OddsFilter

Cambridge United vs Northampton• EFL Trophy, England

4.0:1.02-1FT06/10 · Abbey Stadium, Cambridge0.0:3.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83PINX3.80BFR24.10B365Margin at best5.4%Books7Markets68Rating79 · 21Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.754.194.204.8%
Pinnacle1.793.733.967.9%
Betano1.803.654.008.0%
Bet3651.733.704.109.2%
Betfair1.703.754.0010.5%
Marathonbet1.693.644.1011.0%
William Hill1.703.603.7513.3%
Best of all books1.804.194.203.2%
Average1.743.754.029.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Cambridge UnitedNorthampton
Last 1011Form pts · last 544.0Goals for · last 50.01.0Goals against · last 53.0100Attack rating075Defence rating25100Form rating075H2H rating250Goals model079Overall rating21

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:12 UTC

Cambridge United

4W 4D 2L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

6 OctHNorthampton2-1W
26 SepHAFC Wimbledon1-1D
22 SepAGillingham4-1W
19 SepAOxford United1-1D
12 SepHReading2-1W
5 SepABurton Albion2-2D
1 SepABradford2-1W
29 AugHHuddersfield1-2L
25 AugHMillwall0-1L
22 AugABromley1-1D

Northampton

1W 3D 6L · goals 4:12 · per match 0.4 for, 1.2 against

6 OctACambridge United1-2L
19 SepHRotherham0-1L
12 SepAShrewsbury0-2L
5 SepHNewport County1-0W
1 SepHCrawley Town1-1D
29 AugAGillingham1-1D
22 AugACrewe0-1L
18 AugHBrighton U210-3L
15 AugHSwindon Town0-0D
8 AugALeicester0-1L

Head to head

8Cambridge United wins
10draws
3Northampton wins

21 meetings · goals 29:19 · last 10: 4W 5D 1L for Cambridge United

28 Jul 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsCambridge United0-0Northampton
8 Jul 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsCambridge United3-0Northampton
8 Jul 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsCambridge United3-0Northampton
29 Mar 2025League OneLeague OneCambridge United1-1Northampton
23 Nov 2024League OneLeague OneNorthampton0-0Cambridge United
9 Mar 2024League OneLeague OneCambridge United1-1Northampton
25 Nov 2023League OneLeague OneNorthampton2-1Cambridge United
20 Sep 2022EFL TrophyEFL TrophyNorthampton0-2Cambridge United
16 Nov 2021FA CupFA CupCambridge United3-1Northampton
6 Nov 2021FA CupFA CupNorthampton2-2Cambridge United

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.73X25%3.59222%4.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Oct 03:215 Oct 18:511 1.75X 3.602 3.92
11.74 → 1.75 +0.6%X3.75 → 3.60 -4.0%24.02 → 3.92 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.702.145.6%
Pinnacle1.682.165.8%
Bet3651.732.085.9%
Betfair1.672.156.4%
Betano1.672.107.5%
Marathonbet1.662.098.1%
Best of all books1.732.164.1%
Average1.682.126.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.732.007.8%
Betano1.622.158.2%
1xBet1.622.148.5%
Marathonbet1.622.109.3%
William Hill1.622.109.3%
Best of all books1.732.154.3%
Average1.642.108.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cambridge United 50%Draw 50%Northampton 0%

The statistical model rated Cambridge United at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Northampton at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.59 | 4.08, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Cambridge United win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Cambridge United averaged 4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Northampton averaged 0 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Cambridge United and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Cambridge United

3-4-2-1

Coach: N. Harris

Goalkeeper

  • 13G. Breeze

Defence

  • 15Cathal Séan Heffernan Andrews
  • 5P. Bauer
  • 6K. Watts

Midfield

  • 22Z. Bradshaw
  • 38G. Hoddle
  • 17P. Mpanzu
  • 7Isaac Heath
  • 44Raees Bangura-Williams
  • 11S. Kaikai

Attack

  • 14G. Yahyai
Substitutes (7)
  • 27G. McConnell
  • 4D. Ball
  • 33D. Herd
  • 25Ben Hughes
  • 10B. Knight
  • 19S. Lavery
  • 8O. Moxon

Northampton

4-4-2

Coach: C. Hogg

Goalkeeper

  • 1Z. Jeacock

Defence

  • 44J. Donacien
  • 6E. Moore
  • 20L. Briggs
  • 22Joshua Alan Powell

Midfield

  • 16J. Wormleighton
  • 8L. Evans
  • 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
  • 19O. Dale

Attack

  • 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
  • 9Matthew Warhurst
Substitutes (7)
  • 5J. Guthrie
  • 35M. Dyche
  • 31J. Dadge
  • 7S. Hoskins
  • 10E. List
  • 17N. Opoku
  • 11K. Simon-Swyer

Match Statistics

Cambridge UnitedNorthampton
332Passes accurate278
10Shots insidebox4
1Shots outsidebox6
2Blocked Shots5
19Free Kicks13
5Shots on Goal3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
4Shots off Goal2
1Offsides1
455Total passes406
11Total Shots10
1Yellow Cards2
4Corner Kicks5
13Fouls20
0Red Cards0
53%Ball Possession47%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.743.754.02

Double chance

1XX212
1.192.011.22

Draw no bet

12
1.303.22

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.642.10

1st half

1X2
2.272.314.39

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5313.52.59

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0210.3
1.51.203.97
2.51.682.12
3.52.631.43
4.54.541.15
5.58.071.04
6.511.01.02
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.45
1.251.085.50
1.751.243.49
21.293.20
2.251.482.48
2.751.851.90
32.111.65
3.252.361.53
3.753.081.29
44.071.18
4.254.351.15
4.755.801.07
58.101.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.871.34
-1.252.591.43
-12.301.56
-0.751.941.78
-0.51.792.00
-0.251.532.33
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.201.02
-38.701.01
-2.757.201.03
-2.55.551.08
-2.255.151.10
-24.801.12
-1.753.501.22
01.313.06
+0.251.243.45
+0.751.105.20
+11.028.10
+1.51.019.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.104.85
7.51.283.12
8.51.542.29
9.51.921.79
10.52.491.47
11.53.381.24
12.54.941.09
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.134.38
81.362.78
91.712.01
102.211.58
113.061.29
124.561.12
137.281.01