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VfR Aalen vs Hessen Kassel• Regionalliga - SudWest, Germany

#12.0:0.23-4FT07/11 · Bediani Arena, Aalen1.2:2.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.391XBX4.481XB26.011XBMargin at best10.9%Books1Markets10Rating72 · 28Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.394.486.0110.9%
Best of all books1.394.486.0110.9%
Average1.394.486.0110.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VfR AalenHessen Kassel
Last 10#1Table position#142.14Points per game1.0015Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 51.20.2Goals against · last 52.463Attack rating3892Defence rating879Form rating2162H2H rating3875Goals model2572Overall rating28

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 12:50 UTC

VfR Aalen

8W 1D 1L · goals 19:5 · per match 1.9 for, 0.5 against

31 OctAStuttgarter Kickers1-0W
24 OctASV Sandhausen1-0W
17 OctHFC Astoria Walldorf2-0W
10 OctABarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.2-0W
3 OctHFSV Frankfurt4-1W
26 SepAKickers Offenbach3-1W
19 SepHSGV Freiberg2-3L
13 SepAVfR Mannheim0-0D
8 SepHSSV Ulm 18462-0W
5 SepHEintracht Trier2-0W

Hessen Kassel

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:21 · per match 1.6 for, 2.1 against

31 OctHBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.0-1L
24 OctAFC Astoria Walldorf1-4L
17 OctHVfR Mannheim0-3L
10 OctAKaiserslautern II3-2W
3 OctHSSV Ulm 18462-2D
26 SepHFSV Mainz 05 II1-2L
19 SepAFC 08 Homburg2-2D
11 SepHKickers Offenbach2-1W
8 SepAFSV Frankfurt0-2L
5 SepHSV Sandhausen5-2W

Head to head

3VfR Aalen wins
4draws
1Hessen Kassel wins

8 meetings · goals 12:8 · last 8: 3W 4D 1L for VfR Aalen

9 Dec 2023Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestHessen Kassel3-2VfR Aalen
26 Aug 2023Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestVfR Aalen1-1Hessen Kassel
21 Mar 2023Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestHessen Kassel1-2VfR Aalen
2 Sep 2022Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestVfR Aalen3-0Hessen Kassel
7 May 2022Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestVfR Aalen0-0Hessen Kassel
13 Nov 2021Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestHessen Kassel1-2VfR Aalen
10 Apr 2021Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestHessen Kassel1-1VfR Aalen
20 Oct 2020Regionalliga - SudWestRegionalliga - SudWestVfR Aalen1-1Hessen Kassel

Regionalliga - SudWest tableRegionalliga: Sudwestupdated 7 Nov 15:02 UTC

In the Regionalliga - SudWest table, VfR Aalen sit 1st with 30 points from 14 games, while Hessen Kassel are 14th with 14 points from 14.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1VfR Aalen1493224:11+1330
2VfR Mannheim1485125:11+1429
3SGV Freiberg1477032:13+1928
4Kickers Offenbach1473427:19+824
5Stuttgarter Kickers1472522:19+323
6Eintracht Trier1472516:17-123
7Freiburg II1456325:19+621
8FC 08 Homburg1456318:17+121
9SV Sandhausen1454521:24-319
10TSV Steinbach1445522:22017
11Eintracht Frankfurt II1451818:22-416
12FC Astoria Walldorf1435620:22-214
13FSV Frankfurt1435622:25-314
14Hessen Kassel1442821:29-814
15FSV Mainz 05 II1442815:27-1214
16Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.1433818:28-1012
17SSV Ulm 18461418517:24-711
18Kaiserslautern II1425716:30-1411

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.39X20%4.48215%6.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.542.259.4%
Best of all books1.542.259.4%
Average1.542.259.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.691.999.4%
Best of all books1.691.999.4%
Average1.691.999.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

VfR Aalen 50%Draw 50%Hessen Kassel 0%

The statistical model rated VfR Aalen at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Hessen Kassel at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.48 | 6.01, which imply roughly 71.9% for a VfR Aalen win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Regionalliga - SudWest table: VfR Aalen are 1st (30 pts, 24-11 goals), Hessen Kassel 14th (14 pts, 21-29).

Over their last five matches, VfR Aalen averaged 2 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Hessen Kassel averaged 1.2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : VfR Aalen or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.394.486.01

Double chance

X212
2.521.11

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.691.99

1st half

1X2
1.792.655.72

2nd half

1X2
1.792.655.72

Match goals

LineOverUnder
21.213.79
2.51.542.25
31.931.74
3.52.491.45
43.911.19

Latest Regionalliga - SudWest results

7 NovSSV Ulm 1846 0-1 VfR Mannheim
7 NovSV Sandhausen 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt II
7 NovFSV Frankfurt 1-4 SGV Freiberg
7 NovKickers Offenbach 2-1 Freiburg II
7 NovKaiserslautern II 0-3 Stuttgarter Kickers
7 NovBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn. 0-2 TSV Steinbach