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FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs FSV Zwickau• Regionalliga - Nordost, Germany

#22.8:1.82-2FTToday1.4:1.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.58DAFX4.30DAF24.90DAFMargin at best7.0%Books4Markets55Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.564.194.689.3%
1xBet1.514.204.8010.9%
William Hill1.573.904.6011.1%
Marathonbet1.504.204.6012.2%
Best of all books1.574.204.808.3%
Average1.544.124.6710.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtFSV Zwickau
Last 10#2Table position#92.25Points per game1.5010Form pts · last 552.8Goals for · last 51.41.8Goals against · last 51.667Attack rating3347Defence rating5367Form rating3329H2H rating7181Goals model1955Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 15:01 UTC

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

7W 2D 1L · goals 32:12 · per match 3.2 for, 1.2 against

11 OctAChemnitzer FC1-3L
26 SepALokomotive Leipzig4-3W
19 SepHErzgebirge Aue2-2D
15 SepAHertha BSC II2-1W
11 SepHRSV Eintracht5-0W
29 AugHBFC Preussen1-1D
25 AugALuckenwalde5-0W
15 AugHMagdeburg II4-1W
9 AugAFC Carl Zeiss Jena2-1W
5 AugHTasmania Berlin6-0W

FSV Zwickau

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against

9 OctHTasmania Berlin2-0W
27 SepAHertha BSC II1-1D
18 SepHHallescher FC1-3L
15 SepHAltglienicke1-2L
12 SepABSG Chemie Leipzig2-2D
29 AugHSV Babelsberg 031-0W
26 AugARSV Eintracht2-1W
14 AugHLuckenwalde2-1W
9 AugABFC Dynamo0-0D
4 AugAChemnitzer FC1-3L

Head to head

3FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt wins
2draws
5FSV Zwickau wins

10 meetings · goals 17:23 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

3 May 2026Regionalliga - NordostRegionalliga - NordostFSV Zwickau2-1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
8 Nov 2025Regionalliga - NordostRegionalliga - NordostFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2-2FSV Zwickau
26 Mar 2025Regionalliga - NordostRegionalliga - NordostFSV Zwickau3-2FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
23 Aug 2024Regionalliga - NordostRegionalliga - NordostFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt4-2FSV Zwickau
17 Feb 2024Regionalliga - NordostRegionalliga - NordostFSV Zwickau5-0Rot-weiss Erfurt
27 Aug 2023Regionalliga - NordostRegionalliga - NordostRot-weiss Erfurt4-1FSV Zwickau
4 Feb 20183. Liga3. LigaRot-weiss Erfurt0-3FSV Zwickau
4 Aug 20173. Liga3. LigaFSV Zwickau1-1Rot-weiss Erfurt
4 Mar 20173. Liga3. LigaRot-weiss Erfurt1-3FSV Zwickau
11 Sep 20163. Liga3. LigaFSV Zwickau1-2Rot-weiss Erfurt

Regionalliga - Nordost tableRegionalliga: Nordostupdated 16 Oct 18:51 UTC

In the Regionalliga - Nordost table, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt sit 2nd with 27 points from 12 games, while FSV Zwickau are 9th with 18 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Chemnitzer FC1292128:6+2229
2FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt1283137:14+2327
3Hallescher FC1274119:9+1025
4BFC Dynamo1273221:12+924
5FC Carl Zeiss Jena1271421:11+1022
6Greifswalder FC1264224:16+822
7Altglienicke1263320:15+521
8Erzgebirge Aue1263320:17+321
9FSV Zwickau1253415:17-218
10Lokomotive Leipzig1244423:23016
11SV Babelsberg 031234514:17-313
12Magdeburg II1241721:25-413
13BFC Preussen1225515:18-311
14Hertha BSC II1224610:22-1210
15BSG Chemie Leipzig1223713:20-79
16RSV Eintracht1213813:30-176
17Luckenwalde12201012:29-176
18Tasmania Berlin1212913:38-255

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.54X22%4.12219%4.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 02:3016 Oct 01:301 1.55X 4.172 4.70
11.74 → 1.55 -10.9%X3.99 → 4.17 +4.5%23.50 → 4.70 +34.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.422.717.3%
1xBet1.362.7010.6%
Marathonbet1.362.7010.6%
Best of all books1.422.717.3%
Average1.382.709.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.442.539.0%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Marathonbet1.442.479.9%
Best of all books1.442.539.0%
Average1.442.509.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 45%Draw 45%FSV Zwickau 10%

The statistical model rated FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and FSV Zwickau at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.54 | 4.12 | 4.67, which imply roughly 64.9% for a FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Regionalliga - Nordost table: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt are 2nd (27 pts, 37-14 goals), FSV Zwickau 9th (18 pts, 15-17).

Over their last five matches, FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; FSV Zwickau averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.544.124.67

Double chance

1XX212
1.132.221.16

Draw no bet

12
1.253.70

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.442.50

1st half

1X2
1.982.534.60

2nd half

1X2
1.842.934.33

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.1615.135.0
HT X4.557.4011.5
HT 218.515.68.00

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4422.02.61

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0117.0
1.51.085.70
2.51.382.70
3.52.011.71
4.53.141.27
5.55.601.08
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0212.0
1.751.095.30
21.114.80
2.251.253.35
2.751.462.44
31.592.17
3.251.811.89
3.752.241.55
42.641.40
4.252.891.33
4.753.821.19
54.951.11
5.255.301.09
68.901.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.361.49
-1.252.121.62
-11.881.82
-0.751.662.05
-0.51.552.34
-0.251.372.73
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.901.02
-37.201.03
-2.755.151.10
-2.54.101.16
-2.253.801.19
-23.421.23
-1.752.781.36
01.213.58
+0.251.174.05
+0.751.075.75
+11.018.70
+1.51.028.60