Greifswalder FC vs
Erzgebirge Aue• Regionalliga - Nordost, Germany
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.44 | 4.17 | 2.11 | 12.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.44 | 4.17 | 2.11 | 12.4% |
| Average | 2.44 | 4.17 | 2.11 | 12.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 21:40 UTC
Greifswalder FC
5W 3D 2L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against
| 25 Sep | A | BFC Dynamo | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Luckenwalde | 3-1 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | RSV Eintracht | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Lokomotive Leipzig | 3-3 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Tasmania Berlin | 2-2 | D |
| 26 Aug | H | SV Babelsberg 03 | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | BFC Preussen | 1-1 | D |
| 7 Aug | H | Altglienicke | 1-3 | L |
| 4 Aug | A | Hertha BSC II | 4-1 | W |
| 1 Aug | A | FSV Zwickau | 3-0 | W |
Erzgebirge Aue
5W 2D 3L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against
| 27 Sep | H | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1-2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 2-2 | D |
| 16 Sep | A | Magdeburg II | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Luckenwalde | 2-1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Lokomotive Leipzig | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Aug | H | Hertha BSC II | 0-0 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | 1899 Hoffenheim | 0-4 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Chemnitzer FC | 1-3 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | BFC Preussen | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Aug | H | BFC Dynamo | 3-2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Greifswalder FC and Erzgebirge Aue on record.
Regionalliga - Nordost tableRegionalliga: Nordostupdated 9 Oct 21:10 UTC
In the Regionalliga - Nordost table, Greifswalder FC sit 8th with 19 points from 11 games, while Erzgebirge Aue are 6th with 21 points from 11.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 36:11 | +25 | 27 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer FC | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25:5 | +20 | 26 |
| 3 | BFC Dynamo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21:12 | +9 | 24 |
| 4 | Hallescher FC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18:9 | +9 | 22 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:15 | +5 | 21 |
| 6 | Erzgebirge Aue | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | +9 | 19 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | +7 | 19 |
| 9 | FSV Zwickau | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | SV Babelsberg 03 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 | Hertha BSC II | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | RSV Eintracht | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13:29 | -16 | 6 |
| 17 | Luckenwalde | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12:29 | -17 | 6 |
| 18 | Tasmania Berlin | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13:38 | -25 | 5 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.4% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 3.45 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.25 | 3.45 | 9.0% |
| Average | 1.25 | 3.45 | 9.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 3.35 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.26 | 3.35 | 9.2% |
| Average | 1.26 | 3.35 | 9.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Greifswalder FC at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Erzgebirge Aue at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.44 | 4.17 | 2.11, which imply roughly 41% for a Greifswalder FC win versus the model's 33%.
Form context from the Regionalliga - Nordost table: Greifswalder FC are 8th (19 pts, 23-16 goals), Erzgebirge Aue 6th (21 pts, 20-16).
Over their last five matches, Greifswalder FC averaged 2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Erzgebirge Aue averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: No predictions available.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.44 | 4.17 | 2.11 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | 1.40 | 1.13 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.26 | 3.35 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.76 | 2.82 | 2.46 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.25 | 3.45 |
| 3 | 1.37 | 2.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.72 | 1.95 |
| 4 | 2.20 | 1.57 |
| 4.5 | 2.74 | 1.37 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 3.97 | 1.19 |
| 0 | 1.97 | 1.71 |
| +1 | 1.28 | 3.18 |