OddsFilter

AFC Wimbledon vs Barnet• EFL Trophy, England

1.0:2.00-0FT06/10 · Plough Lane, Wimbledon5.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.32BTNX3.78PIN22.72BTNMargin at best6.3%Books6Markets45Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L54.5

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 13:41 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.353.922.685.4%
Pinnacle2.403.512.657.9%
BetVictor2.383.502.609.0%
Betfair2.303.602.609.7%
Bet3652.253.502.7010.1%
Marathonbet2.343.382.5811.1%
Best of all books2.403.922.704.2%
Average2.343.572.648.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC WimbledonBarnet
Last 109Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 55.02.0Goals against · last 51.017Attack rating8333Defence rating670Form rating10060H2H rating400Goals model041Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 08:10 UTC

AFC Wimbledon

3W 5D 2L · goals 7:9 · per match 0.7 for, 0.9 against

6 OctHBarnet0-0D
26 SepACambridge United1-1D
17 SepHMilton Keynes Dons0-0D
12 SepHDoncaster1-0W
7 SepABromley2-0W
2 SepABurton Albion1-4L
30 AugHWigan1-0W
27 AugAFulham0-3L
22 AugHReading0-0D
18 AugALeyton Orient1-1D

Barnet

5W 4D 1L · goals 23:13 · per match 2.3 for, 1.3 against

6 OctAAFC Wimbledon0-0D
19 SepHFleetwood Town3-1W
12 SepHAccrington ST2-1W
5 SepAChesterfield3-3D
1 SepAExeter City1-1D
29 AugHCheltenham2-2D
22 AugAShrewsbury3-1W
18 AugHArsenal U215-1W
15 AugHSalford City3-1W
8 AugACambridge United1-2L

Head to head

3AFC Wimbledon wins
2draws
3Barnet wins

8 meetings · goals 10:13 · last 8: 3W 2D 3L for AFC Wimbledon

3 Aug 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBarnet2-0AFC Wimbledon
29 Aug 2017EFL TrophyEFL TrophyBarnet3-4AFC Wimbledon
20 Feb 2016League TwoLeague TwoBarnet1-2AFC Wimbledon
3 Oct 2015League TwoLeague TwoAFC Wimbledon2-0Barnet
1 Apr 2013League TwoLeague TwoAFC Wimbledon0-1Barnet
8 Dec 2012League TwoLeague TwoBarnet1-1AFC Wimbledon
28 Apr 2012League TwoLeague TwoBarnet4-0AFC Wimbledon
5 Nov 2011League TwoLeague TwoAFC Wimbledon1-1Barnet

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.95X25%3.71228%3.21

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

3 Oct 15:516 Oct 06:511 2.24X 3.542 2.61
12.34 → 2.24 -4.3%X3.57 → 3.54 -0.8%22.64 → 2.61 -1.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.672.195.5%
Pinnacle1.692.126.3%
Bet3651.672.156.4%
Marathonbet1.662.098.1%
BetVictor1.662.059.0%
Best of all books1.692.194.8%
Average1.672.127.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.572.258.1%
1xBet1.542.298.6%
BetVictor1.532.308.8%
Marathonbet1.542.259.4%
Best of all books1.572.307.2%
Average1.552.278.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Wimbledon 10%Draw 45%Barnet 45%

The statistical model rated AFC Wimbledon at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Barnet at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.95 | 3.71 | 3.21, which imply roughly 27% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, AFC Wimbledon averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Barnet averaged 5 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Barnet and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

AFC Wimbledon

5-4-1

Coach: J. Jackson

Goalkeeper

  • 1N. Bishop

Defence

  • 17A. Yiadom
  • 33I. Ogundere
  • 22R. Horan
  • 3S. Seddon
  • 29A. Sasu

Midfield

  • 23H. Cornick
  • 10Z. Nelson
  • 5O. Harrison
  • 8C. Maycock

Attack

  • 11M. Browne
Substitutes (6)
  • 27Edward Leach
  • 6R. Johnson
  • 34H. Hedges
  • 25S. Goma
  • 39J. Bursik
  • 12A. Smith

Barnet

4-2-3-1

Coach: Dean Brennan

Goalkeeper

  • 36Anthony Haralambous

Defence

  • 37Aaron Liwala-Lukizalamu
  • 3R. Crichlow-Noble
  • 6Z. Williams
  • 30M. Kenlock

Midfield

  • 33Bright Siaw
  • 10N. Ofoborh
  • 17D. Ajayi
  • 32Isiah Noel Williams
  • 7T. Knowles

Attack

  • 9J. Maskell
Substitutes (3)
  • 5A. Senior
  • 11I. Kanu
  • 13M. Cox

Match Statistics

AFC WimbledonBarnet
215Passes accurate233
8Shots insidebox10
5Shots outsidebox3
6Blocked Shots3
15Free Kicks15
4Shots on Goal5
5Goalkeeper Saves4
3Shots off Goal5
4Offsides1
319Total passes331
1Red Cards0
13Total Shots13
2Yellow Cards2
9Corner Kicks3
15Fouls15
49%Ball Possession51%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.343.572.64

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.491.24

Draw no bet

12
1.761.98

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.552.27

1st half

1X2
2.912.293.21

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8513.61.99

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0113.0
1.51.194.17
2.51.672.12
3.52.601.44
4.54.681.15
5.58.811.03
6.512.01.01
7.517.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.251.085.50
1.751.213.59
21.303.15
2.251.482.44
2.751.841.87
32.091.65
3.252.371.52
3.753.131.30
44.001.17
4.254.421.15
4.755.901.07
58.301.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.741.38
-0.52.351.54
-0.252.041.70
01.771.95
+0.251.562.25
+0.51.452.59
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.001.02
-28.701.01
-1.755.801.07
-1.54.501.13
-1.254.111.16
-13.681.20
+0.751.303.09
+11.193.98
+1.251.124.70
+1.51.105.10
+1.751.056.70
+21.029.10
+2.51.019.60