%
Average1.863.793.449.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Milton Keynes DonsBrentford U21
Last 109Form pts · last 544.0Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 50.080Attack rating200Defence rating10050Form rating500H2H rating00Goals model10065Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:12 UTC

Milton Keynes Dons

2W 6D 2L · goals 20:16 · per match 2.0 for, 1.6 against

6 OctHBrentford U217-1W
22 SepHCrawley Town4-1W
17 SepAAFC Wimbledon0-0D
12 SepHPeterborough1-1D
5 SepAWycombe3-3D
2 SepAWigan1-3L
29 AugHLeicester0-0D
22 AugHHuddersfield1-1D
15 AugAOxford United2-2D
8 AugANorwich1-4L

Brentford U21

5W 1D 4L · goals 19:21 · per match 1.9 for, 2.1 against

6 OctAMilton Keynes Dons1-7L
22 SepABromley1-0W
18 SepAManchester United U212-3L
13 SepHEverton U210-2L
8 SepAHull City U211-1D
31 AugHSunderland U215-1W
21 AugAStoke City U213-2W
16 AugHWycombe U212-0W
8 AugARennes2-1W
1 MayAEverton U212-4L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Milton Keynes Dons and Brentford U21 on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.39X19%4.85216%5.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Oct 03:216 Oct 06:211 1.67X 4.012 3.97
11.87 → 1.67 -10.7%X3.79 → 4.01 +5.8%23.44 → 3.97 +15.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.612.305.6%
Bet3651.752.055.9%
Pinnacle1.612.246.8%
Marathonbet1.612.178.2%
Best of all books1.752.300.6%
Average1.652.196.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.532.387.4%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
1xBet1.552.278.6%
William Hill1.552.259.0%
Marathonbet1.552.239.4%
Best of all books1.672.381.9%
Average1.572.258.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Milton Keynes Dons 10%Draw 45%Brentford U21 45%

The statistical model rated Milton Keynes Dons at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Brentford U21 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.85 | 5.53, which imply roughly 20.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Milton Keynes Dons averaged 4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Brentford U21 averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Brentford U21.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Milton Keynes Dons

3-1-4-2

Coach: P. Warne

Goalkeeper

  • 23W. Dennis

Defence

  • 5C. Goode
  • 46Jack Burke
  • 32J. Sanders

Midfield

  • 24R. Wintle
  • 7D. Crowley
  • 26B. Wiles
  • 47S. Troso
  • 17S. Silvera

Attack

  • 10A. Collins
  • 22I. Fullah
Substitutes (7)
  • 20Elijah Xavier Campbell
  • 4D. Barlaser
  • 21M. Ekpiteta
  • 9S. Nombe
  • 39J. Perniskie
  • 40Rian Silver
  • 51S. Stacey

Brentford U21

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 52R. Rose

Defence

  • 66J. Wheeler
  • 59C. Avenell
  • 64M. Klimas
  • 63L. Picotto

Midfield

  • 54A. Grey
  • 53R. Owen
  • 62O. Shield
  • 68Luka Bentt
  • 39Gustavo Gomes

Attack

  • 60Isaac Holland
Substitutes (7)
  • 71Archie Ian Mcblain Trimboli
  • 75Jacob Hanson
  • 74Naeem Giscombe
  • 92Jai Nwosu
  • 88Josh Oladapo-Gamu
  • 72Isaiah Powis
  • 65Connor Wolfheimer

Match Statistics

Milton Keynes DonsBrentford U21
454Passes accurate296
26Shots insidebox6
7Shots outsidebox5
10Blocked Shots2
12Free Kicks9
15Shots on Goal5
4Goalkeeper Saves8
8Shots off Goal4
1Offsides1
514Total passes367
33Total Shots11
14Corner Kicks4
0Red Cards1
0Yellow Cards2
9Fouls12
59%Ball Possession41%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.873.793.44

Double chance

1XX212
1.271.781.22

Draw no bet

12
1.532.35

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.572.25

1st half

1X2
2.452.333.80

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7214.32.19

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0113.0
1.51.184.24
2.51.652.19
3.52.541.47
4.54.481.16
5.58.251.03
6.513.01.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.20
1.251.085.70
1.751.193.76
21.253.28
2.251.432.60
2.751.771.97
32.001.74
3.252.261.57
3.752.921.34
43.701.20
4.254.021.17
4.755.351.09
57.301.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.831.37
-12.521.47
-0.752.091.66
-0.51.871.94
-0.251.632.13
01.432.61
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.101.08
-2.255.781.09
-25.471.10
-1.753.891.20
-1.53.131.30
+0.251.332.99
+0.51.303.45
+0.751.184.15
+11.086.13
+1.251.076.60
+1.51.046.80
+1.751.037.40

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.25
7.51.243.32
8.51.502.37
9.51.851.90
10.52.351.51
11.53.161.27
12.54.541.12
13.56.971.02
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.104.76
81.312.97
91.642.12
102.101.65
112.851.34
124.171.14
136.541.03