ChestervsMerthyr Town• National League - North,England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Chester4th14 pts
Merthyr Town14th9 pts
Chester4th14 pts
Merthyr Town14th9 ptsIn the National League - North table, Chester sit 4th with 14 points from 7 games, while Merthyr Town are 14th with 9 points from 7 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Chester at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Merthyr Town at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 3.78 | 4.53, which imply roughly 61.7% for a Chester win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the National League - North table: Chester are 4th (14 pts, 8-4 goals), Merthyr Town 14th (9 pts, 10-9).
Over their last five matches, Chester averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Merthyr Town averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Chester or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Chester vs Merthyr Town — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oxford City | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 |  Macclesfield | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chester | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 |  South Shields | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 |  Hebburn Town | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bedford Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Spalding United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Harborough Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Morecambe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 |  King's Lynn Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Buxton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Scarborough Athletic | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 14 |  Merthyr Town | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Worksop Town | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 16 |  Brackley Town | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 17 |  Chorley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 18 |  Marine | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 19 |  Hednesford Town | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 20 |  Darlington 1883 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 21 |  AFC Telford United | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 22 |  Southport | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 23 |  Spennymoor Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 24 |  Radcliffe | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.56
X
3.93
2
4.77
Double chance
1X
1.11
X2
2.16
12
1.17
Both teams to score
Yes
1.66
No
2.07
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.17
Under 1.5
4.24
Over 2.5
1.60
Under 2.5
2.22
Over 3.5
2.44
Under 3.5
1.47
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
13.75
Over 4.5
4.21
Under 4.5
1.17
Over 7.5
17.00
Over 5.5
7.50
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
11.00
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.75
1.19
Under 1.75
3.83
Over 2
1.23
Under 2
3.42
Over 2.25
1.40
Under 2.25
2.58
Over 2.75
1.72
Under 2.75
1.96
Over 1.25
1.07
Under 1.25
5.75
Over 3
1.91
Under 3
1.72
Over 3.25
2.17
Under 3.25
1.57
Over 3.75
2.82
Under 3.75
1.34
Over 4
3.50
Under 4
1.22
Over 4.25
3.86
Under 4.25
1.18
Over 4.75
5.10
Under 4.75
1.10
Over 5
6.90
Under 5
1.04
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
9.10
Draw no bet
1
1.25
2
3.75
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.01
1st half
1
2.07
X
2.35
2
4.96
First team to score
Home
1.46
No Goal
15.25
Away
2.73