St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg• Regionalliga - Nord, Germany

#171.4:2.213:00Today2.8:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.50DAFX4.481XB21.61DAFMargin at best6.7%Books6Markets53Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.50	4.40	1.61	7.1%
Betano	4.30	4.35	1.60	8.7%
Pinnacle	4.36	4.43	1.57	9.2%
1xBet	4.14	4.48	1.55	11.0%
William Hill	4.20	4.00	1.60	11.3%
Marathonbet	4.40	4.25	1.52	12.0%
Best of all books	4.50	4.48	1.61	6.7%
Average	4.32	4.32	1.57	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

St. Pauli IIWeiche Flensburg

Last 10#17Table position#10.77Points per game2.433Form pts · last 5121.4Goals for · last 52.82.2Goals against · last 50.833Attack rating6727Defence rating7320Form rating8050H2H rating5023Goals model7733Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:11 UTC

St. Pauli II

3W 1D 6L · goals 20:20 · per match 2.0 for, 2.0 against

17 Oct	A	VfB Lübeck	1-4	L
11 Oct	H	HSC Hannover	3-4	L
26 Sep	H	Kickers Emden	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	SV Drochtersen/Assel	0-1	L
16 Sep	A	Hamburger SV II	3-0	W
13 Sep	H	Eintracht Norderstedt	5-0	W
4 Sep	A	Hannover 96 II	2-3	L
30 Aug	H	Phönix Lübeck	2-2	D
26 Aug	A	Schöningen	2-3	L
16 Aug	H	Werder Bremen II	2-1	W

Weiche Flensburg

8W 0D 2L · goals 30:8 · per match 3.0 for, 0.8 against

16 Oct	H	SV Drochtersen/Assel	3-0	W
11 Oct	A	Todesfelde	4-0	W
3 Oct	H	VfB Oldenburg	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Bremer SV	3-0	W
19 Sep	H	Phönix Lübeck	1-2	L
16 Sep	A	Schöningen	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Hamburger SV II	4-0	W
6 Sep	A	HSC Hannover	6-1	W
29 Aug	H	Atlas Delmenhorst	1-0	W
23 Aug	A	Eintracht Norderstedt	4-1	W

Head to head

4St. Pauli II wins

4draws

4Weiche Flensburg wins

12 meetings · goals 18:22 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for St. Pauli II

21 Mar 2026Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	Weiche Flensburg1-1St. Pauli II
21 Sep 2025Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	St. Pauli II1-3Weiche Flensburg
3 May 2025Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	Weiche Flensburg0-1St. Pauli II
20 Oct 2024Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	St. Pauli II2-2Weiche Flensburg
17 Mar 2024Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	St. Pauli II0-0Weiche Flensburg
23 Sep 2023Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	Weiche Flensburg0-5St. Pauli II
6 Apr 2023Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	Weiche Flensburg0-1St. Pauli II
11 Sep 2022Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	St. Pauli II1-4Weiche Flensburg
23 Feb 2022Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	Weiche Flensburg3-3St. Pauli II
10 Oct 2021Regionalliga - Nord	Regionalliga - Nord	St. Pauli II2-1Weiche Flensburg

Regionalliga - Nord tableRegionalliga: Northupdated 24 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Regionalliga - Nord table, St. Pauli II sit 17th with 10 points from 13 games, while Weiche Flensburg are 1st with 34 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Weiche Flensburg	14	11	1	2	43:14	+29	34
2	Hannover 96 II	15	10	3	2	36:21	+15	33
3	SV Drochtersen/Assel	15	10	1	4	48:22	+26	31
4	VfB Oldenburg	14	10	1	3	41:19	+22	31
5	Phönix Lübeck	13	8	3	2	36:12	+24	27
6	Schöningen	14	7	3	4	22:24	-2	24
7	Atlas Delmenhorst	13	5	4	4	19:20	-1	19
8	Kickers Emden	15	5	4	6	36:41	-5	19
9	VfB Lübeck	14	4	6	4	20:23	-3	18
10	HSC Hannover	15	4	5	6	23:32	-9	17
11	Werder Bremen II	14	4	3	7	21:25	-4	15
12	Eimsbütteler TV	14	4	3	7	22:36	-14	15
13	SSV Jeddeloh	15	4	2	9	23:37	-14	14
14	Eintracht Norderstedt	13	3	4	6	27:35	-8	13
15	Hamburger SV II	13	4	1	8	19:28	-9	13
16	Todesfelde	15	3	3	9	23:48	-25	12
17	St. Pauli II	13	3	1	9	24:29	-5	10
18	Bremer SV	13	2	2	9	9:26	-17	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.32X21%4.32258%1.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

110.5 → 4.32 -58.9%X5.57 → 4.32 -22.4%21.20 → 1.58 +31.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.35	2.85	9.2%
1xBet	1.29	3.15	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.32	2.88	10.5%
Best of all books	1.35	3.15	5.8%
Average	1.32	2.96	9.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.40	2.70	8.5%
1xBet	1.36	2.82	9.0%
Betano	1.42	2.57	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.60	9.9%
Best of all books	1.42	2.82	5.9%
Average	1.40	2.67	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

St. Pauli II 10%Draw 45%Weiche Flensburg 45%

The statistical model rates St. Pauli II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Weiche Flensburg at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.32 | 4.32 | 1.58, which imply roughly 23.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Regionalliga - Nord table: St. Pauli II are 17th (10 pts, 24-29 goals), Weiche Flensburg 1st (34 pts, 43-14).

Over their last five matches, St. Pauli II averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Weiche Flensburg averaged 2.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Weiche Flensburg.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.32	4.32	1.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.20	1.16	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
3.30	1.29

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.67

1st half

1	X	2
4.28	2.67	1.98

2nd half

1	X	2
4.14	2.96	1.87

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.40	14.6	17.0
HT X	10.6	7.60	4.68
HT 2	32.0	14.6	2.26

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.55	26.0	1.44

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.09	5.63
2.5	1.32	2.96
3.5	1.88	1.83
4.5	2.90	1.33
5.5	4.72	1.13

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.08	5.55
2	1.15	4.50
2.25	1.21	3.58
2.75	1.40	2.65
3	1.49	2.40
3.25	1.69	2.03
3.75	2.09	1.65
4	2.42	1.48
4.25	2.67	1.40
4.75	3.42	1.23
5	4.40	1.14
5.25	4.65	1.12
6	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.70	1.39
+0.5	2.20	1.61
+0.75	2.05	1.67
+1	1.81	1.90
+1.25	1.64	2.11
+1.5	1.52	2.33

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.50	1.01
-1	7.80	1.02
-0.75	5.35	1.09
-0.25	3.84	1.18
0	3.32	1.27
+1.75	1.38	2.73
+2	1.24	3.34
+2.25	1.20	3.68
+2.5	1.17	3.98
+2.75	1.11	4.90
+3	1.05	6.70
+3.5	1.03	7.30

Next Regionalliga - Nord matches

25 Oct	Bremer SV – Hamburger SV II
25 Oct	Schöningen – VfB Lübeck

All Regionalliga - Nord fixtures and the table

Latest Regionalliga - Nord results

24 Oct	VfB Oldenburg 2-1 HSC Hannover
24 Oct	SV Drochtersen/Assel 5-1 Todesfelde
24 Oct	Hannover 96 II 4-3 Eintracht Norderstedt
24 Oct	Werder Bremen II 3-2 Kickers Emden
24 Oct	Eimsbütteler TV 1-1 SSV Jeddeloh
18 Oct	HSC Hannover 1-1 Todesfelde