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FSV Zwickau vs Erzgebirge Aue• Regionalliga - Nordost, Germany

#91.4:1.612:0024/10 · GGZ-Arena Zwickau, Zwickau1.0:1.4#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.431XBX3.621XB22.291XBMargin at best12.4%Books1Markets12Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.433.622.2912.4%
Best of all books2.433.622.2912.4%
Average2.433.622.2912.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FSV ZwickauErzgebirge Aue
Last 10#9Table position#81.46Points per game1.625Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 51.458Attack rating4247Defence rating5356Form rating4450H2H rating5040Goals model6047Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 06:02 UTC

FSV Zwickau

4W 4D 2L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

16 OctAFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2-2D
9 OctHTasmania Berlin2-0W
27 SepAHertha BSC II1-1D
18 SepHHallescher FC1-3L
15 SepHAltglienicke1-2L
12 SepABSG Chemie Leipzig2-2D
29 AugHSV Babelsberg 031-0W
26 AugARSV Eintracht2-1W
14 AugHLuckenwalde2-1W
9 AugABFC Dynamo0-0D

Erzgebirge Aue

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:16 · per match 1.0 for, 1.6 against

18 OctHHallescher FC0-1L
11 OctAGreifswalder FC0-1L
27 SepHBSG Chemie Leipzig1-2L
19 SepAFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2-2D
16 SepAMagdeburg II2-1W
12 SepHLuckenwalde2-1W
30 AugALokomotive Leipzig2-1W
26 AugHHertha BSC II0-0D
22 AugH1899 Hoffenheim0-4L
15 AugAChemnitzer FC1-3L

Head to head

1FSV Zwickau wins
0draws
1Erzgebirge Aue wins

2 meetings · goals 1:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for FSV Zwickau

14 Mar 20233. Liga3. LigaFSV Zwickau0-2Erzgebirge AUE
11 Sep 20223. Liga3. LigaErzgebirge AUE0-1FSV Zwickau

Regionalliga - Nordost tableRegionalliga: Nordostupdated 22 Oct 03:10 UTC

In the Regionalliga - Nordost table, FSV Zwickau sit 9th with 19 points from 13 games, while Erzgebirge Aue are 8th with 21 points from 13.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Chemnitzer FC1393129:7+2230
2FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt1384139:16+2328
3Hallescher FC1384120:9+1128
4FC Carl Zeiss Jena1381423:12+1125
5BFC Dynamo1374222:13+925
6Altglienicke1373323:16+724
7Greifswalder FC1364326:20+622
8Erzgebirge Aue1363420:18+221
9FSV Zwickau1354417:19-219
10Lokomotive Leipzig1345425:25017
11Magdeburg II1351725:27-216
12SV Babelsberg 031334614:23-913
13BFC Preussen1325616:21-511
14BSG Chemie Leipzig1324715:22-710
15Hertha BSC II1324710:23-1310
16RSV Eintracht1323814:30-169
17Tasmania Berlin1322919:38-198
18Luckenwalde13201113:31-186

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.43X25%3.62239%2.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.622.109.3%
Best of all books1.622.109.3%
Average1.622.109.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.542.259.4%
Best of all books1.542.259.4%
Average1.542.259.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FSV Zwickau 10%Draw 45%Erzgebirge Aue 45%

The statistical model rates FSV Zwickau at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Erzgebirge Aue at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.43 | 3.62 | 2.29, which imply roughly 27.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Regionalliga - Nordost table: FSV Zwickau are 9th (19 pts, 17-19 goals), Erzgebirge Aue 8th (21 pts, 20-18).

Over their last five matches, FSV Zwickau averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Erzgebirge Aue averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Erzgebirge Aue.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.433.622.29

Double chance

1XX212
1.451.401.18

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.542.25

1st half

1X2
2.902.402.77

2nd half

1X2
2.902.402.77

Match goals

LineOverUnder
21.253.38
2.51.622.10
32.091.63
3.52.691.39

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
01.881.78
+11.203.90

Next Regionalliga - Nordost matches

23 OctAltglienicke – Luckenwalde
23 OctSV Babelsberg 03 – BFC Preussen
23 OctFC Carl Zeiss Jena – BFC Dynamo
24 OctChemnitzer FC – Magdeburg II
24 OctRSV Eintracht – Tasmania Berlin
24 OctGreifswalder FC – FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

All Regionalliga - Nordost fixtures and the table

Latest Regionalliga - Nordost results

18 OctBFC Dynamo 1-1 Chemnitzer FC
18 OctMagdeburg II 4-2 Greifswalder FC
18 OctErzgebirge Aue 0-1 Hallescher FC
17 OctLokomotive Leipzig 2-2 BSG Chemie Leipzig
17 OctBFC Preussen 1-3 Altglienicke
17 OctLuckenwalde 1-2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena