Lokomotive Leipzig vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt• Regionalliga - Nordost, Germany

#101.6:2.03-4FT26/093.0:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.57BTNX3.72PIN22.37BTNMargin at best8.0%Books4Markets43Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.57	3.60	2.37	8.9%
Pinnacle	2.55	3.72	2.32	9.2%
1xBet	2.50	3.52	2.28	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.50	3.52	2.28	12.3%
Best of all books	2.57	3.72	2.37	8.0%
Average	2.53	3.59	2.31	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lokomotive LeipzigFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

Last 10#10Table position#11.36Points per game2.455Form pts · last 5111.6Goals for · last 53.02.0Goals against · last 50.835Attack rating6529Defence rating7131Form rating6993H2H rating715Goals model8546Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 21:50 UTC

Lokomotive Leipzig

3W 3D 4L · goals 20:22 · per match 2.0 for, 2.2 against

26 Sep	H	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	3-4	L
20 Sep	A	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	2-1	W
16 Sep	H	BFC Dynamo	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Greifswalder FC	3-3	D
30 Aug	H	Erzgebirge Aue	1-2	L
25 Aug	H	Chemnitzer FC	0-2	L
16 Aug	A	Tasmania Berlin	3-2	W
8 Aug	H	Hertha BSC II	1-2	L
5 Aug	A	BFC Preussen	2-1	W
2 Aug	H	Magdeburg II	3-3	D

FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt

7W 3D 0L · goals 32:10 · per match 3.2 for, 1.0 against

26 Sep	A	Lokomotive Leipzig	4-3	W
19 Sep	H	Erzgebirge Aue	2-2	D
15 Sep	A	Hertha BSC II	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	RSV Eintracht	5-0	W
29 Aug	H	BFC Preussen	1-1	D
25 Aug	A	Luckenwalde	5-0	W
15 Aug	H	Magdeburg II	4-1	W
9 Aug	A	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	2-1	W
5 Aug	H	Tasmania Berlin	6-0	W
2 Aug	A	Hallescher FC	1-1	D

Head to head

6Lokomotive Leipzig wins

1draws

1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt wins

8 meetings · goals 11:4 · last 8: 6W 1D 1L for Lokomotive Leipzig

4 Apr 2026Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	Lokomotive Leipzig2-1FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
5 Oct 2025Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt0-2Lokomotive Leipzig
18 May 2025Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2-4Lokomotive Leipzig
1 Dec 2024Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	Lokomotive Leipzig0-0FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
13 Apr 2024Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	Rot-weiss Erfurt0-1Lokomotive Leipzig
29 Oct 2023Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	Lokomotive Leipzig1-0Rot-weiss Erfurt
11 Mar 2023Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	Rot-weiss Erfurt1-0Lokomotive Leipzig
30 Sep 2022Regionalliga - Nordost	Regionalliga - Nordost	Lokomotive Leipzig1-0Rot-weiss Erfurt

Regionalliga - Nordost tableRegionalliga: Nordostupdated 9 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Regionalliga - Nordost table, Lokomotive Leipzig sit 10th with 15 points from 11 games, while FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt are 1st with 27 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	11	8	3	0	36:11	+25	27
2	Chemnitzer FC	11	8	2	1	25:5	+20	26
3	BFC Dynamo	12	7	3	2	21:12	+9	24
4	Hallescher FC	11	6	4	1	18:9	+9	22
5	Altglienicke	12	6	3	3	20:15	+5	21
6	Erzgebirge Aue	11	6	3	2	20:16	+4	21
7	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	11	6	1	4	19:10	+9	19
8	Greifswalder FC	11	5	4	2	23:16	+7	19
9	FSV Zwickau	12	5	3	4	15:17	-2	18
10	Lokomotive Leipzig	11	4	3	4	23:23	0	15
11	Magdeburg II	11	4	1	6	20:23	-3	13
12	SV Babelsberg 03	11	3	3	5	14:17	-3	12
13	BFC Preussen	11	2	4	5	14:17	-3	10
14	BSG Chemie Leipzig	12	2	3	7	13:20	-7	9
15	Hertha BSC II	11	2	3	6	9:21	-12	9
16	RSV Eintracht	11	1	3	7	13:29	-16	6
17	Luckenwalde	12	2	0	10	12:29	-17	6
18	Tasmania Berlin	12	1	2	9	13:38	-25	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.61X25%3.60240%2.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.54	2.35	7.5%
1xBet	1.52	2.31	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.31	9.1%
Betano	1.52	2.22	10.8%
Best of all books	1.54	2.35	7.5%
Average	1.52	2.30	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.44	2.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.47	9.9%
Betano	1.45	2.37	11.2%
Best of all books	1.45	2.53	8.5%
Average	1.44	2.46	10.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lokomotive Leipzig 10%Draw 45%FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 45%

The statistical model rated Lokomotive Leipzig at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.61 | 3.60 | 2.26, which imply roughly 27.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Regionalliga - Nordost table: Lokomotive Leipzig are 10th (15 pts, 23-23 goals), FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1st (27 pts, 36-11).

Over their last five matches, Lokomotive Leipzig averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt averaged 3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.53	3.59	2.31

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.50	1.40	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.87	1.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.44	2.46

1st half

1	X	2
3.04	2.28	2.81

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.93	17.8	1.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.14	4.42
2.5	1.53	2.30
3.5	2.28	1.52
4.5	3.81	1.18
5.5	6.67	1.05

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.0
1.25	1.05	6.55
1.75	1.15	4.21
2	1.19	3.78
2.25	1.36	2.78
2.75	1.65	2.09
3	1.84	1.84
3.25	2.08	1.64
3.75	2.68	1.39
4	3.28	1.25
4.25	3.58	1.21
4.75	4.90	1.11
5	6.70	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.51	1.48
-0.25	2.20	1.57
0	1.94	1.77
+0.25	1.69	2.02
+0.5	1.57	2.29
+0.75	1.39	2.67

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.05	1.02
-2	8.30	1.02
-1.75	6.30	1.06
-1.5	4.90	1.11
-1.25	4.50	1.13
-1	4.05	1.16
-0.75	2.98	1.32
+1	1.22	3.50
+1.25	1.18	3.91
+1.5	1.15	4.30
+1.75	1.08	5.50
+2	1.02	8.10
+2.5	1.01	8.80